Playful-Collateral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$359

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

6,840

lifetime

Volume

$739.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 08-11 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

67% 0% $-10

Other

29% 50% $-464

Sports

4% 75% +$112

Crypto

0% 50% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	21	$26.3K	14,559	14,559	+0	open	—	07-31 04:58
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	173	$19.2K	11,129	13,624	-2,495	open	—	05-01 03:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	151	$16.2K	10,850	9,387	+1,463	open	—	08-10 09:04
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	98	$16.1K	9,270	9,270	+0	open	—	07-28 04:12
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	54	$16.0K	9,938	9,938	+0	open	—	07-11 10:06
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	125	$15.1K	7,493	13,237	-5,743	open	—	06-24 10:13
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	44	$13.8K	7,860	7,860	+0	open	—	07-12 03:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	13	$11.7K	7,520	7,520	+0	open	—	08-01 16:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	41	$11.6K	6,277	6,277	+0	open	—	07-10 21:07
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	93	$10.7K	6,639	6,935	-296	open	—	04-08 11:18
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	53	$10.6K	6,509	6,429	+79	open	—	06-17 16:49
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	52	$9.8K	8,890	4,605	+4,285	open	—	08-10 17:43
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	45	$9.6K	4,563	5,899	-1,336	open	—	06-24 10:13
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	84	$7.9K	9,075	9,529	-455	open	—	04-16 15:22
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	104	$7.8K	4,393	4,393	+0	open	—	07-10 17:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	44	$7.3K	7,928	8,156	-228	open	—	04-12 13:11
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	87	$7.3K	5,522	3,931	+1,591	open	—	05-23 18:19
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	42	$7.1K	3,992	3,992	+0	open	—	06-30 06:51
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	21	$6.8K	6,589	5,354	+1,235	open	—	04-16 18:03
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	98	$6.5K	4,461	4,396	+65	open	—	05-20 04:19
israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	23	$6.4K	3,309	3,309	+0	open	—	06-26 08:02
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	66	$6.2K	3,489	4,822	-1,333	open	—	04-09 06:56
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	21	$5.5K	2,049	3,702	-1,652	open	—	04-09 18:43
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$5.4K	15,481	15,681	-200	open	—	04-08 12:30
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	25	$5.4K	3,083	3,245	-161	open	—	08-10 21:54
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	33	$5.0K	6,080	4,650	+1,431	open	—	06-14 18:02
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	97	$5.0K	2,648	3,318	-670	open	—	04-30 06:00
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	8	$4.9K	1,288	3,677	-2,389	open	—	04-28 05:09
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	75	$4.8K	22,357	11,607	+10,750	open	—	04-16 04:34
will iran strike lebanon in march	79	$4.8K	3,739	2,878	+861	open	—	03-24 17:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:39:00	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	289	12¢	$35	0x9ecac3…
08-11 04:45:18	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	711	12¢	$85	0x94a756…
08-11 03:05:31	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	BUY	437	93¢	$406	0x4fe956…
08-10 21:54:00	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x11af73…
08-10 21:25:27	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260706181027671	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x451265…
08-10 19:01:28	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	164	85¢	$139	0xf34c8c…
08-10 18:19:28	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	322	85¢	$273	0x2206ee…
08-10 17:43:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	250	88¢	$220	0x5bdbb8…
08-10 16:07:19	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	178	85¢	$151	0xcb0c0a…
08-10 16:05:49	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xf2dbb9…
08-10 16:05:39	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	16	84¢	$14	0x7a3c8d…
08-10 16:05:37	another critical cloudflare incident by august 31 2026 12	No	BUY	320	84¢	$270	0x96126b…
08-10 13:40:36	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa597c7…
08-10 12:31:04	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0x9e294f…
08-10 11:27:07	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x715917…
08-10 11:17:09	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0xabeb4d…
08-10 11:07:22	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe6a7e6…
08-10 11:07:15	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x662cbf…
08-10 11:07:06	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x6c560b…
08-10 10:05:33	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	750	62¢	$468	0x62c954…
08-10 09:04:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x252a85…
08-10 09:02:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	280	88¢	$245	0xb094bb…
08-10 09:02:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	220	88¢	$192	0x5c3204…
08-10 05:38:58	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	287	74¢	$212	0xcfa31d…
08-10 05:37:04	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	463	74¢	$341	0x71b253…
08-10 04:43:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	467	49¢	$229	0xa19e30…
08-10 04:42:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	136	49¢	$67	0x124abe…
08-10 04:42:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	120	49¢	$59	0x56dc45…
08-10 04:40:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x3d0280…
08-10 01:37:27	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x4bc847…
08-10 01:35:34	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0xdc1e7b…
08-09 22:49:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xa65884…
08-09 20:40:31	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	348	73¢	$254	0xbb06b3…
08-09 20:40:15	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	219	74¢	$162	0x37f179…
08-09 20:35:03	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	131	74¢	$97	0xf333b1…
08-09 20:34:36	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	239	75¢	$180	0xbbd4e5…
08-09 18:36:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	600	95¢	$570	0xc91a4d…
08-09 18:35:46	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	No	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0x385451…
08-09 18:00:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfb9972…
08-09 17:42:40	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xab45f6…
08-09 17:13:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0x379486…
08-09 17:04:12	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	250	93¢	$232	0xd85a31…
08-09 15:56:39	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0xa980d1…
08-09 15:00:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	312	90¢	$281	0x1726d7…
08-09 13:34:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	15	65¢	$9	0x43453d…
08-09 13:34:25	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	29	65¢	$19	0x097d5e…
08-09 13:34:18	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x892579…
08-09 13:00:22	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	150	93¢	$140	0x2e5c94…
08-09 11:39:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x2857fa…
08-09 11:17:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0c7392…
08-09 11:16:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x20b494…
08-09 11:15:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	150	83¢	$124	0xac4969…
08-09 11:15:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x2ce445…
08-09 11:15:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x5fa5b3…
08-09 11:15:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0xa0fe75…
08-09 11:15:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf1bc94…
08-09 11:11:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xf76e0f…
08-09 11:10:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd347b4…
08-09 11:10:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	94	84¢	$79	0x535bf7…
08-09 11:06:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	99	84¢	$84	0xe533f4…
08-09 11:04:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe71226…
08-09 11:04:51	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	123	85¢	$104	0x353a77…
08-09 11:04:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x2185b0…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xb3bc36…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x69cfff…
08-09 11:04:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	BUY	173	85¢	$147	0x608e4b…
08-09 10:56:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	350	60¢	$210	0xe86bf2…
08-09 04:19:46	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	Yes	SELL	514	15¢	$77	0x350582…
08-09 03:20:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xc245c0…
08-09 01:43:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	593	41¢	$243	0x6da1c1…
08-09 01:43:07	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xb950b1…
08-09 01:43:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b111b…
08-09 01:43:04	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x780825…
08-09 01:43:04	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x022479…
08-08 22:08:07	netanyahu drops out of israel election by september 30	No	SELL	606	96¢	$584	0xadb2c0…
08-08 18:27:46	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xec250b…
08-08 18:19:04	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xefd3b6…
08-08 18:07:39	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	84	70¢	$59	0x7ec897…
08-08 18:01:52	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd6271b…
08-08 17:06:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0x07b218…
08-08 17:01:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x62d9b6…
08-08 17:01:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x668756…
08-08 17:01:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x13cafa…
08-08 17:00:21	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0805d5…
08-08 16:58:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb5d2fa…
08-08 16:56:55	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0xe9d589…
08-08 15:22:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,500	4¢	$67	0xa8dc72…
08-08 15:21:46	will syria recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	333	7¢	$23	0xeb38af…
08-08 15:21:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0xcea706…
08-08 15:16:36	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	116	70¢	$81	0xd49a8c…
08-08 15:16:30	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x75ccd7…
08-08 15:16:28	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9973a8…
08-08 15:16:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x8c239b…
08-08 15:16:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	206	70¢	$144	0x7fdf12…
08-08 15:06:55	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	422	69¢	$290	0xa232d1…
08-08 13:53:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	59¢	$590	0x80c20a…
08-08 12:20:21	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0xd46590…
08-08 12:07:10	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x48ab1c…
08-08 12:00:09	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	SELL	140	85¢	$119	0xb325e2…
08-08 12:00:07	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xdaa728…