Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$36

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 10-26 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% — —

Other

43% 43% -$6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+20	$9	66¢	$13	+$5	07-03 00:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+15	$8	34¢	$5	-$3	07-03 00:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5	$3	34¢	$2	-$1	07-02 23:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	07-03 00:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	07-03 00:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-25 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	-$4	07-25 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	08-07 06:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	1	$1	9	0	+9	Yes	-$1	08-07 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-07 12:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	08-07 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	08-07 04:39
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	54	$1	272	272	+0	open	—	10-26 10:20
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026?	3	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	10-24 09:35
Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	11	$0	500	0	+500	open	—	10-22 00:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:20:35	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x76663c…
10-26 07:20:15	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xfd5aab…
10-26 07:20:09	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4364ad…
10-26 04:44:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xfc9318…
10-26 04:44:09	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x137706…
10-26 04:40:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb5f70d…
10-26 00:41:18	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfe118d…
10-26 00:41:18	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x13ee74…
10-25 02:12:24	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6465ab…
10-25 02:12:12	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0f6805…
10-25 02:12:06	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb633f9…
10-25 02:11:59	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7f21de…
10-25 02:11:51	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8b591d…
10-25 02:11:38	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x927ac3…
10-25 02:11:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb5bbd9…
10-25 02:11:17	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x58e36e…
10-25 02:11:12	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb7ebb8…
10-25 02:11:02	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5882c1…
10-25 02:10:59	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4e401c…
10-25 02:10:35	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2a7a6b…
10-25 02:10:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xbd4e7d…
10-25 02:10:24	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0fabef…
10-25 02:10:20	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xce1491…
10-25 02:10:14	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2e373d…
10-25 02:10:05	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3d8156…
10-25 02:10:00	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8e703c…
10-25 02:09:54	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x85fa4e…
10-25 02:09:50	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7e9b66…
10-25 02:09:41	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x23f527…
10-25 02:09:33	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9f369c…
10-25 02:09:27	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x33f0ea…
10-25 02:09:24	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x0bded8…
10-24 09:55:23	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x972014…
10-24 09:35:05	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xbd136e…
10-24 09:35:05	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x2d585a…
10-23 09:11:38	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xff1d8a…
10-23 09:11:29	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa246b4…
10-23 09:11:24	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe07352…
10-23 09:11:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x166f63…
10-23 09:11:14	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x89d92a…
10-23 09:11:11	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc1fa47…
10-22 16:03:57	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4a3d14…
10-22 16:03:50	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb378fa…
10-22 16:03:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xaaec9b…
10-22 16:03:42	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0786a6…
10-22 16:03:36	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7860de…
10-22 16:03:32	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5890da…
10-22 16:03:26	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb104e3…
10-22 16:03:21	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd48ed8…
10-22 16:03:11	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2686dc…
10-22 16:03:03	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x46b9ec…
10-22 12:00:24	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0xd03703…
10-22 11:50:20	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xfae02e…
10-22 00:35:35	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x60481a…
10-21 23:12:27	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcbd179…
10-21 23:12:12	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x661dce…
10-21 23:11:06	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xcad49f…
10-21 23:08:53	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x6288ee…
10-21 23:08:21	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x6c5b09…
10-21 23:08:15	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe19f73…
10-21 23:08:14	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x766be1…
10-21 23:07:24	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0x743768…
10-21 23:04:59	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x21272e…
10-21 23:04:53	Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	0¢	$0	0xb47111…
10-21 07:59:56	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xb00494…
08-07 15:33:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb2b1a5…
08-07 13:35:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x56c529…
08-07 12:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x487c65…
08-07 06:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfc5315…
08-07 04:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x146d85…
07-25 06:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8ca45f…
07-25 03:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x27ef82…
07-03 00:04:02	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x743293…
07-03 00:03:56	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7f258…
07-03 00:00:22	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x60b9f4…
07-02 23:59:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x050dee…
07-02 23:56:29	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x192567…
07-02 23:40:58	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4666ca…
07-02 23:40:38	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa01839…