Realized P&L
-$2.35K
Unrealized P&L
-$166
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
343
Trades
11,874
lifetime
Volume
$267.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.02K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-14 11:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Politics
67% 56% +$1,903
Other
29% 56% -$1,256
Crypto
4% 44% -$2,999
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +373 $304 76¢ $286 -$19 11-14 11:28
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +149 $121 98¢ $147 +$26 10-08 14:06
Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? Yes +2,472 $169 4¢ $94 -$75 11-14 10:17
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +85 $82 96¢ $81 $0 11-13 04:18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15? No +133 $51 60¢ $81 +$30 11-13 05:28
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +198 -$3 33¢ $65 +$68 11-14 14:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in November? Yes +76 $55 84¢ $63 +$9 11-13 10:31
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +2,473 $100 2¢ $38 -$62 10-31 04:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? No +38 -$3 77¢ $29 +$32 11-03 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in November? No +170 $25 16¢ $27 +$2 11-14 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? Yes +35 $30 73¢ $25 -$5 11-13 15:41
will wti reach 105 in november 2026 No +27 -$10 88¢ $23 +$34 11-09 11:21
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31? Yes +23 $17 82¢ $19 +$2 11-12 18:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November? Yes +38 $79 23¢ $9 -$70 11-12 17:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? No +8 $6 96¢ $8 +$2 11-10 09:24
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? No +124 $12 6¢ $7 -$6 11-06 23:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $66 48¢ $4 -$62 11-13 15:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? No +13 -$17 27¢ $4 +$21 11-13 10:31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 -$1 94¢ $3 +$5 09-29 05:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? Yes +26 $20 12¢ $3 -$17 11-03 20:10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +149 $25 2¢ $2 -$23 10-06 22:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $24 6¢ $0 -$24 11-08 23:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November? Yes +2 -$61 4¢ $0 +$61 11-02 12:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November? Yes +0 $2 38¢ $0 -$2 11-11 04:14
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +0 $92 2¢ $0 -$92 06-17 15:55