Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$56
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-10 15:26
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
44%
Crypto
28%
Other
19%
Sports
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No +19 $5 26¢ $5 $-0 06-10 15:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +27 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 06-05 14:16
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +12 $3 26¢ $3 $-0 06-05 14:14
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 06-10 15:26
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? Yes +25 $2 $1 $-1 06-08 16:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +6 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-07 22:28
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-10 15:21
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-10 15:03
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 15:22
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +6 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-11 18:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +24 $1 $1 $-0 06-07 21:48
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 15:02
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +42 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 23:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes +62 $1 $0 $-1 06-05 14:16