Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,759
lifetime
Volume
$280.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$1.30K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-20
last 07-10 06:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
80%
Sports
19%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 933 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +530 $397 70¢ $368 $-29 06-22 14:18
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +247 $114 78¢ $194 +$80 06-21 23:37
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +530 $140 30¢ $162 +$21 06-22 13:54
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +123 $58 82¢ $100 +$43 06-21 14:22
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +247 $138 22¢ $53 $-85 06-29 12:38
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +76 $49 69¢ $53 +$3 06-24 11:15
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +56 $50 91¢ $51 +$1 06-22 14:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +76 $36 64¢ $49 +$13 06-21 14:23
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +50 $41 82¢ $41 +$1 06-23 09:20
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? Yes +54 $28 50¢ $27 $-1 06-21 14:23
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +54 $26 50¢ $27 +$1 06-21 11:27
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +76 $26 31¢ $24 $-2 06-23 10:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +66 $35 36¢ $23 $-11 06-21 03:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +32 $52 72¢ $23 $-29 06-29 10:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +87 $47 18¢ $16 $-31 06-21 14:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +17 $14 90¢ $16 +$1 06-22 15:18
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 06-23 12:18
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? Yes +50 $9 18¢ $9 $-1 06-29 10:34
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +11 $8 78¢ $8 +$1 06-21 14:17
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +10 $7 74¢ $7 +$1 06-21 00:41
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +8 $2 92¢ $7 +$5 06-20 14:16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +25 $6 28¢ $7 +$1 06-22 13:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-22 16:07
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +56 $6 $5 $-1 06-22 23:58
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $6 71¢ $5 $-1 06-29 10:35
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-29 13:40
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? Yes +5 $4 62¢ $3 $-0 06-22 21:27
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 $-1 06-21 14:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +11 $3 22¢ $2 $-1 06-20 17:45
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +7 $3 29¢ $2 $-1 06-22 21:45