Dreary-Chili-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$546

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$252

Open exposure

$38

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-30 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% -$5

Other

26% 0% -$539

Crypto

11% 0% -$1

Sports

7% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No		+29	$29	100¢	$29	$0	10-30 23:10
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	$0	10-31 00:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	5	$2.6K	1,298	1,298	+0	No	-$1	06-27 23:39
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	3	$2.5K	1,248	1,248	+0	No	-$1	06-27 00:40
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	06-25 10:37
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$2.5K	1,248	1,248	+0	open	—	06-26 05:59
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,215	1,215	+0	open	—	06-26 23:26
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.4K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	06-26 06:37
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$2.4K	1,182	1,182	+0	No	-$1	06-26 07:18
Will Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	4	$1.9K	968	968	+0	No	-$2	05-11 01:28
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	976	976	+0	open	—	05-09 11:41
Will Kim Eun-hye win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	3	$1.9K	954	954	+0	No	-$1	05-11 00:09
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$1.9K	952	952	+0	No	-$1	05-10 01:57
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	3	$1.9K	951	951	+0	No	-$1	05-10 23:38
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$1.9K	945	945	+0	open	—	05-09 11:08
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	4	$1.9K	956	956	+0	open	—	05-12 03:23
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$1.7K	864	864	+0	open	—	05-12 02:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$314	158	158	+0	No	$0	04-10 02:50
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$311	596	40	+556	No	-$273	09-14 12:48
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?	2	$292	605	30	+575	Yes	-$265	09-11 08:53
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$202	101	101	+0	open	—	05-15 00:07
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	06-30 08:41
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	06-26 07:11
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	3	$149	76	76	+0	open	—	10-18 13:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$148	74	74	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:19
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$144	72	72	+0	open	—	10-25 02:14
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	4	$128	64	64	+0	No	$0	06-27 00:32
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	05-11 01:18
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	05-12 03:32
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	05-10 01:51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	3	$84	42	42	+0	No	$0	05-12 23:42
EU dissolves before 2027?	2	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	05-12 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 00:09:33	Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8ff21c…
10-30 23:19:40	Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3020d9…
10-30 23:10:19	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd69438…
10-25 02:14:00	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x3df743…
10-25 01:29:50	Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5bc2cc…
10-25 01:10:51	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6bd231…
10-25 01:02:18	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xaba676…
10-25 00:53:15	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x38befc…
10-25 00:40:57	Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x29645c…
10-25 00:30:14	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7683ab…
10-21 06:25:29	Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1d691e…
10-21 05:59:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbfe6ff…
10-21 05:53:41	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xe13d9e…
10-21 05:47:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x25394c…
10-21 05:40:14	Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3c6589…
10-21 05:33:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xcfca20…
10-21 05:24:14	Plague pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xde0258…
10-18 13:21:59	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0x1edec0…
10-18 13:12:03	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x09051c…
10-18 13:02:05	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xa4563d…
10-18 12:51:59	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6f9945…
10-18 12:43:53	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x69f7e7…
10-18 12:33:59	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3d8777…
10-18 12:27:36	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc362b6…
10-18 12:19:27	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5d124e…
09-14 12:48:18	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x89e20a…
09-14 11:56:18	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	596	49¢	$292	0x5c9980…
09-11 08:53:43	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0x38bfba…
09-11 08:04:22	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	605	46¢	$278	0x67bb11…
06-30 08:41:07	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x451c15…
06-30 08:34:34	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x35f855…
06-30 08:24:28	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x798cb9…
06-30 08:18:32	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x03b648…
06-30 08:09:55	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x580f42…
06-30 08:02:49	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5bc561…
06-30 07:57:19	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x80a3fb…
06-30 07:48:47	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x059b71…
06-30 07:40:22	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x51f690…
06-27 23:39:26	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xeea8da…
06-27 23:30:41	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xb201ad…
06-27 23:24:08	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaaa658…
06-27 23:16:49	Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xca04ee…
06-27 00:40:16	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	1,248	100¢	$1,245	0x10c775…
06-27 00:32:07	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xc0d3af…
06-27 00:24:29	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc607be…
06-27 00:18:25	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	1,225	100¢	$1,224	0x3caa68…
06-27 00:09:32	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2c887e…
06-27 00:01:14	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	1,276	100¢	$1,273	0x167202…
06-26 23:52:49	Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x72a5e8…
06-26 23:42:01	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6eafe3…
06-26 23:31:41	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	1,256	100¢	$1,254	0x079863…
06-26 23:26:17	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	946	100¢	$941	0x63e7c1…
06-26 23:17:16	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x693924…
06-26 23:09:17	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0xe3b7e3…
06-26 23:00:50	Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,215	100¢	$1,210	0xb8d82a…
06-26 07:18:28	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,182	100¢	$1,176	0x392f87…
06-26 07:11:29	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x66b2c9…
06-26 07:01:07	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x98f239…
06-26 06:52:17	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,146	100¢	$1,142	0x5e433d…
06-26 06:43:22	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x371f4f…
06-26 06:37:40	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,210	99¢	$1,202	0x973085…
06-26 06:27:07	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3814a4…
06-26 06:16:31	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0dd60a…
06-26 06:07:38	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,171	99¢	$1,164	0xe79eec…
06-26 05:59:41	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	898	99¢	$890	0x5d3723…
06-26 05:43:43	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x31ec34…
06-26 05:36:29	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	350	99¢	$347	0xa39a65…
06-26 05:26:10	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xd5aa50…
06-26 05:19:22	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,248	99¢	$1,238	0x02c49e…
06-25 12:28:16	Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0xb66826…
06-25 12:19:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x3aef0e…
06-25 12:13:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5b3a8c…
06-25 11:36:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc7d694…
06-25 11:27:34	Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x8fe661…
06-25 11:09:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1cac2d…
06-25 11:00:41	Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x1bc9e8…
06-25 10:37:50	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	986	100¢	$984	0x227442…
06-25 10:30:23	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x22f5cc…
06-25 10:24:28	Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x285666…
06-25 10:12:58	Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,239	0xc3e72e…
05-15 00:07:25	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xa85537…
05-15 00:01:51	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x1a2e50…
05-14 23:56:13	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$30	0xb82490…
05-14 23:48:34	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2fc9cb…
05-14 23:42:50	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x3cb2a5…
05-14 23:33:59	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb9f667…
05-14 23:26:56	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf6fb19…
05-14 23:18:39	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1e9317…
05-14 23:09:28	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf40f47…
05-14 23:00:23	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbf2068…
05-12 23:42:37	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xe62a2b…
05-12 23:34:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x96586d…
05-12 23:26:17	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xef3599…
05-12 23:18:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x433e23…
05-12 23:09:40	EU dissolves before 2027?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x7f8f97…
05-12 03:32:28	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x4d5142…
05-12 03:23:31	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	956	98¢	$934	0x17bb50…
05-12 03:15:56	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xea6eaf…
05-12 03:08:50	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	899	98¢	$879	0x40d64f…
05-12 02:59:43	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcb39d7…