Bulky-Antler 0x74471a…48a16d
whale cold 2L streak
3Unusual bets: 3 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$46.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.60K
Hit rate
1.6%
Resolved (7d)
10
Trades (7d)
1,370
24,534 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$243.3K
$12.5M lifetime
Avg / trade
$511
Open exposure
$508.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 20:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 157 days
Categories
Politics
64% 44% +$510,274
Other
35% 29% -$245,675
Sports
0% 50% -$13,714
Tech
0% 0% -$1,311
Crypto
0% 25% -$12,952
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$6,867
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166,129 $115,778 57¢ $94.7K -$21,084 10-15 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50,382 $35,207 93¢ $47.0K +$11,749 09-13 20:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 98¢ $42.8K +$5,328 06-30 07:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +41,290 $25,804 72¢ $29.5K +$3,719 10-17 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -41,290 -$28,161 72¢ $-29523 -$1,361 10-25 21:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +30,328 $25,834 97¢ $29.4K +$3,554 09-15 18:24
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +20,000 $6,600 99¢ $19.8K +$13,200 10-27 19:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +121,318 $12,524 16¢ $18.8K +$6,281 10-29 17:54
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20,874 $4,454 84¢ $17.6K +$13,184 09-03 20:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -92,737 -$7,698 18¢ $-16229 -$8,531 10-25 20:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17,130 -$13,218 84¢ $-14346 -$1,129 10-17 06:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +65,005 $9,738 21¢ $13.4K +$3,653 10-19 19:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +79,165 $22,624 16¢ $13.1K -$9,562 10-20 20:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +76,191 $8,883 16¢ $12.6K +$3,689 10-24 00:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +13,645 $9,590 84¢ $11.5K +$1,940 10-15 23:14
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $9,690 97¢ $9.7K -$10 10-17 10:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +270,825 $41,659 4¢ $9.5K -$32,180 10-30 01:05
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +10,000 $2,180 89¢ $8.9K +$6,720 08-09 18:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -20,000 -$5,800 43¢ $-8600 -$2,800 10-18 12:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +60,522 $10,684 14¢ $8.2K -$2,513 10-21 23:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -24,256 -$15,066 33¢ $-8041 +$7,025 10-27 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61,682 $12,559 12¢ $7.1K -$5,466 10-03 04:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,186 $4,012 94¢ $5.8K +$1,802 05-23 20:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6,115 $5,187 94¢ $5.8K +$585 10-15 19:27
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +12,166 $2,167 46¢ $5.7K +$3,491 07-08 12:14
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -12,166 -$9,811 44¢ $-5353 +$4,457 09-13 08:41
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +47,871 $7,597 9¢ $4.3K -$3,289 10-17 20:06
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +268,933 $754 2¢ $4.0K +$3,280 10-27 23:22
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,000 -$4,204 18¢ $-3690 +$514 08-14 04:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +50,382 $7,074 7¢ $3.4K -$3,648 09-01 18:30