Bulky-Antler 0x74471a…48a16d
whale cold 2L streak
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$279.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$24.0K
Hit rate
43.0%
Resolved (90d)
91
Trades (90d)
6,563
24,584 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.79M
$12.5M lifetime
Avg / trade
$509
Open exposure
$495.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 03:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Politics
64% 43% +$411,695
Other
35% 29% -$249,218
Sports
0% 50% -$13,714
Tech
0% 0% -$1,311
Crypto
0% 25% -$12,952
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$6,867
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +166,129 $115,778 66¢ $108.8K -$6,963 10-15 01:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50,382 $35,207 93¢ $46.9K +$11,674 09-13 20:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +43,562 $37,428 98¢ $42.8K +$5,394 06-30 07:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +41,290 $25,804 74¢ $30.3K +$4,545 10-17 12:09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -41,290 -$28,161 74¢ $-30348 -$2,187 10-25 21:31
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +30,328 $25,834 97¢ $29.4K +$3,538 09-15 18:24
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +124,335 $12,947 15¢ $18.0K +$5,082 11-01 16:23
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +20,874 $4,454 86¢ $17.8K +$13,393 09-03 20:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -92,737 -$7,698 18¢ $-16229 -$8,531 10-25 20:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -17,130 -$13,218 84¢ $-14398 -$1,180 10-17 06:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +65,005 $9,738 22¢ $14.3K +$4,530 10-19 19:31
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +76,191 $8,883 18¢ $13.3K +$4,451 10-24 00:43
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +13,645 $9,590 82¢ $11.2K +$1,599 10-15 23:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -24,256 -$15,066 44¢ $-10636 +$4,429 10-27 17:33
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +79,165 $22,624 12¢ $9.9K -$12,728 10-20 20:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,000 $9,690 95¢ $9.5K -$185 10-17 10:50
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +10,000 $2,180 92¢ $9.2K +$7,020 08-09 18:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61,682 $12,559 12¢ $7.1K -$5,466 10-03 04:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -20,000 -$5,800 34¢ $-6900 -$1,100 10-18 12:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +60,522 $10,684 10¢ $6.1K -$4,632 10-21 23:59
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6,186 $4,012 96¢ $5.9K +$1,926 05-23 20:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +6,115 $5,187 90¢ $5.5K +$310 10-15 19:27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -12,166 -$9,811 43¢ $-5195 +$4,615 09-13 08:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +12,166 $2,167 42¢ $5.2K +$3,004 07-08 12:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +150,484 $7,539 3¢ $4.1K -$3,476 11-02 00:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +20,939 $5,429 18¢ $3.8K -$1,660 10-15 00:48
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,000 -$4,204 18¢ $-3670 +$534 08-14 04:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +50,382 $7,074 7¢ $3.5K -$3,572 09-01 18:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +26,512 $3,181 12¢ $3.0K -$133 11-02 03:48
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -58,339 -$2,610 5¢ $-2888 -$278 10-19 12:56