Realized P&L
-$704
Unrealized P&L
-$1.45K
Hit rate
47.4%
Resolved
10
Trades
11,693
lifetime
Volume
$4.72M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$404
Open exposure
$44.9K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-09 18:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
68% 33% +$6,290
Other
31% 50% $-6,994
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 429 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -17,045 $-11,704 64¢ $-10823 +$880 06-07 10:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +30,000 $6,900 32¢ $9.7K +$2,850 05-29 14:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +10,000 $9,100 94¢ $9.4K +$350 06-04 12:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +52,173 $9,833 18¢ $9.1K $-703 06-08 20:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +150,276 $4,886 $3.7K $-1,204 06-04 20:21
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +12,555 $630 $691 +$61 06-04 11:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +34,303 $1,993 $515 $-1,478 06-01 16:21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +1,212 $473 20¢ $236 $-236 05-28 18:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +8,011 $630 $228 $-402 06-02 17:22
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +5,406 $1,417 $195 $-1,222 05-31 17:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes +12,148 $285 $164 $-121 06-02 13:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +615 $68 $28 $-40 06-02 21:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +237 $185 $0 $-185 06-04 00:04