Realized P&L
+$619
Unrealized P&L
+$134
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
337
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$853
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 06-14 22:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
69% 100% +$496
Crypto
12%
Sports
10% 100% +$123
Other
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +800 $132 30¢ $236 +$104 06-07 10:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -258 $-253 88¢ $-228 +$25 06-14 22:03
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -200 $-192 97¢ $-194 $-2 06-11 21:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +100 $84 92¢ $92 +$8 06-05 05:00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -80 $-76 96¢ $-77 $-1 06-09 21:01
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes -50 $-19 42¢ $-21 $-2 06-11 14:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $5 48¢ $5 +$0 06-11 20:52