Any-Scam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$43

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$268

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-11 19:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-10

Politics

14% 0% $-6

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+137	$100	96¢	$131	+$31	06-02 20:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	+102	$100	99¢	$101	+$1	06-02 20:47
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	-125	$-48	29¢	$-36	+$11	06-11 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	2	$1.2K	1,221	0	+1,221	open	—	04-20 10:26
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$500	523	0	+523	open	—	04-21 01:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$500	517	0	+517	open	—	05-08 18:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$358	216	208	+9	open	—	04-27 02:20
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	2	$244	159	156	+2	open	—	05-15 20:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$171	237	28	+209	open	—	05-25 12:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	06-02 20:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	06-02 20:49
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-21 00:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	06-02 20:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	06-02 20:50
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$48	0	125	-125	open	—	06-11 19:05
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	04-21 01:08
btc updown 5m 1776627000	1	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	04-19 19:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$21	31	31	+0	open	—	04-19 21:36
btc updown 5m 1776635100	3	$21	58	0	+58	open	—	04-19 21:49
lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-20 12:34
bra san flu 2026 04 19 san	2	$10	23	22	+0	open	—	04-19 21:03
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	04-19 19:15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-19 19:10
lol red vks 2026 04 19	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-19 19:05
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	1	$10	27	0	+27	Team Vitality	$-10	05-04 16:48
Pistons vs. Magic	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-01 21:01
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 19:04
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-19 19:16
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 17:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-19 23:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	82	0	+82	open	—	04-19 18:56
Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	1	$5	24	0	+24	Yes	$-5	04-21 00:30
lol kbm ts3 2026 04 20	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	04-20 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 19:05:36	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	125	38¢	$48	0x9b9cea…
06-02 20:50:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x04bdd6…
06-02 20:50:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x5dddf8…
06-02 20:49:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8dfecb…
06-02 20:47:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x31c5bb…
05-30 17:31:07	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7d9b5b…
05-30 16:12:27	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb105aa…
05-25 12:33:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	209	67¢	$140	0x4dfc10…
05-15 20:57:19	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	92¢	$144	0xd25964…
05-08 18:27:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0xb1d99a…
05-04 16:48:06	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Fnatic	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb4e083…
05-01 21:04:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	77¢	$21	0x75b9b9…
05-01 21:01:26	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6d6e24…
04-27 15:13:24	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xbc11d2…
04-27 02:30:36	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xb1608f…
04-27 02:20:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x6de4b4…
04-21 01:25:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	208	72¢	$149	0x98b82d…
04-21 01:12:26	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	523	96¢	$500	0x69b08c…
04-21 01:08:34	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x826bae…
04-21 00:55:06	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe5e3ce…
04-21 00:35:08	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	Yes	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0x72d51d…
04-21 00:31:04	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x6e0fbd…
04-21 00:30:58	Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2026?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xad437e…
04-21 00:23:58	Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfcfb97…
04-21 00:16:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x028591…
04-20 22:12:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc07b4f…
04-20 22:09:58	lol kbm ts3 2026 04 20	Team Solid	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc30df1…
04-20 14:16:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xe1f570…
04-20 12:34:54	lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8204b9…
04-20 10:26:26	dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	Team Liquid	BUY	1,119	100¢	$1,117	0xe2d3a7…
04-20 10:23:42	dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	Team Liquid	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x60f940…
04-20 10:15:56	btc updown 5m 1776680100	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x887dad…
04-19 23:47:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x68271a…
04-19 21:49:04	btc updown 5m 1776635100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x117eef…
04-19 21:46:56	btc updown 5m 1776635100	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x054325…
04-19 21:45:42	btc updown 5m 1776635100	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5c10a2…
04-19 21:40:14	btc updown 5m 1776634800	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdbb613…
04-19 21:38:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x649adf…
04-19 21:36:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x9b4a9a…
04-19 21:03:04	bra san flu 2026 04 19 san	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x5d45ca…
04-19 19:29:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdcfb8a…
04-19 19:28:20	btc updown 5m 1776627000	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5936e3…
04-19 19:18:06	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x8f0fce…
04-19 19:16:06	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfcc1e4…
04-19 19:15:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5e6a01…
04-19 19:10:10	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8947d2…
04-19 19:06:52	bra san flu 2026 04 19 san	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x001e25…
04-19 19:05:48	dota2 sar1 z10 2026 04 19	South America Rejects	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcc19c6…
04-19 19:05:22	lol red vks 2026 04 19	RED Canids	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9d1060…
04-19 19:04:00	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x3b0711…
04-19 18:56:52	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	1¢	$2	0xabde63…
04-19 18:56:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x1212d1…