Realized P&L
-$359
Unrealized P&L
-$884
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
6,084
lifetime
Volume
$624.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$3.48K
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-21 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
65% 0% $-10
Other
30% 50% $-464
Sports
5% 75% +$112
Crypto
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,906 $1,812 54¢ $1.6K $-258 07-21 15:44
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -1,501 $-1,309 92¢ $-1374 $-64 06-25 11:47
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -380 $-223 52¢ $-200 +$23 06-29 19:11
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? No -197 $-122 74¢ $-146 $-24 07-17 04:37
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -106 $-198 99¢ $-104 +$94 06-24 14:31
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +409 $98 18¢ $76 $-22 07-09 03:38
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +250 $20 $18 $-2 06-09 12:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +804 $640 $10 $-630 07-05 14:03