Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

362

Trades

19,149

lifetime

Volume

$115.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 09-23 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

68% 60% -$9

Politics

30% 71% +$27

Tech

1% 76% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 702 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	08-15 14:25
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+0	-$3	89¢	$0	+$3	08-17 15:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	84¢	$0	$0	09-05 22:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	08-06 15:06
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	+0	$0	87¢	$0	$0	09-05 03:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	1,303	$9.7K	6,899	6,899	+0	No	+$27	08-07 20:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	709	$5.2K	3,852	3,852	+0	No	+$13	07-30 09:42
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	479	$4.3K	2,520	2,520	+0	No	+$13	08-27 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	374	$3.3K	2,094	2,094	+0	No	+$7	07-28 01:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	334	$2.8K	1,716	1,716	+0	No	-$4	08-27 16:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	991	$2.4K	4,606	4,606	+0	open	—	09-14 07:29
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	156	$2.0K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	08-12 06:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?	183	$1.9K	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$2	07-25 09:13
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	186	$1.9K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	$0	09-13 07:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	182	$1.9K	1,089	1,089	+0	No	+$2	07-26 21:18
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	179	$1.8K	1,112	1,112	+0	No	+$6	07-31 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	174	$1.7K	990	990	+0	No	+$7	08-31 14:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	136	$1.6K	828	828	+0	No	+$1	09-14 09:47
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	146	$1.5K	808	808	+0	No	+$3	07-30 02:13
israel closes its airspace by august 15	157	$1.5K	826	826	+0	No	+$0	08-10 10:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	128	$1.4K	754	754	+0	No	+$2	08-05 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	151	$1.4K	781	781	+0	No	+$3	07-25 13:05
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	129	$1.3K	732	732	+0	No	-$1	07-30 20:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	118	$1.3K	672	672	+0	No	+$2	08-04 19:29
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	100	$1.2K	624	624	+0	No	+$2	08-13 01:30
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	96	$1.2K	613	613	+0	No	+$0	08-01 23:11
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	127	$1.1K	726	726	+0	No	$0	07-29 18:00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	185	$1.1K	897	896	+1	No	-$10	08-28 14:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	200	$1.1K	1,122	1,122	+0	Yes	-$10	09-14 08:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	106	$1.0K	618	618	+0	No	+$3	09-14 10:56
will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	78	$1.0K	533	533	+0	No	+$1	08-02 09:31
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	441	$1.0K	1,983	1,983	+0	No	+$0	07-31 09:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	241	$1.0K	1,307	1,292	+15	Yes	-$7	07-23 08:57
Iran leadership change by July 31?	96	$1.0K	527	527	+0	No	+$1	07-25 04:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	71	$878	465	465	+0	No	+$0	08-10 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 02:17:08	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x3a98a6…
09-15 22:27:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x12fb98…
09-15 22:10:31	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x9724a5…
09-14 13:07:49	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x7436fe…
09-14 13:00:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xf1d98c…
09-14 10:56:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x9d84cf…
09-14 09:47:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x1ea01e…
09-14 09:47:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x89ce6c…
09-14 09:30:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x5a27ed…
09-14 09:07:37	US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0xe8f800…
09-14 08:25:33	will wti dip to 80 in september 2026	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x0c439c…
09-14 08:03:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0xcee18c…
09-14 07:48:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x59f80c…
09-14 07:48:09	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xb7281c…
09-14 07:48:09	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xb12e81…
09-14 07:48:09	Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x7eebec…
09-14 07:48:09	UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x705540…
09-14 07:48:09	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x34b027…
09-14 07:48:09	Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x311f1c…
09-14 07:48:09	Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x080985…
09-14 07:33:40	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x548ce5…
09-14 07:32:43	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x867ba8…
09-14 07:32:03	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x9bc135…
09-14 07:31:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb013d5…
09-14 07:30:21	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x99f8d2…
09-14 07:29:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xf99f16…
09-14 07:26:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x394cd8…
09-14 07:25:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xa4c613…
09-14 07:20:04	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x39207b…
09-14 07:19:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x6953bb…
09-14 07:17:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9ab59e…
09-14 06:57:27	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xb361cd…
09-14 06:53:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x4650f4…
09-14 06:49:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0x5a97b2…
09-14 06:46:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x3af1f7…
09-14 06:41:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x15f5a3…
09-14 06:40:40	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xdc76c8…
09-14 06:29:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x85d8aa…
09-14 06:21:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x9e5abf…
09-14 06:15:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xe8efe2…
09-14 06:08:07	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x761036…
09-14 05:56:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x70224e…
09-14 05:45:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x4a0e45…
09-14 05:44:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x98c860…
09-14 05:30:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x46c7a4…
09-14 05:27:30	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0xd97158…
09-14 05:26:55	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x97cdbe…
09-14 05:25:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8b6ede…
09-14 05:16:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xac6933…
09-14 05:13:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x276744…
09-14 05:05:46	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x2a389d…
09-14 05:01:25	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd1e385…
09-14 05:01:21	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x5549cb…
09-14 04:59:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x84bf25…
09-14 04:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x4b9e80…
09-14 04:35:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x930a0d…
09-14 04:29:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x9c1b0d…
09-14 04:08:04	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd6b542…
09-14 04:01:37	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0x88d017…
09-14 03:59:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x1ebc37…
09-14 03:57:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x330ff2…
09-14 03:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x4f2ab1…
09-14 03:30:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0ddc59…
09-14 03:19:07	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xabcd2d…
09-14 03:17:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x65d503…
09-14 03:01:57	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x0c099c…
09-14 01:52:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xb49c41…
09-14 01:24:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xd00155…
09-14 01:16:10	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x074be6…
09-14 01:12:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa07fcd…
09-14 01:06:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x085f7c…
09-14 01:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xfcb43d…
09-14 01:00:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0xcd4b60…
09-14 00:34:30	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x5292f1…
09-14 00:10:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x27f7b9…
09-14 00:09:06	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x1d83fa…
09-14 00:09:03	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xed12a4…
09-14 00:06:16	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x21e232…
09-13 23:46:48	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0xd4f862…
09-13 23:31:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0xe15c8e…
09-13 23:16:16	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xe6c8da…
09-13 23:01:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xbec06b…
09-13 23:00:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x8b59b1…
09-13 22:52:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x97b3fb…
09-13 22:46:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xe335ed…
09-13 22:35:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd8bed0…
09-13 22:32:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x9315ca…
09-13 22:19:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x39d683…
09-13 22:10:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7bca45…
09-13 22:09:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xcf9869…
09-13 21:57:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xc40e4a…
09-13 21:49:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x7f99f6…
09-13 21:43:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x9929ae…
09-13 21:39:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x320f8a…
09-13 21:39:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$5	0xb0fd65…
09-13 21:39:03	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xc964c0…
09-13 21:38:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x4af305…
09-13 21:36:51	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x046e7e…
09-13 21:36:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xe830e6…
09-13 21:35:19	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0x25f91f…