Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
258
Trades
359
lifetime
Volume
$1.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$26
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 11-01 05:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
43% 62% +$46
Sports
29% 49% -$67
Crypto
24% 76% -$9
Politics
3% 38% -$6
Tech
1% 50% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +77 $10 10¢ $7 -$3 07-04 23:47
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 70¢ $6 +$1 09-18 12:43
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +90 $15 5¢ $5 -$10 10-21 03:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 30¢ $4 -$6 08-04 10:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +91 $7 2¢ $2 -$5 07-04 09:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-25 02:37
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +13 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 05-12 05:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 8¢ $0 -$3 07-14 15:58
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? Yes +11 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 06-30 12:10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +2 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-17 01:29