Disastrous-Bend 0xe000e1…d5cbb1
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$556
Unrealized P&L
+$625
Hit rate
92.0%
Resolved (7d)
23
Trades (7d)
328
17,273 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.85K
$154.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-31 09:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Politics
55% 60% +$1,022
Other
44% 59% -$7,426
Crypto
1% 100% +$312
Tech
0% 75% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,697 $1,045 30¢ $1.4K +$388 10-29 23:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -668 -$534 99¢ $-659 -$125 05-01 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +610 $225 76¢ $461 +$236 10-29 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +443 $317 88¢ $392 +$75 10-24 18:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,170 $293 28¢ $322 +$29 10-29 22:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +288 $193 84¢ $243 +$50 10-21 06:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +849 $396 29¢ $242 -$154 09-22 15:41
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +733 $175 28¢ $201 +$26 10-29 22:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +639 $306 29¢ $182 -$124 09-22 20:47
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +253 $151 72¢ $181 +$29 09-05 01:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +597 $279 30¢ $176 -$102 10-31 09:14
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -159 -$136 99¢ $-158 -$22 06-14 11:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +280 $157 56¢ $155 -$2 10-08 00:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $160 70¢ $140 -$20 09-13 19:57
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +150 $134 90¢ $134 +$1 08-14 07:28
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +130 $103 100¢ $129 +$26 09-24 03:44
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,300 -$203 3¢ $-110 +$93 07-03 09:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +125 $69 82¢ $103 +$35 10-29 20:39
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +180 $101 55¢ $99 -$2 10-07 18:14
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +307 $79 31¢ $94 +$15 10-29 22:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +75 $60 92¢ $69 +$10 10-24 18:16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +570 $67 12¢ $66 -$1 10-29 05:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -271 -$123 24¢ $-64 +$59 10-23 21:33
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $57 59¢ $59 +$2 10-06 18:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +320 $56 18¢ $59 +$3 10-29 23:30
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +233 $108 25¢ $58 -$50 09-23 14:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -2,002 -$117 3¢ $-57 +$60 07-16 07:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -322 -$151 16¢ $-52 +$99 09-27 01:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $51 52¢ $52 +$0 10-27 18:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +75 $57 66¢ $49 -$8 06-16 13:10