Alienated-Octagon 0xfd82c8…22342b
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$619
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
403
lifetime
Volume
$18.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$1.54K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-05 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
72% 100% +$496
Other
11% — —
Crypto
9% — —
Sports
8% 100% +$123
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -520 $-486 86¢ $-449 +$37 06-21 05:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -315 $-302 98¢ $-307 $-6 07-01 19:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +510 $237 40¢ $204 $-33 06-25 16:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +200 $180 94¢ $187 +$7 06-27 07:09
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$2 06-17 16:17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +100 $93 94¢ $94 +$2 07-05 00:40
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -72 $-68 98¢ $-71 $-3 06-29 19:41
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +600 $80 10¢ $57 $-23 06-24 12:26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +49 $47 96¢ $47 +$0 06-30 15:56
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes -50 $-19 50¢ $-25 $-6 06-11 14:52