Realized P&L
+$723
Unrealized P&L
-$3.11K
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
36,096
lifetime
Volume
$471.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$9.31K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-20 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
63% 67% +$99
Other
37% 100% +$624
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -26,358 $-3,711 26¢ $-6985 $-3,274 06-14 21:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -21,073 $-1,861 $-1370 +$491 06-14 21:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4,800 $-519 12¢ $-600 $-81 07-13 15:35
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -4,388 $-38 $-241 $-203 07-13 15:28
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -400 $-76 30¢ $-118 $-42 07-13 15:18