Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.16K

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$546.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.58K

Open exposure

$2.76K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-07 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

53% 61% -$2,160

Politics

44% 76% +$6,361

Crypto

3% 100% +$147

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+16,856	$1,902	8¢	$1.4K	-$470	09-29 09:20
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+5,429	$1,662	16¢	$850	-$813	08-08 03:19
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	+12,132	$1,964	2¢	$243	-$1,721	08-21 06:49
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	+3,312	$226	4¢	$121	-$105	07-20 14:10
US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	+2,943	$118	2¢	$74	-$44	07-20 14:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	+1,035	$52	4¢	$40	-$12	07-20 14:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	16	$63.7K	63,800	0	+63,800	No	+$64	01-20 04:30
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$62.6K	63,000	0	+63,000	Yes	+$441	01-31 08:29
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$60.9K	61,000	0	+61,000	Yes	+$61	01-06 14:01
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$58.8K	59,000	0	+59,000	No	+$177	01-01 23:44
will trump say unbelievable or fantastic or incredible 10 times during panthers visit	6	$45.4K	45,473	0	+45,473	Yes	+$91	01-18 18:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	9	$32.4K	32,390	0	+32,390	Yes	+$32	03-12 18:19
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$31.9K	32,000	0	+32,000	Yes	+$64	03-24 12:28
will iran strike israel on march 6	5	$31.6K	31,692	0	+31,692	No	+$100	03-11 00:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$31.2K	32,150	0	+32,150	No	+$997	02-07 02:29
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$16.3K	16,450	0	+16,450	No	+$147	06-03 21:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$14.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	+$338	06-16 08:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$12.1K	12,098	0	+12,098	Yes	+$12	04-24 10:55
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	9	$12.0K	6,442	6,442	+0	Yes	+$903	05-02 13:42
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	28	$9.4K	64,055	11,624	+52,431	No	-$1,071	08-21 03:01
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	14	$7.3K	7,896	0	+7,896	No	+$618	06-27 09:20
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	4	$5.8K	7,612	0	+7,612	Yes	+$1,781	04-29 08:37
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	7	$5.8K	8,229	2,800	+5,429	open	—	08-08 03:19
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	15	$5.5K	9,962	0	+9,962	No	+$4,491	08-26 10:07
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$5.1K	5,135	0	+5,135	Yes	+$16	05-31 23:06
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$60	06-07 22:51
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	8	$4.6K	6,075	0	+6,075	No	-$4,561	07-31 19:30
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be less than 70m	4	$4.0K	5,510	0	+5,510	Yes	-$3,967	04-12 04:27
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	25	$3.7K	6,489	4,282	+2,207	No	+$1,642	07-24 02:08
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$2.5K	4,934	0	+4,934	Yes	-$2,491	08-07 09:05
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	4	$2.0K	12,132	0	+12,132	open	—	08-21 06:49
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.9K	16,856	0	+16,856	open	—	09-29 09:20
Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	103	$1.6K	15,124	0	+15,124	Yes	+$8,514	10-06 02:03
will the super mario galaxy movie 2nd weekend box office be between 70m and 80m	15	$1.4K	2,083	0	+2,083	No	-$1,429	04-12 11:29
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	11	$1.4K	4,384	2,943	+1,441	No	-$1,228	10-07 17:25
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?	5	$1.2K	3,188	0	+3,188	open	—	09-05 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 17:25:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	SELL	675	3¢	$19	0x182434…
10-07 17:06:46	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	SELL	218	3¢	$6	0xff8813…
10-07 17:04:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xa7519f…
10-07 17:01:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	SELL	1,999	3¢	$56	0x99fe5e…
10-06 22:00:42	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	411	35¢	$143	0x062654…
10-06 21:54:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,473	28¢	$414	0x9ee6b3…
10-06 21:49:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$142	0x81b99d…
10-06 21:30:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	500	33¢	$166	0x53d4e2…
10-06 21:29:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x9ba9e2…
10-06 21:21:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0xa2a82b…
10-06 21:21:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x37d1b7…
10-06 02:03:50	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xe1c482…
10-06 01:06:02	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x5f4982…
10-06 01:01:10	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x68d8c9…
10-06 01:01:07	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x8ca74f…
10-06 01:01:05	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x012a92…
10-06 01:01:04	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xd68c15…
10-06 01:01:01	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x8465ce…
10-06 01:00:59	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0x1ee360…
10-06 01:00:53	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0xd7651f…
10-06 01:00:52	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	54	21¢	$11	0x6bddea…
10-06 01:00:50	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	54	21¢	$11	0xbe9535…
10-06 01:00:49	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0x985f5f…
10-06 01:00:46	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0x36a12e…
10-06 01:00:44	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0x1dd24f…
10-06 01:00:43	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xf560dc…
10-06 01:00:38	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xee32dd…
10-06 01:00:38	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xb2cc1b…
10-06 01:00:35	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	59	21¢	$12	0xf69da6…
10-06 01:00:35	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x245a49…
10-06 01:00:32	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x17cf8e…
10-06 01:00:25	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x693234…
10-06 01:00:22	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x9eb46c…
10-06 01:00:20	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	58	21¢	$12	0x2b14bf…
10-06 01:00:19	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x5f81c1…
10-06 01:00:17	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0x306394…
10-06 01:00:14	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x71dd2f…
10-06 01:00:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0xb48bc7…
10-06 01:00:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x7a807c…
10-06 01:00:11	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xd02af1…
10-06 01:00:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xde6153…
10-06 01:00:07	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x2d18e4…
10-06 01:00:05	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xd583ec…
10-06 01:00:01	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x2df2a4…
10-06 00:59:58	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb39f62…
10-06 00:59:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x5c43fe…
10-06 00:59:10	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xbbcebf…
10-06 00:59:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xb737a0…
10-06 00:58:29	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x20eafe…
10-06 00:58:26	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x090d10…
10-06 00:58:25	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xf41d3f…
10-06 00:58:23	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xba5a6a…
10-06 00:58:22	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x256c99…
10-06 00:58:20	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x6af0dc…
10-06 00:58:17	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x4c2602…
10-06 00:58:16	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x182df2…
10-06 00:58:14	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x6440c1…
10-06 00:58:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x72873b…
10-06 00:57:56	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0xa4014c…
10-06 00:57:55	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0xfae1d1…
10-06 00:57:52	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x23fee7…
10-06 00:57:50	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	32	20¢	$6	0x43df52…
10-06 00:57:50	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x362dbf…
10-06 00:57:49	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x60d123…
10-06 00:57:47	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0xc4879e…
10-06 00:57:44	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfa2a2e…
10-06 00:57:43	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfe3e23…
10-06 00:57:40	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xc31d88…
10-06 00:57:38	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x657358…
10-06 00:57:37	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x33bd3c…
10-06 00:57:35	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0xe49c72…
10-06 00:57:35	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x289f28…
10-06 00:57:34	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	518	18¢	$93	0x7ef964…
10-06 00:57:32	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x5755ad…
10-06 00:57:31	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0xe70999…
10-06 00:57:25	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x6809ea…
10-06 00:57:23	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0xf17a8f…
10-06 00:57:23	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	518	18¢	$93	0x697a7b…
10-06 00:57:22	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x3df413…
10-06 00:57:20	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xb3af5a…
10-06 00:57:19	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x557c97…
10-06 00:57:16	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x58d2e8…
10-06 00:57:14	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x9ea132…
10-06 00:57:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x9f1b3c…
10-06 00:57:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	506	18¢	$91	0x9b4cc5…
10-06 00:57:13	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x740084…
10-06 00:57:10	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xcc16ac…
10-06 00:57:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x9e72e6…
10-06 00:57:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x31c608…
10-06 00:57:05	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x3fa548…
10-06 00:57:05	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x33c3c3…
10-06 00:57:04	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	524	18¢	$94	0xfd90fe…
10-06 00:57:04	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xd0d867…
10-06 00:57:02	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x014808…
10-06 00:56:43	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	512	16¢	$82	0xa0d394…
10-06 00:56:40	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xcf3d4c…
10-06 00:56:31	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	357	15¢	$53	0x420257…
10-06 00:56:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xe1d4ff…
10-06 00:56:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xa20b9f…
10-06 00:56:08	Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	529	15¢	$79	0x146500…