Tough-Mask 0xad529d…5211ac
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$320
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
50
Trades
19,478
lifetime
Volume
$1.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$3.79K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
73% 60% +$5,800
Other
25% 44% +$1,079
Sports
1% 50% +$41
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 53% $-233
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +7,079 $865 14¢ $956 +$90 07-21 19:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +2,259 $534 34¢ $757 +$223 07-13 00:25
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +921 $499 50¢ $461 $-38 07-09 04:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -347 $-247 82¢ $-285 $-38 05-31 21:39
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +3,277 $349 8¢ $246 $-104 06-25 06:46
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -1,587 $-256 12¢ $-190 +$66 07-21 20:56
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes -1,377 $-213 12¢ $-158 +$55 06-19 19:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -676 $-189 22¢ $-145 +$44 06-15 21:20
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +489 $123 23¢ $113 $-10 07-22 13:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +2,000 $98 6¢ $112 +$14 07-07 22:29
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +359 $34 22¢ $81 +$47 07-21 06:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +7,490 $166 1¢ $79 $-87 07-22 04:14
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -203 $-75 38¢ $-77 $-2 06-02 06:21
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +799 $25 6¢ $44 +$19 06-03 05:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-32 18¢ $-37 $-5 06-03 06:34
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes -406 $-37 6¢ $-22 +$15 06-07 06:40
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -367 $-40 3¢ $-12 +$29 05-30 00:41
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -29 $-6 18¢ $-5 +$1 06-04 06:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -41 $-3 12¢ $-5 $-2 07-19 20:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +10 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 07-13 16:39
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +3 $-1 84¢ $2 +$3 06-03 05:59
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $-0 07-18 16:26