Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-31 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% $-17

Politics

43% 50% +$38

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	14	$297	1,078	1,069	+9	open	—	04-20 05:30
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	13	$273	1,712	1,469	+244	open	—	07-27 22:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	13	$257	357	301	+56	open	—	07-18 16:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	14	$131	343	343	+0	open	—	05-22 03:06
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	7	$108	811	806	+5	open	—	07-27 22:32
US x China Military clash before 2027?	9	$104	1,299	294	+1,005	open	—	07-19 16:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	17	$99	457	190	+267	open	—	05-26 00:40
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	14	$98	82	81	+1	open	—	04-20 22:36
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	7	$92	246	35	+211	open	—	07-30 21:44
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	3	$89	79	79	+0	open	—	04-19 13:10
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	8	$82	258	258	+0	open	—	03-23 03:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	3	$81	311	310	+1	open	—	07-19 16:40
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	5	$75	173	172	+1	open	—	06-22 14:10
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$69	100	100	+0	open	—	03-08 22:32
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	5	$65	2,548	48	+2,500	open	—	05-26 03:15
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$60	71	71	+0	open	—	03-08 01:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$57	63	63	+0	open	—	04-21 23:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	4	$53	268	268	+0	open	—	06-11 18:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$50	45	45	+0	Yes	+$40	05-09 05:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$50	40	40	+0	open	—	04-05 00:25
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	2	$50	132	0	+132	open	—	07-30 14:12
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	1	$50	109	0	+109	open	—	07-28 18:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	5	$49	155	126	+29	open	—	07-04 14:30
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$47	22	42	-20	open	—	06-10 03:23
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$47	190	94	+96	open	—	03-25 14:00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	4	$40	29	29	+0	open	—	05-26 00:37
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	8	$39	139	139	+0	open	—	07-31 02:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	4	$39	73	55	+18	open	—	06-26 02:24
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	8	$38	2,344	2,344	+0	open	—	04-03 02:08
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	6	$37	1,171	1,170	+1	open	—	03-20 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 02:27:42	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x77d910…
07-31 02:25:41	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x1672c4…
07-31 02:24:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x5b9ec5…
07-30 21:44:50	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x12d700…
07-30 14:42:59	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x683dec…
07-30 14:15:35	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x29ad32…
07-30 14:12:47	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x61657f…
07-30 00:26:29	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x75a444…
07-28 18:16:14	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xff52e8…
07-28 18:15:35	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xbfb9e9…
07-27 22:34:55	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	601	7¢	$41	0x15b77b…
07-27 22:32:40	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	SELL	603	8¢	$46	0xfd45f1…
07-21 03:35:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	44	7¢	$3	0x23228c…
07-19 16:42:49	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	544	4¢	$21	0xca82d6…
07-19 16:40:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	310	8¢	$25	0x5a05b9…
07-18 16:08:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	284	18¢	$51	0xdb0dc0…
07-18 16:04:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	172	30¢	$52	0x553d33…
07-18 16:04:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0x24a00d…
07-18 02:26:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xb9662b…
07-18 01:47:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x62c48f…
07-18 01:36:19	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x3e941d…
07-15 14:20:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xd7fa59…
07-15 14:17:04	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf2eeee…
07-15 14:16:32	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	7¢	$10	0x61fcbe…
07-14 22:48:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	30¢	$16	0x784684…
07-14 22:46:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	35	36¢	$12	0x9e3b54…
07-14 22:46:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	41	20¢	$8	0x67ec19…
07-13 15:08:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xe22baf…
07-13 15:01:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2c25b8…
07-13 15:01:40	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x22fd42…
07-13 14:57:34	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	SELL	203	5¢	$11	0xaf2c9f…
07-13 14:35:56	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x11ec22…
07-13 14:34:38	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x3dc6b9…
07-13 14:33:40	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x556404…
07-09 00:12:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8d7ea0…
07-08 15:18:16	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x7016ce…
07-08 01:01:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0xa7f64c…
07-08 00:50:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997 185	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x94abcd…
07-05 16:16:46	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x126e53…
07-04 14:30:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x548f6b…
07-04 02:08:14	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x99fe7a…
07-04 02:06:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x1e3475…
07-04 02:06:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x7b2c9f…
07-04 02:04:47	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during remarks at mount rushmore 20260703143048109	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfdd5fb…
07-04 01:37:14	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x004b25…
07-04 01:34:50	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x1b5978…
07-04 01:34:08	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	265	6¢	$15	0xb2ca05…
07-04 01:33:17	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0xd4eace…
07-03 20:28:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x49f475…
07-03 20:26:29	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x9caa6c…
07-03 20:26:07	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x0ff0b4…
07-03 20:25:38	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$15	0x329804…
07-03 15:31:11	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0xfe7c71…
07-02 18:37:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x0b21aa…
06-28 05:18:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x764a51…
06-28 05:17:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x39f7b5…
06-28 05:17:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xef51f4…
06-28 05:14:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa66970…
06-28 05:12:32	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xb540f5…
06-28 05:11:23	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x176f2a…
06-28 04:52:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	20¢	$25	0x6caa77…
06-26 02:26:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2caf7a…
06-26 02:25:32	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x2059ac…
06-26 02:24:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0xd18e46…
06-26 02:24:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x78604d…
06-26 02:23:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	Yes	SELL	279	0¢	$1	0x3c281d…
06-23 18:14:20	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf1ad7a…
06-23 13:22:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5f8dba…
06-22 14:10:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x470ea5…
06-22 00:51:32	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0x0320a2…
06-21 18:58:19	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc70969…
06-20 03:38:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd7bb4a…
06-20 01:51:34	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x08c8d6…
06-20 01:44:34	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	54	51¢	$27	0xf1b036…
06-20 01:34:56	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13c019…
06-18 02:42:26	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7ddf84…
06-18 02:41:55	cuba leader miguel diaz canel in us custody by june 30	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x35d190…
06-18 02:34:29	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xed1e32…
06-18 02:33:31	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	167	9¢	$15	0xbcc868…
06-18 02:32:29	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x86e3db…
06-18 02:28:53	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xee9d49…
06-17 01:23:10	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x125c45…
06-17 01:22:29	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x2dcf4c…
06-16 23:01:17	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xb5e9d0…
06-16 23:00:04	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x4d6c60…
06-16 22:45:20	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	133	1¢	$2	0x724399…
06-16 22:38:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x64fd56…
06-15 13:17:54	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	261	10¢	$26	0x6a57ff…
06-15 02:24:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3fbd36…
06-15 02:22:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x5d7c62…
06-15 02:21:33	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa932fd…
06-15 02:12:58	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7f1519…
06-15 02:12:28	US x China Military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	293	10¢	$29	0x2c969b…
06-14 23:36:18	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xd5ec3a…
06-14 23:32:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x3944d1…
06-14 23:26:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x536903…
06-14 14:42:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xae6c49…
06-13 19:17:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x9c1df9…
06-13 16:02:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x389422…
06-13 16:01:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xcee322…