Disastrous-Bend 0xe000e1…d5cbb1
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$568
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
577
Trades
17,273
lifetime
Volume
$154.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$6.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-07
last 10-31 09:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Politics
55% 60% +$1,004
Other
44% 58% -$7,473
Crypto
1% 100% +$312
Tech
0% 75% -$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4,697 $1,045 30¢ $1.4K +$341 10-29 23:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -668 -$534 99¢ $-660 -$126 05-01 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +610 $225 76¢ $461 +$236 10-29 21:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +443 $317 88¢ $388 +$71 10-24 18:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,170 $293 28¢ $322 +$29 10-29 22:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +288 $193 88¢ $252 +$59 10-21 06:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +849 $396 29¢ $242 -$154 09-22 15:41
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +733 $175 28¢ $201 +$26 10-29 22:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +639 $306 29¢ $182 -$124 09-22 20:47
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +253 $151 72¢ $181 +$29 09-05 01:57
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +597 $279 30¢ $176 -$102 10-31 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +280 $157 58¢ $164 +$7 10-08 00:54
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No -159 -$136 99¢ $-158 -$22 06-14 11:11
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +200 $160 70¢ $141 -$19 09-13 19:57
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +150 $134 89¢ $133 -$1 08-14 07:28
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,300 -$203 3¢ $-110 +$93 07-03 09:36
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +180 $101 57¢ $103 +$2 10-07 18:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +125 $69 82¢ $103 +$35 10-29 20:39
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +307 $79 28¢ $84 +$6 10-29 22:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +75 $60 94¢ $71 +$11 10-24 18:16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +570 $67 12¢ $66 -$1 10-29 05:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -271 -$123 24¢ $-64 +$59 10-23 21:33
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +233 $108 26¢ $62 -$47 09-23 14:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $57 60¢ $60 +$3 10-06 18:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +320 $56 18¢ $58 +$2 10-29 23:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +75 $57 72¢ $54 -$4 06-16 13:10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -2,002 -$117 3¢ $-53 +$64 07-16 07:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +100 $51 52¢ $52 +$0 10-27 18:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -322 -$151 16¢ $-51 +$100 09-27 01:44
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +160 $51 30¢ $47 -$4 10-31 09:07