Realized P&L
-$2.02K
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved
2,318
Trades
14,403
lifetime
Volume
$454.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.12K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 08-20 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
78% 46% -$2,111
Sports
17% 53% -$162
Tech
4% 100% +$163
Politics
0% 67% -$5
Crypto
0% 89% +$95
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +530 $397 95¢ $504 +$106 06-22 14:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +247 $114 97¢ $240 +$126 06-21 23:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +123 $58 96¢ $119 +$61 06-21 14:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +76 $36 72¢ $55 +$19 06-21 14:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +56 $50 97¢ $54 +$4 06-22 14:54
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +530 $140 5¢ $27 -$114 06-22 13:54
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $52 78¢ $25 -$27 06-29 10:37
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +76 $40 28¢ $21 -$19 06-21 03:06
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +17 $14 96¢ $16 +$2 06-22 15:18
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 06-23 12:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +11 $8 92¢ $10 +$2 06-21 14:17
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +247 $138 3¢ $7 -$131 06-29 12:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +32 $7 22¢ $7 $0 06-22 13:15
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-29 10:35
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-22 16:07
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +123 $67 4¢ $4 -$62 06-21 14:27
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 06-29 13:40
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +56 $6 3¢ $2 -$4 06-22 23:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +11 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 06-20 17:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +17 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 06-22 15:09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +7 $3 8¢ $1 -$3 06-22 21:45
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 06-29 12:44
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 $0 06-22 16:05
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +3 $0 4¢ $0 $0 06-25 02:59