Realized P&L
-$422
Unrealized P&L
-$688
Hit rate
37.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
219
lifetime
Volume
$75.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$342
Open exposure
$19.2K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-18
last 07-19 12:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
82% 0% $-130
Crypto
8% 25% $-140
Politics
8%
Sports
3% 50% $-152
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,410 $5,000 72¢ $4.6K $-353 07-17 02:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +4,832 $4,637 96¢ $4.6K $-5 07-16 05:25
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +4,444 $4,107 90¢ $4.0K $-85 07-15 04:10
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,930 $1,865 92¢ $1.8K $-98 07-12 06:39
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,624 $1,443 88¢ $1.4K $-6 07-16 01:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1,250 $-1,202 96¢ $-1205 $-3 06-13 02:48
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +870 $800 95¢ $828 +$28 06-16 00:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +336 $350 94¢ $317 $-33 07-16 01:45
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -234 $-185 93¢ $-217 $-32 07-12 06:38
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +1,420 $200 $99 $-101 06-14 02:49