Bulky-Antler 0x74471a…48a16d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$140.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$19.2K
Hit rate
17.9%
Resolved (30d)
38
Trades (30d)
3,271
24,625 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$866.5K
$12.6M lifetime
Avg / trade
$511
Open exposure
$442.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-04 06:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Politics
64% 43% +$422,188
Other
35% 29% -$249,218
Sports
0% 50% -$13,714
Tech
0% 0% -$1,311
Crypto
0% 25% -$12,952
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$6,867
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166,129 $115,778 72¢ $119.6K +$3,835 10-15 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50,382 $35,207 92¢ $46.2K +$10,993 09-13 20:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 98¢ $42.8K +$5,372 06-30 07:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +30,328 $25,834 97¢ $29.4K +$3,569 09-15 18:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +167,305 $22,138 16¢ $25.9K +$3,794 11-04 06:03
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20,874 $4,454 84¢ $17.6K +$13,184 09-03 20:59
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17,130 -$13,218 90¢ $-15400 -$2,182 10-17 06:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -24,256 -$15,066 59¢ $-14348 +$718 10-27 17:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +65,005 $9,738 19¢ $12.4K +$2,710 10-19 19:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +13,645 $9,590 78¢ $10.7K +$1,121 10-15 23:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +79,165 $22,624 12¢ $9.9K -$12,728 10-20 20:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $9,690 96¢ $9.6K -$110 10-17 10:50
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +10,000 $2,180 94¢ $9.5K +$7,270 08-09 18:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -92,737 -$7,698 10¢ $-8810 -$1,112 10-25 20:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +76,191 $8,883 9¢ $6.9K -$2,025 10-24 00:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61,682 $12,559 11¢ $6.5K -$6,083 10-03 04:38
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,186 $4,012 96¢ $5.9K +$1,926 05-23 20:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +60,522 $10,684 10¢ $5.7K -$4,934 10-21 23:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -20,000 -$5,800 28¢ $-5600 +$200 10-18 12:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6,115 $5,187 91¢ $5.6K +$381 10-15 19:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +20,939 $5,429 22¢ $4.5K -$928 10-15 00:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +50,382 $7,074 8¢ $4.2K -$2,892 09-01 18:30
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +12,166 $2,167 32¢ $3.9K +$1,727 07-08 12:14
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -12,166 -$9,811 30¢ $-3650 +$6,161 09-13 08:41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,000 -$1,880 18¢ $-3600 -$1,720 08-14 15:10
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,000 -$4,204 17¢ $-3410 +$794 08-14 04:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +26,512 $3,181 12¢ $3.3K +$133 11-02 03:48
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +47,871 $7,597 6¢ $2.6K -$4,964 10-17 20:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,000 -$3,634 13¢ $-2610 +$1,024 08-16 14:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +27,450 $8,517 9¢ $2.5K -$6,061 10-27 00:30