Free-Style — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.52K

Unrealized P&L

+$755

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

238

Trades

1,011

lifetime

Volume

$59.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$5.51K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-21

last 11-07 04:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

53% 56% +$2,130

Other

44% 23% +$484

Crypto

3% 39% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+3,000	$2,610	97¢	$2.9K	+$304	06-30 18:31
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+1,650	$1,321	99¢	$1.6K	+$310	11-06 15:29
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	+814	$668	98¢	$794	+$127	05-31 21:08
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	+172	$155	99¢	$170	+$15	06-03 06:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	13	$15.4K	10,900	9,900	+1,000	No	+$2,048	05-26 05:10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	28	$11.5K	6,005	6,005	+0	No	+$485	07-01 03:02
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	43	$6.4K	9,957	9,957	+0	open	—	07-31 20:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	10	$3.0K	1,538	1,538	-0	No	+$28	06-22 09:22
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	4	$2.8K	2,400	750	+1,650	open	—	11-06 15:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	3	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-30 18:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,307	0	+2,307	No	+$207	05-21 18:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	30	$2.0K	2,391	2,391	+0	open	—	10-29 19:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	32	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-16 11:58
israel closes its airspace by june 11	10	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$30	06-11 19:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	6	$1.8K	2,328	2,328	+0	open	—	11-07 04:40
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	07-05 18:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$910	500	500	+0	No	+$50	05-30 07:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$790	840	840	+0	open	—	10-29 10:02
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	10	$668	814	0	+814	open	—	05-31 21:08
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	12	$415	500	500	+0	No	+$85	06-08 01:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	31	$361	2,200	2,200	+0	Yes	-$1	06-17 02:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$352	200	200	+0	No	+$24	05-29 19:37
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	12	$155	172	0	+172	open	—	06-03 06:58
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$111	100	100	+0	Yes	+$23	06-19 02:42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?	5	$103	3,600	0	+3,600	No	-$103	06-16 06:53
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	1	$100	15,021	0	+15,021	No	-$100	05-26 01:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	2	$96	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	06-11 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 17:25 UTC	12	$92	184	0	+184	Down	+$10	06-14 17:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$90	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$90	05-26 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	10	$86	163	0	+163	Down	-$37	06-14 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	8	$85	164	0	+164	Down	-$38	06-14 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	9	$80	155	0	+155	Up	+$8	06-14 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	12	$80	153	0	+153	Down	-$16	06-14 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	12	$79	171	0	+171	Down	-$2	06-14 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 04:40:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,217	45¢	$998	0x13d598…
11-07 04:35:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	111	46¢	$51	0x6d25ba…
11-06 15:29:24	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	750	99¢	$742	0x029827…
11-03 02:36:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	362	30¢	$109	0xf6b98e…
11-03 02:36:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	360	30¢	$108	0x589f44…
11-01 05:43:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	30¢	$32	0xe78e51…
10-29 20:15:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	36¢	$540	0x933836…
10-29 19:56:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	142	31¢	$44	0xfdab3d…
10-29 19:56:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	120	31¢	$37	0xc5ddf5…
10-29 19:49:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0xa3477e…
10-29 19:46:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	1,563	33¢	$516	0x53da9d…
10-29 19:45:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	48	37¢	$18	0xb2b1df…
10-29 19:43:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0x4049b4…
10-29 19:43:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0xecf63e…
10-29 19:42:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0x7c1824…
10-29 19:42:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	57	38¢	$22	0x3b68f3…
10-29 19:42:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	175	38¢	$66	0xbc3d52…
10-29 19:41:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	109	39¢	$43	0x509734…
10-29 10:05:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x6902e4…
10-29 10:04:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	228	39¢	$89	0xd1663b…
10-29 10:04:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	163	37¢	$60	0xffbfbb…
10-29 10:02:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	840	46¢	$386	0x1ed901…
10-28 15:06:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x68025e…
10-28 15:06:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfc2d22…
10-28 15:03:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x49b89f…
10-28 15:02:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x18a219…
10-28 15:01:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xdfc82a…
10-28 15:01:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x41944d…
10-28 15:01:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x30beed…
10-28 15:01:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x10e3c0…
10-28 15:01:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x00da1d…
10-28 15:01:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x5e23fb…
10-28 15:00:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x4006df…
10-28 15:00:04	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	376	67¢	$251	0xd1317b…
10-28 15:00:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0xfbc4fd…
10-28 15:00:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x01afb0…
10-28 14:58:56	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x684399…
10-28 14:58:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x107d6a…
10-28 13:54:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	840	48¢	$403	0x1dcd2d…
07-31 20:07:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	2,142	35¢	$760	0x1894a0…
07-31 20:05:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	2,659	35¢	$933	0x8afcd3…
07-31 20:04:48	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	2,064	38¢	$784	0x2bcbf1…
07-31 20:04:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	140	39¢	$55	0x50d5fc…
07-31 20:04:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	110	39¢	$43	0x8737c9…
07-31 20:03:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	1,432	38¢	$544	0x497794…
07-31 19:59:24	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x13f9d3…
07-31 19:59:21	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x3d844d…
07-31 19:59:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x74c693…
07-31 19:58:38	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xb7dbd7…
07-31 19:58:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	233	41¢	$96	0x6ef76b…
07-31 19:58:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	171	41¢	$70	0x492bcb…
07-31 19:56:00	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	581	42¢	$244	0x6afa1e…
07-31 19:55:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x978b6f…
07-31 19:55:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x625a30…
07-31 19:55:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	18	42¢	$7	0x4c1921…
07-31 19:55:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0xbc317c…
07-31 19:55:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	80	42¢	$34	0x4d29aa…
07-31 12:23:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	607	9¢	$55	0x7a6804…
07-31 12:21:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	393	9¢	$35	0xce9217…
07-31 03:01:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	6,740	15¢	$1,000	0xdaa8e7…
07-30 07:44:23	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x779115…
07-30 05:22:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	250	71¢	$178	0xe3f53c…
07-19 14:21:39	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	171	95¢	$162	0xa28b7f…
07-16 11:58:52	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6e14bd…
07-16 11:58:40	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x9b1117…
07-16 11:58:29	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xcc28c8…
07-16 11:58:16	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x0fdad8…
07-16 11:58:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x976d9f…
07-16 11:57:53	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x31d04f…
07-16 11:57:40	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x625753…
07-16 11:57:28	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xfaad67…
07-16 11:57:22	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x5c9600…
07-16 11:57:16	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xa443d5…
07-16 11:54:02	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x4ff800…
07-16 11:53:50	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x6679bc…
07-16 11:53:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd9ebf4…
07-15 11:37:28	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x86330b…
07-13 13:27:46	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xe3baf7…
07-06 22:48:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	61	55¢	$34	0xc140b1…
07-06 10:43:02	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd0499…
07-06 10:09:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0xb79d3d…
07-06 05:41:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xe5e2d4…
07-06 05:23:55	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x64fbaf…
07-06 04:00:43	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	322	78¢	$251	0x89f27a…
07-06 03:58:29	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8d5a06…
07-06 03:58:10	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x1c5904…
07-06 03:56:59	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	88	75¢	$66	0x08cd02…
07-06 03:48:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x763e9f…
07-06 03:45:47	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x6f5416…
07-05 18:47:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	170	90¢	$153	0x37f1c5…
07-05 18:34:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	830	90¢	$747	0x6ac002…
07-05 15:11:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x85b50b…
07-01 16:39:25	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc8da7b…
07-01 16:05:26	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0xd7386e…
07-01 16:00:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8167c5…
07-01 12:52:05	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	257	97¢	$248	0x2513b4…
07-01 11:50:43	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x1019eb…
07-01 11:31:04	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8f58c0…
07-01 11:22:11	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x27b214…
07-01 10:49:56	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x51fa72…