Powerless-Deal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$207

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

$200

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-23 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

80% — —

Other

19% 100% +$217

Crypto

2% 0% $-10

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No		+228	$200	88¢	$200	+$0	06-23 07:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	6	$1.7K	1,161	551	+611	open	—	02-12 21:13
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	25	$1.6K	936	876	+60	Yes	+$217	05-12 10:25
will israel strike gaza on february 4 2026	2	$1.1K	1,212	0	+1,212	open	—	02-04 05:09
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	34	$1.1K	1,439	0	+1,439	open	—	03-08 09:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	5	$753	865	0	+865	open	—	01-30 12:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$738	767	0	+767	open	—	02-28 19:54
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	12	$606	528	399	+129	open	—	03-15 05:23
will israel strike lebanon on january 19 2026	2	$600	606	0	+606	open	—	01-19 09:42
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	1	$580	606	0	+606	open	—	02-01 12:11
will israel strike gaza on january 24 2026	1	$544	606	0	+606	open	—	01-24 12:59
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	2	$477	606	303	+303	open	—	02-15 17:34
will israel strike lebanon on january 3 2026	4	$449	453	0	+453	open	—	01-03 17:22
will israel strike gaza on february 14 2026	3	$448	453	0	+453	open	—	02-14 20:56
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	12	$418	891	455	+435	open	—	02-02 13:13
will israel strike gaza on january 10 2026	1	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	01-10 16:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 15 2026	1	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	01-15 14:31
will israel strike gaza on january 5 2026	1	$400	404	0	+404	open	—	01-05 14:21
will israel strike gaza on january 17 2026	1	$374	606	0	+606	open	—	01-17 17:04
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	9	$369	496	0	+496	open	—	03-08 12:18
will israel strike lebanon on january 8 2026	3	$366	370	0	+370	open	—	01-08 14:36
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	6	$259	242	151	+91	open	—	02-12 14:11
will iran strike jordan in march	13	$210	273	111	+162	open	—	03-08 08:31
will iran strike lebanon in march	3	$210	236	0	+236	open	—	03-07 19:52
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	1	$200	228	0	+228	open	—	06-23 07:28
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$200	227	0	+227	open	—	06-22 07:09
will iran strike jordan in march 375	16	$157	758	0	+758	open	—	03-08 12:07
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$142	252	0	+252	open	—	01-28 18:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$120	238	0	+238	open	—	01-30 07:08
will israel strike gaza on february 15 2026	2	$111	120	0	+120	open	—	02-15 15:23
btc updown 5m 1772808900	2	$105	110	0	+110	open	—	03-06 14:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 07:28:41	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x3b89df…
06-22 07:11:16	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x80a032…
06-22 07:09:01	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xdc21a2…
05-13 09:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x05725d…
05-12 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x79d99e…
05-12 11:31:56	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x522790…
05-12 11:31:30	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	145	21¢	$30	0xad19cd…
05-12 10:25:30	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	389	99¢	$383	0x0f90c7…
05-12 10:02:39	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x2d7ae3…
05-12 09:56:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x9b2353…
05-12 09:17:57	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x467c8a…
05-12 09:12:07	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xbe36d7…
05-12 09:02:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f0d35…
05-12 08:59:24	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb45ce0…
05-12 08:56:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	233	98¢	$228	0xb2add1…
05-11 10:06:01	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x834aab…
05-11 07:13:30	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x57a953…
05-11 06:17:32	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x9c57e4…
05-11 06:17:20	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xee2c95…
05-11 06:17:13	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x3b988b…
05-10 13:26:39	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd4786c…
05-10 13:24:17	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa8e6b8…
05-10 13:23:17	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x6992e0…
05-10 13:01:14	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x635763…
05-10 13:00:38	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x8fd873…
05-10 13:00:15	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe3f7b8…
05-10 12:14:12	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xec1a59…
05-10 12:13:44	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x5c6273…
05-10 11:59:33	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xfc79c8…
05-10 11:57:59	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x0324b3…
05-10 11:57:24	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x40db20…
05-10 11:52:02	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x26bc43…
03-15 05:23:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	192	66¢	$127	0x24a958…
03-09 09:53:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	78	33¢	$26	0x5b7c93…
03-08 12:18:51	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb8413f…
03-08 12:12:17	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe722ad…
03-08 12:11:31	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x4f47bb…
03-08 12:07:45	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x589a7e…
03-08 11:18:37	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x1a92f1…
03-08 11:08:57	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x1eb542…
03-08 11:08:15	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x95498b…
03-08 11:07:11	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf32cfc…
03-08 11:06:15	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x2aa431…
03-08 11:01:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9b8ea7…
03-08 10:55:21	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	131	84¢	$110	0x40b22d…
03-08 09:17:51	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x2ddce5…
03-08 08:31:45	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2f6d9f…
03-08 08:09:05	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x70309b…
03-08 05:29:15	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x8656f8…
03-08 05:25:57	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x252343…
03-07 22:48:25	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xed893f…
03-07 21:49:19	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x428056…
03-07 20:33:29	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xface5b…
03-07 20:28:37	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x1d98de…
03-07 20:06:59	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x6b0bae…
03-07 20:01:31	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x868986…
03-07 19:56:13	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x994c6c…
03-07 19:55:21	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x31659a…
03-07 19:52:51	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x50ca49…
03-07 19:52:23	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x86c7fc…
03-07 19:50:47	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xaac383…
03-07 19:49:49	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	56	21¢	$12	0x739952…
03-07 19:49:29	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x18f682…
03-07 19:07:51	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x765a89…
03-07 18:42:55	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6d5bf6…
03-07 18:33:59	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2fbb96…
03-07 18:33:43	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2270d8…
03-07 18:32:41	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xadd6e8…
03-07 18:32:07	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x307097…
03-07 18:31:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x98cc94…
03-07 16:43:45	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc3c1f3…
03-07 16:43:07	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x35eb4f…
03-07 16:42:59	will iran strike jordan in march 375	No	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xfc3209…
03-06 15:20:49	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	SELL	111	79¢	$87	0xf4f6e1…
03-06 15:16:57	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa4a4ff…
03-06 14:59:57	btc updown 5m 1772808900	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcf235c…
03-06 14:56:27	btc updown 5m 1772808900	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x65c447…
03-06 14:51:15	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x8901d1…
03-06 14:49:05	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9fd543…
03-06 14:41:11	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xcf024a…
03-06 14:40:19	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x397084…
03-06 14:40:05	will iran strike lebanon in march	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xb4337e…
03-06 14:39:23	will iran strike jordan in march	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x28ea55…
03-05 08:19:09	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xde7aab…
03-05 05:48:55	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbb990b…
03-04 08:24:51	btc updown 5m 1772612400	Down	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x1d9d5f…
03-04 08:24:09	btc updown 5m 1772612400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa53196…
03-04 08:23:47	btc updown 5m 1772612400	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x620fbc…
03-04 08:22:51	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8ec798…
03-04 08:11:59	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x702800…
03-04 08:10:33	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x203ecb…
03-04 08:09:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc3ddf1…
03-04 08:09:31	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x28a4ae…
03-04 08:08:57	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9b1bfd…
03-04 07:15:51	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf48401…
03-04 06:48:59	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xec5f1d…
03-04 06:48:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf5c862…
03-04 05:28:27	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x88fa26…
03-04 05:28:01	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x64c68c…
03-03 19:57:21	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe22bb9…