Disastrous-Bend 0xe000e1…d5cbb1
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$47
Unrealized P&L
+$333
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
33
Trades
13,309
lifetime
Volume
$113.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$2.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 07-20 17:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
67% 50% $-47
Other
33% 52% +$0
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,682 $1,136 42¢ $1.1K $-23 07-18 10:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +903 $530 56¢ $501 $-29 07-19 16:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +261 $189 74¢ $192 +$3 07-19 00:10
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,300 $-203 4¢ $-191 +$11 07-03 09:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -1,990 $-116 7¢ $-139 $-23 07-16 07:51
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +55 $34 79¢ $43 +$9 06-26 20:11
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes -260 $-73 16¢ $-40 +$32 07-15 14:20
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +240 $44 14¢ $32 $-12 06-19 22:06
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? Yes +46 $28 71¢ $32 +$4 07-04 10:19
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +40 $30 80¢ $32 +$2 06-16 13:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $23 16¢ $30 +$7 07-20 17:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +23 $-25 99¢ $23 +$48 07-02 05:13
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +163 $16 10¢ $17 +$0 07-18 21:58
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -15 $-14 91¢ $-14 +$0 06-14 11:11
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? No +46 $15 29¢ $13 $-2 07-04 08:29
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +80 $15 16¢ $12 $-2 07-19 00:50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -268 $-14 4¢ $-12 +$2 07-09 12:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -30 $-16 38¢ $-11 +$5 06-14 23:06
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +254 $10 4¢ $10 $-1 07-18 18:29
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -50 $-27 18¢ $-9 +$18 06-14 06:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +20 $2 44¢ $9 +$7 06-26 14:25
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -274 $-15 3¢ $-9 +$6 07-13 11:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -599 $-274 1¢ $-8 +$266 07-11 15:37
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +70 $7 8¢ $6 $-1 07-15 16:22
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? Yes -153 $-9 3¢ $-4 +$5 07-15 13:42
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes +40 $3 7¢ $3 $-0 07-06 08:33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -70 $-3 4¢ $-3 +$1 07-13 02:04
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -40 $-2 4¢ $-1 +$0 07-03 09:27
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -8 $-2 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-24 13:44
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -15 $-3 8¢ $-1 +$1 06-15 14:07