Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
23
lifetime
Volume
$104
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$70
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 07-19 14:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
75%
Tech
9%
Crypto
8%
Politics
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +12 $11 93¢ $11 +$0 07-17 14:40
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-22 12:26
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 07-19 14:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-27 14:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-21 03:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-21 05:19
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$0 06-21 02:13
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-28 02:59
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 88¢ $4 $-0 06-21 02:21
US recession by end of 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-21 03:22
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-21 03:30
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $-0 07-04 04:59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +5 $3 81¢ $4 +$1 06-22 12:26