Jumpy-Blank 0x1693c3…1b5d20
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$5.25K
Unrealized P&L
-$230
Hit rate
74.6%
Resolved
114
Trades
809
lifetime
Volume
$98.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$122
Open exposure
$10.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 05:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
52% 71% +$4,886
Politics
47% 81% +$377
Sports
1% 62% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,023 $3,585 86¢ $3.5K -$105 10-26 15:37
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +860 $760 97¢ $833 +$73 07-01 14:43
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +827 $656 88¢ $727 +$71 07-01 14:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +738 $575 76¢ $564 -$11 10-29 05:07
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes +684 $601 78¢ $530 -$71 07-24 02:13
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +849 $670 58¢ $497 -$173 09-24 03:44
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +600 $379 66¢ $399 +$20 10-26 09:42
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +419 $379 92¢ $384 +$5 06-29 18:10
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +352 $320 91¢ $320 +$0 10-29 05:43
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +355 $312 86¢ $307 -$5 10-26 15:37
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -300 -$300 98¢ $-294 +$6 07-30 14:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $243 84¢ $254 +$10 07-04 07:22
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $244 72¢ $218 -$27 07-02 21:41
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -200 -$181 96¢ $-192 -$11 07-21 16:33
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +189 $157 72¢ $137 -$20 07-07 01:41
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +144 $130 92¢ $132 +$2 06-20 09:27
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +186 $154 58¢ $109 -$45 07-05 01:10
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +110 $97 97¢ $107 +$10 05-27 17:13
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +103 $93 96¢ $99 +$6 06-19 03:09
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 -$107 97¢ $-97 +$10 07-30 15:16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $103 92¢ $92 -$10 10-25 15:54
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +105 $63 70¢ $74 +$11 07-04 17:56
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +70 $57 92¢ $64 +$7 05-25 02:23
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +100 $52 52¢ $52 +$0 10-26 23:41
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $44 82¢ $41 -$3 05-12 05:10
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -40 -$38 98¢ $-39 -$1 08-19 14:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +34 $19 100¢ $34 +$15 07-05 15:21
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +30 $24 92¢ $27 +$3 06-25 14:51
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +33 $21 66¢ $22 +$1 10-26 09:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -20 -$19 96¢ $-19 -$1 08-18 06:00