Polished-Foray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$723

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

36,914

lifetime

Volume

$521.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-09 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

62% 67% +$99

Other

37% 100% +$624

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	45	$24.8K	16,784	16,784	+0	open	—	03-01 13:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	93	$22.2K	113,925	113,925	+0	open	—	03-28 14:52
will iran strike israel on march 6	132	$18.2K	13,550	14,097	-547	open	—	03-08 12:43
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	34	$16.9K	13,649	13,649	+0	open	—	03-02 23:43
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	42	$10.4K	6,446	6,651	-205	open	—	03-02 00:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	67	$10.1K	14,878	5,173	+9,704	open	—	05-23 14:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	43	$10.1K	14,144	11,200	+2,945	open	—	05-23 18:35
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	19	$9.8K	7,844	3,765	+4,079	open	—	03-02 00:44
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	21	$9.8K	6,581	6,581	+0	open	—	04-28 06:06
will iran strike cyprus in march	45	$8.9K	13,635	13,635	+0	open	—	03-03 17:09
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	25	$8.9K	5,432	5,432	+0	open	—	04-24 16:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	54	$8.1K	11,492	37,850	-26,358	open	—	08-09 07:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	146	$8.0K	40,058	40,058	+0	open	—	03-01 11:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	85	$7.8K	4,874	4,874	+0	open	—	03-30 13:50
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	63	$7.3K	22,900	18,567	+4,333	open	—	07-31 23:23
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	31	$6.1K	6,575	6,575	+0	open	—	02-28 11:48
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	25	$5.9K	5,943	6,243	-300	open	—	02-28 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	38	$5.9K	8,200	8,200	+0	open	—	05-06 12:44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	38	$5.8K	20,671	20,875	-204	open	—	06-29 22:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	36	$5.7K	6,015	6,015	+0	open	—	04-19 13:31
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	14	$5.7K	6,899	0	+6,899	open	—	03-02 00:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	25	$4.8K	4,120	4,089	+31	open	—	04-29 13:38
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	8	$4.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-17 20:02
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	54	$4.8K	5,826	4,716	+1,110	open	—	03-31 16:07
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	41	$4.4K	13,297	13,600	-303	open	—	07-28 17:14
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	14	$4.4K	2,705	2,705	+0	open	—	04-13 23:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	43	$4.3K	9,390	9,326	+64	open	—	04-30 10:21
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	59	$4.2K	12,000	6,394	+5,606	open	—	08-08 17:07
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	36	$3.9K	7,945	7,945	+0	open	—	06-14 21:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	53	$3.8K	20,510	20,160	+350	open	—	04-30 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 22:18:28	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x673695…
08-09 22:13:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x66436a…
08-09 22:12:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x106ced…
08-09 21:54:46	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	697	77¢	$536	0xf28446…
08-09 21:53:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xaab169…
08-09 21:34:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0xe28bd4…
08-09 21:24:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	84	6¢	$5	0xb34b1c…
08-09 21:13:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x841f76…
08-09 21:10:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xc2009c…
08-09 21:06:31	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	Yes	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x8beb81…
08-09 20:53:04	iran successfully targets shipping on august 10 2026 20260729163314530	Yes	SELL	85	29¢	$25	0xdf352c…
08-09 20:43:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x52c421…
08-09 18:39:27	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x531237…
08-09 17:45:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x538dc2…
08-09 17:44:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x18b159…
08-09 17:36:13	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	184	15¢	$28	0x82211a…
08-09 17:12:24	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x9e2098…
08-09 17:04:12	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	650	94¢	$611	0xd85a31…
08-09 16:19:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	1,676	0¢	$5	0x726fdc…
08-09 16:18:37	will iran target a arab country on august 16 2026 20260801004719133	Yes	BUY	118	7¢	$8	0x335e1d…
08-09 16:16:52	will iran target a arab country on august 7 2026 20260801004719124	Yes	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0xea4b2d…
08-09 16:16:43	will iran target a arab country on august 9 2026 20260801004719126	Yes	SELL	519	0¢	$2	0x50fe4e…
08-09 15:05:46	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x8a1949…
08-09 13:54:37	will iran target a arab country on august 30 2026 20260801004719147	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8f1512…
08-09 13:25:03	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xefcc51…
08-09 11:15:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4,000	6¢	$240	0xc74e45…
08-09 09:54:49	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x84db09…
08-09 08:58:19	will iran target a arab country on august 22 2026 20260801004719139	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfb4850…
08-09 08:52:00	will iran target a arab country on august 9 2026 20260801004719126	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xac7a09…
08-09 07:03:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x383f57…
08-09 06:47:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	17¢	$8	0x2e44b1…
08-09 06:33:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xecc59e…
08-09 06:32:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0xb0edb9…
08-09 05:55:15	will iran target a arab country on august 15 2026 20260801004719132	Yes	SELL	185	13¢	$24	0x536632…
08-09 05:52:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	110	82¢	$91	0x956ac6…
08-09 04:36:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x6df373…
08-09 04:21:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	46	17¢	$8	0x4e0e28…
08-09 04:21:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	71	17¢	$12	0xbb7d49…
08-09 04:21:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	110	17¢	$19	0xbb1136…
08-09 04:21:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	169	17¢	$29	0xd40c68…
08-09 03:49:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xb6f3a5…
08-09 03:48:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xca345a…
08-09 00:54:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x55ca84…
08-09 00:46:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xef189f…
08-09 00:33:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xa95618…
08-09 00:28:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,333	17¢	$397	0xaadcba…
08-08 23:37:10	will iran target a arab country on august 10 2026 20260801004719127	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x2a8a2d…
08-08 21:57:25	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	540	82¢	$442	0x2c0832…
08-08 21:41:03	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	238	32¢	$76	0x0d21a0…
08-08 21:34:07	will iran target a arab country on august 24 2026 20260801004719141	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0xaaf4b7…
08-08 21:33:40	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	188	32¢	$60	0x58a78a…
08-08 17:17:52	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xfa37b7…
08-08 17:07:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	623	11¢	$69	0x8f2bca…
08-08 17:07:46	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	1,245	11¢	$137	0x11c045…
08-08 16:53:48	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x74ec58…
08-08 14:52:01	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x6e5a20…
08-08 14:45:07	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x5ed0c9…
08-08 13:57:12	will iran target a arab country on august 13 2026 20260801004719130	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x115b1d…
08-08 13:57:06	will iran target a arab country on august 16 2026 20260801004719133	Yes	SELL	167	12¢	$20	0x12ba5f…
08-08 13:54:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0x374dcb…
08-08 13:36:24	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	312	32¢	$100	0x4ba936…
08-08 13:13:03	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	SELL	340	32¢	$109	0x9961f5…
08-08 12:34:19	will iran target a arab country on august 16 2026 20260801004719133	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x78b68b…
08-08 12:16:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,850	16¢	$456	0x7f68c0…
08-08 12:00:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	594	8¢	$48	0x9ff1ce…
08-08 12:00:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x124955…
08-08 06:10:19	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa86683…
08-08 01:41:57	will iran target a arab country on august 26 2026 20260801004719143	Yes	BUY	581	8¢	$46	0x21b926…
08-07 22:22:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$28	0x45d036…
08-07 21:40:30	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xf8ac26…
08-07 20:52:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xd2597e…
08-07 20:52:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	645	4¢	$26	0x4ac7d0…
08-07 20:21:57	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0xbe9b90…
08-07 20:00:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x3f4ebb…
08-07 19:51:31	will iran target a arab country on august 7 2026 20260801004719124	Yes	SELL	340	3¢	$11	0xf01973…
08-07 19:38:31	will iran target a arab country on august 12 2026 20260801004719129	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xffac46…
08-07 19:35:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xafa108…
08-07 19:25:45	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	277	6¢	$17	0x27e0e6…
08-07 15:23:03	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x336891…
08-07 15:17:03	will iran target a arab country on august 26 2026 20260801004719143	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xfdd40b…
08-07 08:09:09	will iran target a arab country on august 26 2026 20260801004719143	Yes	BUY	269	8¢	$22	0x00c5b2…
08-07 08:09:06	will iran target a arab country on august 27 2026 20260801004719144	Yes	BUY	381	8¢	$30	0x64e3cb…
08-07 07:01:36	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x4de2da…
08-07 06:30:48	will iran target a arab country on august 26 2026 20260801004719143	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd6a0f8…
08-07 06:30:45	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x72fcec…
08-07 06:30:36	will iran target a arab country on august 22 2026 20260801004719139	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x24f7e2…
08-07 06:30:33	will iran target a arab country on august 20 2026 20260801004719137	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf1aa56…
08-07 06:19:42	will iran target a arab country on august 29 2026 20260801004719146	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x860d89…
08-07 06:19:16	will iran target a arab country on august 16 2026 20260801004719133	Yes	BUY	348	7¢	$24	0xa95588…
08-07 06:19:00	will iran target a arab country on august 15 2026 20260801004719132	Yes	BUY	257	9¢	$23	0x31d7ef…
08-07 05:33:30	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,297	6¢	$78	0x5937f4…
08-07 05:05:27	will iran target a arab country on august 15 2026 20260801004719132	Yes	BUY	514	9¢	$46	0x115d28…
08-07 01:03:34	will iran target a arab country on august 20 2026 20260801004719137	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xad3bf7…
08-07 00:38:45	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xc83df3…
08-07 00:07:14	will iran target a arab country on august 20 2026 20260801004719137	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x693eae…
08-06 22:26:39	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	9¢	$8	0x69c1d3…
08-06 22:25:05	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$210	0x8d135a…
08-06 22:21:09	will iran target a arab country on august 25 2026 20260801004719142	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x82e786…
08-06 21:48:53	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x414fb7…
08-06 21:48:02	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xa5dcce…