Immediate-Geology 0x734c93…971d86
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$4.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$251
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 06-25 17:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
53% 0% $-10
Other
44% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +663 $64 6¢ $36 $-27 06-25 17:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,036 $-55 3¢ $-33 +$22 06-01 17:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +44 $20 70¢ $31 +$11 06-25 17:21
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +57 $30 54¢ $31 +$1 06-25 17:30
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -503 $-30 6¢ $-28 +$3 06-01 17:45
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +190 $40 14¢ $26 $-14 06-09 12:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +465 $30 4¢ $17 $-13 06-15 05:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +125 $20 12¢ $16 $-4 06-10 18:07
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +167 $20 8¢ $14 $-6 06-09 07:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +154 $20 6¢ $10 $-10 06-10 18:06
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +59 $10 16¢ $9 $-1 06-25 17:28