(anonymous) 0x4b41d8…e9652d
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$136
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
85.7%
Resolved
113
Trades
209
lifetime
Volume
$10.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$1.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-26
last 10-11 13:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
62% 91% -$172
Crypto
20% 71% -$76
Politics
17% 95% +$108
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +217 $200 95¢ $207 +$7 08-02 15:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +213 $200 96¢ $203 +$3 08-03 13:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +156 $150 98¢ $152 +$2 07-26 17:14
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +151 $140 96¢ $145 +$5 08-13 16:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +150 $140 94¢ $142 +$2 08-31 16:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +139 $130 94¢ $131 +$1 09-13 11:54
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +137 $130 94¢ $128 -$2 08-19 15:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +57 $50 100¢ $57 +$7 08-11 17:23
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +53 $50 97¢ $51 +$1 08-11 16:59
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +52 $50 97¢ $51 +$1 08-13 16:01
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +52 $50 97¢ $50 +$0 08-13 17:02
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +42 $40 97¢ $41 +$1 10-11 13:37
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +38 $35 99¢ $37 +$2 10-11 13:34
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +41 $30 91¢ $37 +$7 08-13 16:12
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +33 $30 96¢ $32 +$2 09-06 11:31
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 +$0 08-13 16:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +33 $30 90¢ $30 $0 08-19 15:26
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 08-11 17:08
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +26 $25 97¢ $25 +$0 09-22 18:58
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +27 $25 92¢ $25 $0 08-20 15:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +22 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 08-20 15:00
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 09-06 11:04
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 08-13 16:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +22 $20 92¢ $21 +$1 09-28 17:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +23 $20 85¢ $20 +$0 09-06 11:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 82¢ $19 -$1 08-31 16:23
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +26 $25 73¢ $19 -$6 10-05 14:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +23 $20 71¢ $16 -$4 09-22 18:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 09-13 12:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 09-28 17:48