Realized P&L
-$2.27K
Unrealized P&L
+$233
Hit rate
45.0%
Resolved
561
Trades
4,457
lifetime
Volume
$51.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$77
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 08-24 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Sports
42% 53% -$1,155
Other
34% 41% -$1,732
Politics
20% 70% +$631
Crypto
3% 42% +$19
Pop-Culture
1% 50% +$7
Tech
0% 0% -$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -20 -$17 94¢ $-19 -$2 07-13 19:57
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$14 6¢ $-12 +$2 07-13 19:59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -240 -$58 4¢ $-11 +$47 07-14 20:31
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$10 2¢ $-8 +$2 07-13 19:59
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -150 -$72 4¢ $-7 +$65 08-24 17:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -70 -$17 10¢ $-7 +$10 07-13 20:49
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -90 -$17 6¢ $-6 +$11 07-18 13:22
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -400 -$44 1¢ $-3 +$41 06-13 13:29
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -430 -$21 0¢ $-2 +$20 06-14 19:26
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$4 0¢ $-2 +$2 07-13 19:59
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$4 0¢ $-1 +$3 07-13 19:59
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -120 -$26 1¢ $-1 +$25 06-14 17:22
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -27 -$7 0¢ $-0 +$7 08-24 17:37