Disastrous-Bend 0xe000e1…d5cbb1
whale bot cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$549
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
550
Trades
16,999
lifetime
Volume
$149.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.04K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-27 22:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 121 days
Categories
Politics
57% 60% +$963
Other
43% 60% -$7,861
Tech
0% 75% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,534 $881 68¢ $1.1K +$169 10-27 18:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -668 -$534 98¢ $-657 -$123 05-01 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +484 $377 96¢ $465 +$88 10-14 12:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +443 $317 88¢ $392 +$75 10-24 18:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +355 $166 96¢ $341 +$175 10-14 12:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +849 $396 34¢ $285 -$111 09-22 15:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +288 $193 84¢ $240 +$48 10-21 06:31
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +639 $306 34¢ $214 -$92 09-22 20:47
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +189 $81 99¢ $186 +$106 10-07 12:30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +537 $261 34¢ $185 -$75 10-23 21:33
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +253 $151 70¢ $178 +$27 09-05 01:57
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -159 -$136 100¢ $-159 -$23 06-14 11:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +280 $157 56¢ $158 +$1 10-08 00:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +619 $186 24¢ $145 -$41 10-27 18:32
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $160 72¢ $145 -$15 09-13 19:57
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +150 $134 89¢ $133 $0 08-14 07:28
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +130 $103 98¢ $128 +$25 09-24 03:44
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +115 $71 98¢ $113 +$42 08-06 01:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,300 -$203 2¢ $-108 +$95 07-03 09:36
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +111 $67 97¢ $107 +$40 09-29 19:50
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +180 $101 56¢ $102 +$0 10-07 18:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -271 -$123 26¢ $-72 +$51 10-23 21:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +75 $60 94¢ $70 +$11 10-24 18:16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -322 -$151 22¢ $-70 +$81 09-27 01:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -2,002 -$117 3¢ $-67 +$50 07-16 07:51
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +233 $108 27¢ $63 -$46 09-23 14:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $57 57¢ $57 $0 10-06 18:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $51 52¢ $52 +$0 10-27 18:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +75 $57 64¢ $48 -$9 06-16 13:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +50 $46 88¢ $44 -$2 09-19 20:24