Polished-Foray 0x6992d5…4e6c1d
whale bot hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.23K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.03K
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
585
Trades
40,167
lifetime
Volume
$663.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.83K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-30 16:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Politics
60% 60% +$30,245
Other
39% 49% -$22,938
Sports
0% 0% -$657
Crypto
0% 38% -$424
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -4,500 $1,397 18¢ $-787 -$2,185 08-30 23:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +13,799 $1,123 3¢ $448 -$674 10-29 17:16
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +400 $378 98¢ $391 +$14 10-25 22:38
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +3,322 $363 12¢ $382 +$19 10-29 17:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -1,442 $71 15¢ $-211 -$283 10-10 21:38
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +236 $159 68¢ $161 +$2 10-26 04:07
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? Yes +8,368 $763 2¢ $142 -$621 10-26 16:07
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -2,840 -$216 5¢ $-142 +$74 09-27 13:56
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,759 $153 4¢ $139 -$14 10-24 22:13
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +150 $138 89¢ $134 -$4 10-30 14:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $100 56¢ $111 +$11 10-27 00:04
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 10-27 15:25
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +331 -$119 25¢ $83 +$202 10-30 02:24
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $28 41¢ $82 +$54 10-30 04:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 -$164 34¢ $67 +$231 10-30 02:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +100 $62 63¢ $63 +$1 10-29 17:45
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No +1,397 $97 4¢ $52 -$45 10-12 08:50
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,420 $62 2¢ $50 -$12 10-30 16:26
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +3,983 $286 1¢ $44 -$242 10-30 16:35
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +4,088 $40 1¢ $39 -$1 10-07 13:06
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $95 4¢ $36 -$58 10-19 22:21
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +3,000 $207 1¢ $33 -$174 10-15 15:32
will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31 Yes +707 $99 4¢ $30 -$69 10-16 18:55
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +536 $45 4¢ $24 -$21 10-23 21:18
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +800 $48 3¢ $23 -$25 10-10 19:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +300 $21 6¢ $18 -$3 10-24 20:23
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +2,200 $160 1¢ $15 -$144 10-15 14:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -400 $913 4¢ $-14 -$927 07-13 15:35
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,200 $155 1¢ $11 -$144 10-14 12:40
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3,000 $3 0¢ $6 +$3 10-30 14:40