Cultured-Infection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$261

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

510

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-30 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

33% 100% +$271

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes		+22	$4	12¢	$3	$-1	06-30 17:14
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+250	$3	1¢	$2	$-1	06-30 17:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	10	$1.9K	4,334	4,334	+0	open	—	02-28 22:00
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$1.0K	814	814	+0	Yes	+$271	05-12 06:20
will israel strike greater beirut on march 7 2026	7	$419	370	320	+50	open	—	03-07 16:58
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	3	$404	255	255	+0	open	—	03-17 21:59
us forces enter iran by march 7	7	$402	1,165	665	+500	open	—	03-05 13:15
will iran strike israel on march 4	13	$373	2,374	2,374	+0	open	—	03-06 17:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$330	4,260	0	+4,260	open	—	03-10 18:13
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	3	$273	1,084	1,084	+0	open	—	02-07 06:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	10	$227	421	421	+0	open	—	03-09 09:53
sol updown 15m 1770062400	3	$213	215	214	+1	open	—	02-02 20:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	5	$181	504	504	+0	open	—	03-02 07:00
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	9	$180	259	259	+0	open	—	03-08 19:18
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$175	645	645	+0	open	—	03-06 23:20
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	6	$162	1,271	1,271	+0	open	—	02-28 10:48
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	7	$156	1,896	1,390	+506	open	—	03-23 13:02
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$137	107	107	+0	open	—	02-28 08:15
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	2	$135	85	85	+0	open	—	02-28 19:31
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	2	$133	93	93	+0	open	—	06-20 19:03
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$131	81	81	+0	open	—	03-18 19:34
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	2	$126	161	161	+0	open	—	02-02 19:31
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$124	160	160	+0	open	—	03-26 08:11
will iran strike israel on march 8	7	$122	4,051	3,526	+526	open	—	03-08 13:00
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	2	$120	70	70	+0	open	—	03-18 21:42
sol updown 15m 1770065100	4	$120	508	0	+508	open	—	02-02 20:53
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	2	$114	77	77	+0	open	—	06-21 16:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$100	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	05-23 05:18
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	1	$100	323	0	+323	open	—	06-17 06:17
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	2	$99	627	626	+0	open	—	02-28 14:04
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$96	290	290	+0	open	—	03-01 05:55
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	1	$96	0	165	-165	open	—	06-28 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 14:22:46	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,904	2¢	$32	0x9bb2a8…
06-30 19:00:22	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xceaefb…
06-30 17:27:44	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x4c855f…
06-30 17:14:44	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x36a031…
06-29 16:51:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x57dfc0…
06-28 16:31:43	btc updown 5m 1782664200	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x237312…
06-28 16:30:19	btc updown 5m 1782664200	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc2fad4…
06-28 07:12:05	btc updown 5m 1782630600	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7307cf…
06-28 02:52:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	165	58¢	$96	0xe1d2da…
06-25 05:05:29	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	266	1¢	$2	0x004b26…
06-21 17:40:28	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	104	62¢	$65	0x84b0fd…
06-21 16:30:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc9f6b7…
06-21 16:30:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0x641d1b…
06-21 13:49:34	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xa0fa06…
06-20 19:04:50	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xc50e91…
06-20 19:03:26	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x784784…
06-20 18:16:17	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x8dc111…
06-20 05:40:13	btc updown 5m 1781933700	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0xcf889a…
06-20 05:39:05	btc updown 5m 1781933700	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x32e4a8…
06-20 01:33:37	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x751b4b…
06-20 01:33:26	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	214	5¢	$10	0x50e183…
06-19 17:08:22	btc updown 5m 1781888700	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x331fbc…
06-19 17:05:56	btc updown 5m 1781888700	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x232062…
06-19 17:02:10	btc updown 5m 1781888400	Up	SELL	35	45¢	$16	0x529b9d…
06-19 17:01:29	btc updown 5m 1781888400	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdee496…
06-19 17:01:26	btc updown 5m 1781888400	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7a2829…
06-19 09:21:34	btc updown 5m 1781860800	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc0b68b…
06-19 09:21:28	btc updown 5m 1781860800	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4b58e7…
06-19 05:54:04	btc updown 5m 1781848200	Down	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x6aa4b1…
06-19 05:53:49	btc updown 5m 1781848200	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xaf1495…
06-19 05:52:40	btc updown 5m 1781848200	Up	SELL	14	74¢	$11	0xcbda1f…
06-19 05:50:34	btc updown 5m 1781848200	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x72a16c…
06-18 05:26:20	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x290df2…
06-17 06:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x70ef6e…
06-15 16:22:00	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x50e06f…
06-14 18:37:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0xc9b4c7…
06-14 18:37:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	84	12¢	$10	0xca8e4c…
06-11 14:03:57	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x281662…
06-08 03:33:48	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0xc2ba27…
06-01 11:59:45	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	15¢	$50	0x3144b1…
05-31 03:49:51	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x83059b…
05-24 17:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0x662373…
05-24 17:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x48c4b6…
05-23 05:18:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	1,035	10¢	$100	0xeb6ead…
05-23 05:18:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x992f3e…
05-20 16:05:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xaa6d4d…
05-12 06:20:54	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	433	79¢	$342	0x3814e3…
05-12 06:20:00	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	381	79¢	$301	0x4bcc0a…
04-20 09:07:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	510	38¢	$196	0x42e2f6…
04-08 15:55:37	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	170	22¢	$38	0xf08156…
04-08 11:13:53	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	170	29¢	$50	0x17f84e…
04-07 17:39:55	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xbaf445…
04-07 17:38:39	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xd3b03c…
03-31 19:01:39	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xf8e51e…
03-31 19:01:29	will italy qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xeaab87…
03-30 07:38:26	btc updown 5m 1774856100	Down	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0x39f1c7…
03-30 07:37:58	btc updown 5m 1774856100	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x989efd…
03-29 07:31:08	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	623	5¢	$34	0x7105c1…
03-26 08:11:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x1f3bb4…
03-25 05:05:09	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	304	58¢	$176	0x63301c…
03-23 13:02:09	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	Yes	SELL	564	6¢	$33	0x6a20f1…
03-20 06:36:45	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	SELL	373	1¢	$5	0x8e297b…
03-19 19:13:21	uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 draw	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x217139…
03-19 19:13:01	uel lyo1 cel4 2026 03 19 draw	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xdb8199…
03-18 21:42:13	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1a238a…
03-18 19:34:47	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xe12cd1…
03-18 10:01:41	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x489149…
03-18 10:01:33	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x9d2eda…
03-17 21:59:29	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x333953…
03-17 20:43:19	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xc18b56…
03-17 20:37:23	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x63ae4d…
03-16 12:03:31	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x946bbb…
03-16 12:03:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	57	35¢	$20	0x36d7d0…
03-15 16:32:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4ed9cb…
03-14 12:10:09	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	604	1¢	$5	0x70c127…
03-14 12:07:09	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	43	3¢	$1	0x7d8d22…
03-14 09:41:39	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x152698…
03-14 09:41:37	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc3f316…
03-14 09:41:11	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$1	0xcdf447…
03-14 08:04:13	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xa4a144…
03-14 05:05:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	634	3¢	$21	0x8bdf1a…
03-14 04:58:49	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x0c9545…
03-12 17:45:03	btc updown 5m 1773337200	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa12b2d…
03-12 17:39:25	btc updown 5m 1773336900	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1981cd…
03-12 17:38:17	btc updown 5m 1773336900	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x458447…
03-12 17:38:17	btc updown 5m 1773336900	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x334e86…
03-12 17:28:05	btc updown 5m 1773336300	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x037ee2…
03-12 17:27:07	btc updown 5m 1773336300	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x028e61…
03-12 12:25:15	eth updown 15m 1773317700	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x58c7a2…
03-12 12:08:01	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x8ec00a…
03-12 12:08:01	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x1b6fa3…
03-12 12:07:57	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xd949df…
03-12 12:07:57	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x81355d…
03-12 12:07:55	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xce12a6…
03-12 12:07:55	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x48745f…
03-12 12:07:53	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xafa6e8…
03-12 12:07:53	eth updown 15m 1773316800	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x06ba08…
03-12 06:22:19	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xac0d15…
03-12 05:56:23	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x91a201…
03-11 21:30:05	eth updown 15m 1773263700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x10377f…