Bulky-Antler 0x74471a…48a16d Create alert
whale cold 2L streak
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$265.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$50.8K
Hit rate
44.1%
Resolved (90d)
89
Trades (90d)
6,517
24,601 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.77M
$12.5M lifetime
Avg / trade
$510
Open exposure
$555.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-03 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Politics
64% 43% +$412,148
Other
35% 29% -$249,218
Sports
0% 50% -$13,714
Tech
0% 0% -$1,311
Crypto
0% 25% -$12,952
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$6,867
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166,129 $115,778 66¢ $109.6K -$6,133 10-15 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50,382 $35,207 95¢ $47.8K +$12,631 09-13 20:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 98¢ $42.7K +$5,285 06-30 07:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +247,339 $37,401 15¢ $36.2K -$1,166 11-03 06:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +41,290 $25,804 74¢ $30.8K +$4,958 10-17 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -41,290 -$28,161 74¢ $-30761 -$2,600 10-25 21:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +30,328 $25,834 97¢ $29.4K +$3,599 09-15 18:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +150,484 $7,539 19¢ $28.4K +$20,902 11-02 00:17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +125,315 $13,084 17¢ $21.3K +$8,219 11-03 03:06
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20,874 $4,454 83¢ $17.3K +$12,871 09-03 20:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -92,737 -$7,698 18¢ $-16229 -$8,531 10-25 20:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17,130 -$13,218 84¢ $-14466 -$1,248 10-17 06:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +76,191 $8,883 16¢ $12.6K +$3,689 10-24 00:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +65,005 $9,738 19¢ $12.1K +$2,385 10-19 19:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +79,165 $22,624 15¢ $11.5K -$11,145 10-20 20:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +13,645 $9,590 80¢ $11.0K +$1,394 10-15 23:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -24,256 -$15,066 44¢ $-10733 +$4,332 10-27 17:33
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $9,690 95¢ $9.5K -$150 10-17 10:50
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +10,000 $2,180 94¢ $9.4K +$7,220 08-09 18:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -20,000 -$5,800 34¢ $-6800 -$1,000 10-18 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61,682 $12,559 11¢ $6.5K -$6,083 10-03 04:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +60,522 $10,684 11¢ $6.4K -$4,329 10-21 23:59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,186 $4,012 96¢ $5.9K +$1,917 05-23 20:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6,115 $5,187 94¢ $5.7K +$533 10-15 19:27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +20,939 $5,429 20¢ $4.1K -$1,346 10-15 00:48
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +12,166 $2,167 34¢ $4.1K +$1,909 07-08 12:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +26,512 $3,181 14¢ $3.7K +$530 11-02 03:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,000 -$4,204 18¢ $-3690 +$514 08-14 04:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -12,166 -$9,811 28¢ $-3455 +$6,355 09-13 08:41
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +47,871 $7,597 6¢ $2.9K -$4,725 10-17 20:06