Tough-Mask — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.69K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

21,082

lifetime

Volume

$1.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 11:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

71% 60% +$5,800

Other

27% 44% +$1,079

Sports

1% 50% +$41

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 53% $-233

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	158	$45.1K	34,400	36,066	-1,666	open	—	04-08 04:57
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	233	$44.0K	34,848	33,587	+1,261	open	—	04-03 16:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	100	$39.1K	85,623	79,123	+6,500	open	—	08-01 18:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	303	$29.7K	108,763	95,858	+12,905	open	—	04-01 16:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	174	$23.4K	64,227	49,839	+14,388	open	—	02-28 07:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	52	$22.2K	43,500	43,500	+0	open	—	08-06 19:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	121	$21.7K	117,306	75,420	+41,886	open	—	08-08 11:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	96	$20.0K	24,949	24,949	+0	open	—	04-07 22:07
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	243	$18.2K	46,643	44,784	+1,859	open	—	01-15 01:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	114	$17.8K	41,232	41,232	+0	open	—	07-16 12:18
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	216	$17.7K	52,133	52,079	+54	open	—	02-01 03:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	140	$15.9K	28,469	11,798	+16,671	open	—	08-02 15:32
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	10	$12.0K	22,840	0	+22,840	open	—	03-28 23:06
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	76	$11.9K	11,735	11,734	+0	open	—	04-07 21:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	79	$11.1K	31,123	28,295	+2,828	open	—	01-31 18:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	40	$10.7K	19,931	21,042	-1,111	open	—	06-15 03:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	68	$9.8K	33,564	30,717	+2,847	open	—	05-30 06:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	126	$9.8K	28,406	28,406	+0	open	—	04-29 00:30
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	156	$9.5K	44,784	41,601	+3,183	open	—	03-15 01:59
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	137	$9.2K	35,180	34,676	+503	open	—	07-24 17:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	71	$9.1K	14,728	14,118	+610	open	—	03-26 20:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	121	$8.9K	12,208	12,208	-0	open	—	07-27 01:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	91	$8.6K	27,468	16,357	+11,111	open	—	05-03 21:14
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	75	$8.5K	17,012	15,048	+1,964	open	—	05-29 23:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	89	$8.5K	53,127	40,350	+12,777	open	—	05-30 16:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	157	$8.3K	18,454	15,631	+2,822	open	—	07-25 23:53
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	87	$8.1K	18,497	16,537	+1,960	No	+$1,011	05-08 19:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	48	$7.9K	22,425	19,202	+3,223	open	—	04-08 00:24
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	118	$7.7K	13,549	13,885	-336	open	—	02-12 18:56
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	192	$7.5K	4,045	4,312	-266	open	—	03-01 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 11:52:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	7,777	2¢	$117	0xd194cf…
08-11 11:52:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	5,555	1¢	$33	0xd1afa2…
08-11 11:43:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	6¢	$148	0x8e33d3…
08-11 10:32:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2,222	5¢	$111	0x5c133b…
08-11 02:05:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2,434	6¢	$146	0x7896c9…
08-11 00:07:36	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x8c18bb…
08-10 23:12:13	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x7a4897…
08-10 23:11:46	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xd3d4ac…
08-10 23:04:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	66	8¢	$5	0xe81a26…
08-10 22:33:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2,500	9¢	$225	0x3429b9…
08-10 22:23:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xbd8dbc…
08-10 20:21:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	8,617	2¢	$140	0x409aa5…
08-10 18:36:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$62	0xdad4cc…
08-10 09:14:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	2,500	11¢	$275	0xc64c7e…
08-10 08:43:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,111	8¢	$89	0x2b89f4…
08-10 08:43:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3,500	4¢	$134	0x2f6e78…
08-10 08:42:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1,300	9¢	$117	0x575a00…
08-09 11:15:31	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	291	96¢	$280	0x21a052…
08-09 08:10:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x24639d…
08-09 08:02:18	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	555	89¢	$494	0x4deb0f…
08-09 06:50:43	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x88f884…
08-09 06:49:40	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc4b56e…
08-09 06:49:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x8fe9e7…
08-09 06:48:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xca7446…
08-09 06:48:10	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x15a26b…
08-09 06:47:28	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb8a8c9…
08-09 05:55:48	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$11	0x4081e7…
08-09 05:54:18	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xfaca3d…
08-08 19:48:25	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	SELL	439	18¢	$78	0xa5f78b…
08-08 17:36:58	iran full airspace closure by august 15	No	BUY	555	96¢	$533	0x8fbb9f…
08-08 17:36:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	555	89¢	$494	0x780d93…
08-08 16:58:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	16,000	0¢	$80	0x6e0ced…
08-08 16:57:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0x64f683…
08-08 16:57:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x37bf3e…
08-08 16:56:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xb0510b…
08-08 16:56:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x363468…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5,555	11¢	$611	0x9d6da6…
08-08 10:29:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,066	12¢	$128	0x5856ed…
08-08 10:26:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4,489	12¢	$539	0x9935d9…
08-08 04:30:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4,837	13¢	$629	0x2e14af…
08-08 04:23:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x19cf1f…
08-08 04:19:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x3babb9…
08-08 04:03:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x9149ed…
08-08 04:00:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	110	13¢	$14	0x83b8b6…
08-08 03:32:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	154	13¢	$20	0x3737c9…
08-08 03:30:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xaead6d…
08-08 03:27:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x2164ca…
08-08 03:24:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x4b87d6…
08-08 03:07:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	428	13¢	$56	0x6a7ac8…
08-08 01:56:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5,198	13¢	$676	0xef0937…
08-08 01:46:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	299	13¢	$39	0x70c2d2…
08-08 01:43:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x802d12…
08-08 01:42:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xacc122…
08-08 01:41:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5,555	13¢	$722	0x95db63…
08-08 00:27:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	10¢	$145	0x7231de…
08-08 00:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x2b4240…
08-07 23:30:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	16,000	1¢	$128	0x53f10a…
08-07 21:32:09	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	90	35¢	$32	0x779c96…
08-07 19:36:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	555	61¢	$339	0xd96cdf…
08-07 19:35:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	555	61¢	$339	0x624ba9…
08-07 19:22:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	1,110	60¢	$666	0x8e14ea…
08-07 19:20:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x836510…
08-07 19:13:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	555	60¢	$333	0xa1b796…
08-07 19:12:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	555	61¢	$339	0x8170d7…
08-07 19:10:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	61	61¢	$37	0x1b443d…
08-07 19:10:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	667	61¢	$407	0xa5752e…
08-07 19:10:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0x3bf74c…
08-07 19:09:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	48	64¢	$31	0x11e66a…
08-07 19:08:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	555	61¢	$339	0x7228e1…
08-07 19:07:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	306	63¢	$193	0xce8c63…
08-07 19:05:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	355	61¢	$216	0x30a940…
08-07 18:29:54	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	123	35¢	$43	0x21dbcb…
08-07 18:13:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7,009	13¢	$911	0xbdd547…
08-07 18:10:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xbca4b3…
08-07 18:06:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x6aa550…
08-07 18:06:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x39c60c…
08-07 18:02:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	72	14¢	$10	0x7f0e63…
08-07 18:02:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xaa2813…
08-07 18:00:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x197ff0…
08-07 17:54:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x6a5d8b…
08-07 17:53:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0xa55516…
08-07 17:38:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4,285	13¢	$557	0xfc71bd…
08-07 17:37:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,270	13¢	$165	0x7689b8…
08-07 17:27:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	30,000	1¢	$240	0xf221c4…
08-07 17:23:46	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xfd7c65…
08-07 14:30:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4,961	12¢	$595	0xafab9c…
08-07 14:24:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x40eaf4…
08-07 14:22:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd86456…
08-07 14:22:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6d5e24…
08-07 14:22:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x36b075…
08-07 14:22:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2d09dd…
08-07 14:22:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1a08c3…
08-07 14:22:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x46bf41…
08-07 14:19:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc398d8…
08-07 14:04:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	205	12¢	$25	0x8cf264…
08-07 14:02:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x9066b6…
08-07 14:02:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x27f6a1…
08-07 14:01:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	296	12¢	$36	0x2cab4d…
08-07 13:47:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	167	14¢	$23	0x6f23d1…
08-07 13:42:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf74d1d…