Realized P&L
-$36
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
4,215
lifetime
Volume
$47.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$151
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-04 20:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
39% 67% +$2
Other
36% 0% $-38
Politics
21%
Crypto
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -148 $-71 36¢ $-54 +$17 06-13 10:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -326 $-36 14¢ $-44 $-8 06-13 13:29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -430 $-21 $-31 $-9 06-14 19:26
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -120 $-26 18¢ $-22 +$4 06-14 17:22