Realized P&L
+$6.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.01K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
50
Trades
19,363
lifetime
Volume
$1.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$7.09K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% +$5,800
Other
25% 44% +$1,079
Sports
1% 50% +$41
Tech
1%
Crypto
0% 53% $-233
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +13,000 $1,680 26¢ $3.3K +$1,635 07-16 16:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +7,555 $927 12¢ $944 +$17 07-20 10:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,259 $534 34¢ $757 +$223 07-13 00:25
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +921 $499 53¢ $488 $-11 07-09 04:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -347 $-247 83¢ $-288 $-42 05-31 21:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,277 $349 $279 $-71 06-25 06:46
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -1,581 $-256 12¢ $-190 +$66 07-20 02:03
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -1,377 $-213 12¢ $-158 +$55 06-19 19:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -676 $-189 22¢ $-145 +$44 06-15 21:20
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +607 $151 24¢ $143 $-9 07-16 18:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +2,000 $98 $111 +$13 07-07 22:29
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -203 $-75 39¢ $-80 $-4 06-02 06:21
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +359 $34 18¢ $66 +$33 07-21 06:02
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +799 $25 $44 +$18 06-03 05:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-32 16¢ $-33 $-1 06-03 06:34
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -406 $-37 $-22 +$15 06-07 06:40
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -367 $-40 $-13 +$27 05-30 00:41
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -41 $-3 12¢ $-5 $-2 07-19 20:20
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -29 $-6 16¢ $-5 +$2 06-04 06:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 07-13 16:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +3 $-1 84¢ $2 +$3 06-03 05:59
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 $-0 07-18 16:26