Realized P&L
+$104
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
21
Trades
5,962
lifetime
Volume
$464.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$669
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
44% 61% +$122
Crypto
44%
Other
8% 0% $-17
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +376 $316 86¢ $322 +$6 06-14 16:06
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +1,000 $160 16¢ $165 +$5 06-07 01:10
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +83 $-107 100¢ $83 +$189 06-18 14:32
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +123 $32 43¢ $53 +$21 06-26 08:10
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -224 $-74 18¢ $-40 +$34 06-03 10:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +800 $249 $4 $-245 06-15 16:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -510 $-47 $-1 +$46 06-18 14:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $22 $0 $-22 06-12 18:51
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +83 $6 $0 $-6 05-31 16:46