Immediate-Geology 0x734c93…971d86
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$34
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
208
lifetime
Volume
$4.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$299
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 07-21 15:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
50% 0% $-10
Other
47% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +1,258 $89 5¢ $57 $-32 07-22 13:15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,036 $-55 4¢ $-38 +$17 06-01 17:44
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +57 $30 66¢ $37 +$7 06-25 17:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +920 $50 4¢ $35 $-15 07-21 03:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +105 $28 29¢ $30 +$2 07-21 03:01
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Yes -503 $-30 6¢ $-28 +$3 06-01 17:45
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +59 $10 34¢ $20 +$10 06-25 17:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +250 $20 8¢ $19 $-1 07-22 13:13
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +125 $20 12¢ $14 $-6 06-10 18:07
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +167 $20 6¢ $11 $-9 06-09 07:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +154 $20 7¢ $10 $-10 06-10 18:06