Realized P&L
+$25.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.22K
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
333
Trades
2,325
lifetime
Volume
$1.68M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$724
Open exposure
$186.0K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-29 02:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
59% 92% +$17,359
Sports
36% 83% +$10,262
Politics
4% 86% -$2,403
Tech
0% 67% +$100
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +125,001 $119,044 97¢ $121.2K +$2,144 10-27 01:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +41,315 $38,297 95¢ $39.4K +$1,118 10-16 11:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5,706 -$6,167 98¢ $-5578 +$590 09-29 05:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5,119 $3,194 90¢ $4.6K +$1,439 08-22 16:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3,123 $2,079 80¢ $2.5K +$419 10-16 11:00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +2,328 $2,015 94¢ $2.2K +$185 07-19 08:37
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +2,105 $1,782 84¢ $1.8K -$24 10-22 04:04
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +1,425 $1,388 98¢ $1.4K +$6 10-19 04:21
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +1,393 $1,279 98¢ $1.4K +$79 10-16 11:00
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -1,347 -$1,325 96¢ $-1295 +$30 10-16 10:31
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +1,071 $986 95¢ $1.0K +$34 10-20 08:37
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $930 94¢ $935 +$5 10-26 04:05
China coup attempt before 2027? No +631 $574 97¢ $615 +$41 05-05 04:16
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +591 $485 100¢ $591 +$106 10-28 01:47
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +445 $396 96¢ $429 +$33 05-05 09:14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +295 $261 97¢ $285 +$24 10-20 01:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $420 55¢ $272 -$148 07-16 01:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -700 -$357 32¢ $-228 +$130 05-26 08:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 09-16 02:42
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +111 $65 66¢ $73 +$8 10-20 08:33
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +55 $50 100¢ $55 +$5 05-04 09:52
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No +53 $51 96¢ $51 +$0 05-11 01:17
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +45 $42 95¢ $43 +$0 05-27 03:53
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +111 $41 33¢ $36 -$5 10-22 03:48