Realized P&L
+$6.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.06K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
50
Trades
17,992
lifetime
Volume
$992.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$4.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
74% 60% +$5,800
Other
24% 44% +$1,079
Tech
1%
Sports
0% 50% +$41
Crypto
0% 53% $-233
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5,555 $833 15¢ $805 $-28 06-28 19:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,372 $300 42¢ $576 +$276 07-01 00:58
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,277 $349 11¢ $344 $-5 06-25 06:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +2,222 $285 12¢ $278 $-7 06-29 17:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -347 $-247 75¢ $-260 $-14 05-31 21:39
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +416 $240 60¢ $248 +$8 06-26 19:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -241 $-219 100¢ $-240 $-21 05-28 14:08
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -222 $-222 100¢ $-221 +$0 06-21 17:22
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -1,377 $-213 15¢ $-200 +$13 06-19 19:24
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? No +189 $188 100¢ $188 +$1 06-17 00:12
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +607 $186 30¢ $179 $-7 06-24 23:52
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -676 $-189 26¢ $-172 +$17 06-15 21:20
Macron out by June 30, 2026? No +107 $107 100¢ $107 +$0 06-20 23:39
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -519 $-118 18¢ $-96 +$21 06-30 20:51
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -203 $-75 41¢ $-83 $-8 06-02 06:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +13,131 $497 $72 $-425 06-26 13:21
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +58 $54 97¢ $56 +$2 06-02 00:22
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Yes -1,644 $-101 $-48 +$53 06-02 20:24
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -367 $-40 11¢ $-39 +$2 05-30 00:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-32 19¢ $-38 $-6 06-03 06:34
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +799 $25 $37 +$12 06-03 05:56
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -406 $-37 $-26 +$11 06-07 06:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +11,293 $671 $23 $-648 06-18 16:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +20 $15 99¢ $20 +$5 06-15 16:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +571 $107 $17 $-90 06-29 05:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes -7,888 $-110 $-8 +$103 06-04 06:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -42 $-3 16¢ $-7 $-3 06-22 04:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -5,733 $152 $-6 $-158 06-19 15:13
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -29 $-6 20¢ $-6 +$1 06-04 06:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -5,526 $155 $-6 $-161 06-22 23:42