Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$293

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$602

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

11 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-09 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

86% 15% +$325

Other

14% 12% -$31

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+103	$30	6¢	$6	-$24	06-17 05:39
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+60	$1	2¢	$1	+$0	06-05 13:25
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	05-21 07:20
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+150	$1	0¢	$1	$0	06-05 13:24
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+71	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:25
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+102	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:25
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+132	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:24
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+124	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:25
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+66	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:25
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+106	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:25
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+100	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	06-05 13:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$187	183	183	+0	Yes	+$177	03-04 14:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$112	111	111	+0	Yes	+$110	04-09 14:42
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$40	286	0	+286	No	-$40	01-23 14:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$35	114	0	+114	Yes	+$79	04-05 09:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$30	103	0	+103	open	—	06-17 05:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$11	703	0	+703	No	-$11	04-09 15:02
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	06-16 18:54
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$6	61	0	+61	No	-$6	02-18 16:11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	1	$5	8	0	+8	Yes	+$3	06-16 18:57
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	07-09 06:18
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	06-18 15:46
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	-$5	07-09 06:18
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	1	$5	106	0	+106	No	-$5	01-23 14:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	01-23 16:58
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	1	$5	147	0	+147	No	-$5	01-23 14:05
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	1	$5	109	0	+109	No	-$5	01-23 14:05
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	1	$5	179	0	+179	No	-$5	01-23 14:05
us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	1	$5	18	0	+18	No	-$5	06-27 06:24
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$4	49	0	+49	No	-$4	06-17 05:39
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	2	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	06-16 18:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$3	60	0	+60	Yes	+$57	04-05 09:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$3	100	0	+100	No	-$3	05-01 08:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	59	0	+59	No	-$3	06-17 05:39
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$3	27	0	+27	No	-$3	04-09 15:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$3	95	0	+95	No	-$3	04-09 15:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	139	0	+139	No	-$3	04-13 13:45
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$2	40	0	+40	No	-$2	05-21 07:20
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	05-21 07:20
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	50	0	+50	No	-$2	05-21 07:19
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	1	$2	400	0	+400	No	-$2	02-17 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 06:18:44	Morocco to score first vs. France?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xef36a1…
07-09 06:18:37	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7bae48…
07-09 06:18:13	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x493b00…
06-27 06:26:14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xeb5546…
06-27 06:26:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x35f8e3…
06-27 06:24:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x21f573…
06-27 06:24:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x366a8a…
06-27 06:24:07	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x52adcd…
06-27 06:22:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x24f1c0…
06-27 06:22:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x29bdd5…
06-27 06:22:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x6dc4cc…
06-27 05:37:38	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x51f1b6…
06-27 05:37:25	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1951ae…
06-27 05:37:20	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc4316c…
06-27 05:37:05	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9f94e5…
06-27 05:36:17	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc05e6c…
06-27 05:35:43	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x98e522…
06-27 05:35:35	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7fa570…
06-27 05:35:35	Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x559fc4…
06-22 11:16:25	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1d3753…
06-22 11:15:44	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x83f8ae…
06-22 11:15:11	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7d9148…
06-22 11:14:28	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x0fc5ca…
06-18 15:46:20	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x24e190…
06-18 15:46:08	South Africa to score first vs. Czechia?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe4b456…
06-18 15:45:52	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e1840…
06-17 06:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa1e44f…
06-17 06:15:07	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x894310…
06-17 06:14:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x310ae5…
06-17 06:09:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa21343…
06-17 06:09:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xca7edd…
06-17 05:39:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x2f7653…
06-17 05:39:25	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xc7dfe4…
06-17 05:39:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa771c2…
06-16 18:57:43	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x795717…
06-16 18:57:32	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2797e3…
06-16 18:57:19	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0babb5…
06-16 18:57:14	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf0816e…
06-16 18:57:05	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7c7858…
06-16 18:56:46	Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8929f7…
06-16 18:56:34	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xcbe2dd…
06-16 18:56:19	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc6484a…
06-16 18:56:19	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x68053d…
06-16 18:56:05	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa9d782…
06-16 18:55:50	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8531a1…
06-16 18:55:40	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xbeda10…
06-16 18:55:34	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd9b070…
06-16 18:55:28	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd89cad…
06-16 18:55:22	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6293d3…
06-16 18:54:56	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9ebedd…
06-14 22:20:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7b9ec3…
06-14 22:20:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc5b6ef…
06-14 22:19:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x02c412…
06-05 13:27:54	Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	Yes	BUY	371	0¢	$1	0xa56c54…
06-05 13:27:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x70ab0f…
06-05 13:27:40	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	BUY	203	0¢	$1	0xb1b7b2…
06-05 13:27:34	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc5a7d2…
06-05 13:27:31	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	245	0¢	$1	0x80384b…
06-05 13:27:22	Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	BUY	209	0¢	$1	0xfaeeec…
06-05 13:27:16	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0x7a555a…
06-05 13:25:51	Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xc71bcc…
06-05 13:25:45	Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xcd1a1c…
06-05 13:25:40	Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x428a7e…
06-05 13:25:31	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0x266bb2…
06-05 13:25:24	Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd20776…
06-05 13:25:15	Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xfe7779…
06-05 13:25:03	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0x865cf3…
06-05 13:24:58	Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$1	0x8f01fb…
06-05 13:24:46	Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x017e6d…
06-05 13:23:51	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf7d3c1…
06-05 13:23:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc42368…
06-05 13:23:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x961123…
06-05 13:23:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x292d82…
06-05 13:22:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x0eef19…
05-21 07:22:04	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xddbcd5…
05-21 07:20:59	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x6345f0…
05-21 07:20:42	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x3ac1d8…
05-21 07:20:37	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xfb7716…
05-21 07:20:07	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9ae4ce…
05-21 07:19:32	Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x296187…
05-21 07:18:43	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xb6b911…
05-21 07:17:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x1eb025…
05-03 11:16:16	Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x9ea8cc…
05-03 11:10:32	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x7f0b6c…
05-01 08:42:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe6f06c…
04-21 20:12:24	elc sto mil 2026 04 21 sto	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x974cd8…
04-13 13:45:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xbd0b83…
04-13 13:43:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x26fbb7…
04-09 15:05:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x79b853…
04-09 15:04:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x3f7527…
04-09 15:03:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x216706…
04-09 15:02:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa19d2d…
04-09 15:00:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xb79d4a…
04-09 14:42:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x9eeeb0…
04-05 09:34:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x573c82…
04-05 09:20:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xaaecdc…
04-05 09:20:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xda7782…
04-05 09:20:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf1b74f…
04-05 09:14:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xb48395…
04-05 08:55:03	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	636	2¢	$10	0x25f202…