Realized P&L
-$704
Unrealized P&L
-$5.48K
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
10
Trades
13,700
lifetime
Volume
$6.83M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$498
Open exposure
$119.6K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 06:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
74% 33% +$6,290
Other
26% 50% $-6,994
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 86¢ $37.2K $-182 06-30 07:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +41,621 $22,970 72¢ $30.2K +$7,205 06-30 16:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +32,557 $22,428 70¢ $23.0K +$525 07-01 06:19
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +35,111 $16,049 46¢ $16.0K $-73 06-30 19:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -3,350 $-3,082 100¢ $-3343 $-261 06-12 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,347 $3,280 99¢ $3.3K +$44 06-28 06:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,671 $1,854 15¢ $3.0K +$1,143 06-29 12:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2,000 $-1,320 82¢ $-1630 $-310 06-12 17:48
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +4,758 $761 17¢ $809 +$48 06-30 03:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,118 $798 30¢ $625 $-173 06-20 22:10
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,228 $565 42¢ $510 $-55 06-23 22:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -28,965 $1,613 $-29 $-1,642 06-17 04:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -12,227 $204 $-12 $-216 06-17 04:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -11,782 $588 $-12 $-600 06-17 04:34
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +5,406 $1,417 $5 $-1,411 05-31 17:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -3,154 $145 $-3 $-149 06-17 04:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +1,015 $819 $1 $-818 06-17 04:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +679 $8,555 $1 $-8,554 06-17 04:34