Disastrous-Bend 0xe000e1…d5cbb1
whale bot cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$553
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
550
Trades
16,969
lifetime
Volume
$149.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Politics
57% 60% +$963
Other
43% 60% -$7,861
Tech
0% 75% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,534 $881 68¢ $1.1K +$169 10-27 18:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -668 -$534 99¢ $-662 -$127 05-01 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +484 $377 96¢ $462 +$86 10-14 12:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +443 $317 88¢ $392 +$75 10-24 18:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +355 $166 95¢ $337 +$171 10-14 12:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +849 $396 34¢ $285 -$111 09-22 15:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +288 $193 84¢ $240 +$48 10-21 06:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +639 $306 34¢ $214 -$92 09-22 20:47
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +189 $81 98¢ $186 +$105 10-07 12:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +537 $261 34¢ $185 -$75 10-23 21:33
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +253 $151 70¢ $178 +$27 09-05 01:57
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +280 $157 58¢ $162 +$5 10-08 00:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -159 -$136 100¢ $-159 -$23 06-14 11:11
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +619 $186 24¢ $145 -$41 10-27 18:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $160 72¢ $143 -$17 09-13 19:57
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +130 $103 98¢ $127 +$24 09-24 03:44
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +150 $134 84¢ $126 -$8 08-14 07:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,300 -$203 3¢ $-110 +$93 07-03 09:36
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +111 $67 97¢ $107 +$40 09-29 19:50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +180 $101 58¢ $105 +$4 10-07 18:14
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +115 $71 82¢ $94 +$23 08-06 01:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -228 -$129 38¢ $-87 +$42 06-15 05:39
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -271 -$123 28¢ $-75 +$48 10-23 21:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +75 $60 94¢ $70 +$11 10-24 18:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -322 -$151 21¢ $-67 +$84 09-27 01:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -2,002 -$117 3¢ $-67 +$50 07-16 07:51
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +233 $108 27¢ $63 -$46 09-23 14:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $57 56¢ $56 -$1 10-06 18:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $51 52¢ $52 +$0 10-27 18:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +75 $57 60¢ $45 -$12 06-16 13:10