Realized P&L
-$704
Unrealized P&L
+$55.5K
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
10
Trades
14,843
lifetime
Volume
$8.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$547
Open exposure
$246.6K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 14:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
70% 33% +$6,290
Other
29% 50% $-6,994
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +317,563 $49,865 29¢ $90.5K +$40,640 07-21 14:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +52,247 $36,829 78¢ $41.0K +$4,184 07-05 18:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 92¢ $39.9K +$2,432 06-30 07:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +41,621 $22,970 88¢ $36.6K +$13,657 06-30 16:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +235,295 $25,613 11¢ $24.7K $-907 07-19 09:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +89,481 $10,799 $7.6K $-3,193 07-01 15:08
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +10,477 $2,008 22¢ $2.3K +$297 07-16 06:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,320 86¢ $-1730 $-410 06-12 17:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +4,472 $1,159 18¢ $783 $-377 07-10 22:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,118 $798 22¢ $455 $-342 06-20 22:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,228 $565 34¢ $411 $-154 06-23 22:03
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +4,758 $761 $404 $-357 06-30 03:28
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +1,130 $169 16¢ $186 +$17 07-12 15:33
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $2 12¢ $3 +$0 07-20 14:09