(anonymous) 0xcbffcd…fdf748
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Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
63.3%
Resolved
4
Trades
478
lifetime
Volume
$2.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$129
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-06
last 06-28 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
52% 50% $-17
Politics
45% 50% +$38
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -657 $-73 8¢ $-49 +$24 06-18 02:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +91 $35 42¢ $38 +$2 06-28 05:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +250 $25 11¢ $26 +$1 06-18 02:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +18 $11 25¢ $5 $-6 06-26 02:24
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -113 $-6 4¢ $-4 +$1 06-11 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 44¢ $3 +$0 06-28 05:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -22 $-4 14¢ $-3 +$1 06-05 14:32
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +12 $-3 6¢ $1 +$3 06-20 01:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-6 18¢ $0 +$6 06-28 04:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1 $15 9¢ $0 $-14 06-22 14:10
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? Yes +1 $-1 1¢ $0 +$1 06-16 23:00