Realized P&L
-$359
Unrealized P&L
+$992
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
12
Trades
4,737
lifetime
Volume
$430.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$10.2K
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-10 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
74% 0% $-10
Other
23% 50% $-464
Sports
3% 75% +$112
Crypto
0% 50% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2,283 $1,933 90¢ $2.1K +$128 06-10 04:43
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +1,688 $1,408 84¢ $1.4K +$1 06-01 12:37
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No +1,001 $877 92¢ $926 +$48 06-09 20:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +904 $746 92¢ $828 +$82 06-09 16:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,000 $801 76¢ $760 $-41 06-10 04:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +906 $578 76¢ $688 +$110 06-06 13:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,000 $480 62¢ $615 +$135 06-02 06:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +600 $434 88¢ $525 +$90 06-09 11:16
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30? No -579 $-558 90¢ $-519 +$40 06-04 23:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +600 $388 84¢ $507 +$119 06-07 19:29
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -400 $-439 96¢ $-383 +$57 06-09 13:25
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +400 $360 90¢ $362 +$2 06-06 18:54
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +253 $-28 94¢ $236 +$264 06-08 05:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +247 $203 61¢ $151 $-52 06-09 11:06
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -190 $-118 58¢ $-111 +$7 05-29 13:46
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? No +91 $47 64¢ $59 +$12 06-01 22:11
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +250 $20 10¢ $24 +$4 06-09 12:59
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $6 $-6 $-13 06-09 21:49
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30? Yes -100 $-10 $-5 +$5 05-31 05:51
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +15 $1 $0 $-0 05-31 09:28
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $7 26¢ $0 $-7 06-08 06:53