Disastrous-Bend 0xe000e1…d5cbb1
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
+$525
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
33
Trades
12,247
lifetime
Volume
$100.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.14K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 06-30 01:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
75% 50% $-47
Other
25% 52% +$0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 778 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +720 $313 46¢ $327 +$14 06-24 11:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +314 $271 99¢ $312 +$41 06-26 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -527 $-271 30¢ $-161 +$110 06-28 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -78 $-68 84¢ $-65 +$3 06-25 04:52
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -293 $-78 20¢ $-60 +$18 06-26 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +68 $6 70¢ $47 +$41 06-28 22:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +55 $34 64¢ $35 +$1 06-26 20:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +240 $44 15¢ $35 $-10 06-19 22:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +40 $30 74¢ $29 $-1 06-16 13:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -30 $-16 48¢ $-14 +$2 06-14 23:06
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -15 $-14 90¢ $-14 +$1 06-14 11:11
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -50 $-27 25¢ $-13 +$14 06-14 06:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,283 $-297 1¢ $-7 +$290 06-24 21:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -120 $-6 5¢ $-6 +$0 06-24 21:44
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -88 $-5 6¢ $-5 +$0 06-24 16:19
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -15 $-3 24¢ $-4 $-1 06-15 14:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $2 16¢ $3 +$2 06-26 14:25
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -8 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 13:44