(anonymous) 0x8c0dde…c59d95
9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$129
Unrealized P&L
+$427
Hit rate
89.3%
Resolved
22
Trades
211
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$7.22K
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-25 15:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
87% 64% -$3
Politics
8% 64% +$132
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +1,300 $973 77¢ $1000 +$26 09-30 06:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,000 $780 88¢ $880 +$100 09-26 17:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +900 $793 97¢ $875 +$82 09-26 19:46
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +760 $581 97¢ $740 +$158 07-06 11:41
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +520 $403 98¢ $510 +$107 05-12 01:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $420 82¢ $489 +$69 07-19 16:11
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +400 $376 98¢ $390 +$14 07-03 20:26
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +400 $373 97¢ $387 +$15 07-08 07:48
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +400 $358 94¢ $374 +$16 08-21 19:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +500 $370 70¢ $350 -$20 10-14 15:30
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 No +400 $310 84¢ $338 +$28 07-10 15:48
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +300 $268 90¢ $268 +$0 10-20 08:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +800 $196 23¢ $185 -$11 09-26 12:39
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +120 $114 94¢ $112 -$2 10-22 08:47
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +560 $29 17¢ $96 +$67 09-29 02:05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +250 $32 27¢ $68 +$36 07-15 10:30
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +112 $81 58¢ $66 -$15 07-18 03:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +100 $30 26¢ $26 -$4 10-15 12:27
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21 Yes +175 $93 15¢ $25 -$68 10-24 17:18
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +500 $20 4¢ $21 +$0 09-29 00:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $132 4¢ $14 -$118 06-06 07:16
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +200 $62 2¢ $5 -$57 10-08 15:51