Focused-Artificer 0xf4544a…d77ecc
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$143
Unrealized P&L
-$225
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
241
Trades
1,215
lifetime
Volume
$6.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$2.21K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 03:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Politics
79% 24% +$646
Other
15% 13% -$397
Sports
6% 21% -$105
Crypto
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +2,100 $1,462 63¢ $1.3K -$146 10-30 03:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,040 $724 62¢ $650 -$74 10-30 03:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +185 $71 30¢ $57 -$14 10-14 12:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +60 $33 54¢ $32 $0 10-23 05:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +29 $20 82¢ $23 +$3 09-25 07:53
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +280 $20 5¢ $15 -$5 10-05 15:03
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +195 $24 7¢ $14 -$11 07-17 07:43
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +269 $29 5¢ $13 -$16 08-18 09:39
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +340 -$62 4¢ $13 +$75 09-11 13:19
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -400 -$5 3¢ $-12 -$6 09-30 07:42
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +220 $12 5¢ $11 -$2 07-22 07:29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +125 $32 8¢ $10 -$22 06-05 20:12
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +300 $6 3¢ $9 +$3 09-20 13:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +120 $14 6¢ $8 -$7 10-05 23:52
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +160 $6 4¢ $6 $0 10-06 19:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +40 $7 15¢ $6 -$1 07-11 05:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $4 12¢ $5 +$0 10-13 13:33
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +40 $2 11¢ $4 +$3 07-31 23:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $3 8¢ $4 +$1 10-27 06:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +34 $5 11¢ $4 -$2 07-07 07:04
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +50 $6 4¢ $2 -$5 10-01 10:07
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes -70 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 05-07 05:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +90 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 10-28 11:36