Bulky-Antler 0x74471a…48a16d
whale hot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$284.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$26.9K
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
478
Trades
23,772
lifetime
Volume
$12.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$522
Open exposure
$614.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-27 08:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Politics
63% 45% +$518,016
Other
36% 29% -$212,721
Sports
0% 50% -$13,714
Tech
0% 0% -$1,311
Crypto
0% 25% -$12,952
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$6,867
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 302 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166,129 $115,778 74¢ $122.1K +$6,327 10-15 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50,382 $35,207 86¢ $43.6K +$8,348 09-13 20:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 98¢ $42.7K +$5,285 06-30 07:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +45,681 $25,929 92¢ $42.3K +$16,325 10-14 14:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +490,568 $44,293 8¢ $36.8K -$7,501 10-25 18:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +30,328 $25,834 96¢ $29.2K +$3,326 09-15 18:24
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +41,290 $25,804 66¢ $27.5K +$1,654 10-17 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -41,290 -$28,161 66¢ $-27458 +$703 10-25 21:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +28,108 $18,215 93¢ $26.1K +$7,925 10-02 11:52
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +110,432 $10,309 22¢ $24.3K +$13,987 10-26 05:02
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20,874 $4,454 78¢ $16.3K +$11,827 09-03 20:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -92,737 -$7,698 18¢ $-16229 -$8,531 10-25 20:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17,130 -$13,218 81¢ $-13909 -$692 10-17 06:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +65,005 $9,738 18¢ $11.9K +$2,125 10-19 19:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +79,165 $22,624 15¢ $11.5K -$11,145 10-20 20:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +13,645 $9,590 84¢ $11.4K +$1,803 10-15 23:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +169,667 $35,343 6¢ $11.0K -$24,314 10-25 19:53
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +27,427 $8,899 38¢ $10.6K +$1,661 10-27 08:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +76,191 $8,883 14¢ $10.3K +$1,403 10-24 00:43
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $9,690 98¢ $9.8K +$150 10-17 10:50
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +10,000 $2,180 92¢ $9.3K +$7,070 08-09 18:31
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +21,379 $5,269 38¢ $8.2K +$2,962 10-27 02:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +60,522 $10,684 14¢ $8.2K -$2,513 10-21 23:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +125,132 $19,759 6¢ $8.1K -$11,626 10-26 16:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61,682 $12,559 12¢ $7.1K -$5,466 10-03 04:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +50,382 $7,074 14¢ $6.8K -$247 09-01 18:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6,115 $5,187 96¢ $5.9K +$683 10-15 19:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,186 $4,012 92¢ $5.7K +$1,709 05-23 20:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -20,000 -$5,800 26¢ $-5300 +$500 10-18 12:33
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +12,166 $2,167 44¢ $5.3K +$3,126 07-08 12:14