Focused-Artificer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$547

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

797

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-25 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% +$544

Other

17% 0% $-0

Sports

8% 25% +$2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	26	$865	1,194	600	+594	Yes	+$549	05-08 18:02
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	8	$189	120	120	+0	open	—	04-07 23:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$78	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 23:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	16	$64	190	290	-100	open	—	03-08 03:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	5	$60	42	42	+0	open	—	04-15 06:56
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	02-26 07:47
iran strike on us military by january 31	3	$57	40	40	+0	open	—	01-18 06:27
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$57	80	40	+40	open	—	03-23 11:17
Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	5	$53	60	60	+0	open	—	05-03 01:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 23:51
Spurs vs. Thunder	13	$49	250	0	+250	open	—	05-31 02:44
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$48	80	0	+80	open	—	07-10 03:50
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 23:53
will iran strike israel on march 3	9	$41	220	220	+0	open	—	03-04 02:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$41	905	50	+855	open	—	07-01 14:47
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	04-04 17:41
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	3	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	01-09 05:59
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	9	$38	146	50	+96	open	—	03-23 22:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$38	43	43	+0	open	—	05-23 23:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$34	214	40	+174	open	—	05-23 23:12
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 23:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$29	220	0	+220	open	—	03-28 23:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$28	0	30	-30	open	—	05-30 19:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$27	148	20	+128	open	—	05-01 22:01
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	03-07 12:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$24	312	0	+312	open	—	07-15 07:43
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	3	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	07-08 03:51
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	5	$22	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 17:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$22	30	15	+15	open	—	05-23 23:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$22	0	30	-30	open	—	07-18 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 07:21:10	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x09c859…
07-25 00:25:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe36e7a…
07-24 16:56:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7e8560…
07-24 16:54:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb14dae…
07-24 08:44:19	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x818a86…
07-24 08:42:40	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf9771e…
07-24 08:14:57	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0db3f1…
07-24 06:15:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x12041c…
07-23 22:40:27	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x97c018…
07-23 18:27:18	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x6d8252…
07-23 10:42:00	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x3d27cb…
07-23 04:52:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xa4a57d…
07-23 04:35:57	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xd2b400…
07-23 04:34:12	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x29c269…
07-23 04:31:31	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x7d2d3a…
07-22 07:29:51	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x353baf…
07-19 14:23:01	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x289020…
07-19 11:34:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa57d80…
07-19 00:10:39	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2f7d3c…
07-18 22:03:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x2c7755…
07-18 05:53:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5165cd…
07-18 05:29:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xf5cf60…
07-17 07:43:28	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xe1f638…
07-16 22:21:49	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x408faa…
07-16 15:04:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x7aa199…
07-16 15:04:35	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x21e527…
07-15 07:43:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6487a…
07-15 07:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xc619d3…
07-15 06:19:05	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x6e07e0…
07-15 05:52:53	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x41b63e…
07-15 01:27:44	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd9b30e…
07-15 00:57:32	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d4220…
07-15 00:25:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x43478c…
07-15 00:22:50	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x8f53a1…
07-14 04:45:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xbf4445…
07-14 02:16:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc96d7c…
07-13 17:59:16	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x6f465a…
07-13 16:42:44	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x88aedf…
07-13 16:37:56	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x550de2…
07-13 16:37:55	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xc8c0cf…
07-13 15:49:50	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5798e8…
07-13 15:21:55	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x56bd7f…
07-13 15:17:17	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xb57836…
07-12 20:21:44	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x4d523b…
07-12 13:10:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x56e1f8…
07-12 07:52:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x2d1aba…
07-12 06:39:02	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x2dace3…
07-12 06:38:56	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xdd5f83…
07-12 00:54:10	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xbb31bd…
07-12 00:30:22	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0xeca604…
07-12 00:05:13	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbad553…
07-11 23:41:44	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x5b73a6…
07-11 20:33:05	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xce930a…
07-11 06:29:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb39ff1…
07-11 05:25:10	jd vance out as vp by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xb6f264…
07-11 05:16:20	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xb9dce0…
07-11 05:06:46	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xae0130…
07-11 05:06:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc85f6a…
07-10 22:31:31	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8b5e60…
07-10 19:51:35	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x6b63b3…
07-10 07:38:14	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x48e04c…
07-10 03:50:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf39c5b…
07-10 03:42:31	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0xe4c839…
07-10 03:33:43	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xb98908…
07-10 03:15:26	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x9a65aa…
07-09 22:29:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	26	6¢	$2	0x8964ef…
07-09 22:25:26	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xcec844…
07-09 08:58:53	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x4179fa…
07-09 08:35:14	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xbc0242…
07-08 17:26:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x06d051…
07-08 16:58:47	Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe8f41e…
07-08 03:51:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6db296…
07-07 07:04:10	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf0be69…
07-06 22:45:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd74bee…
07-06 22:45:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb2c216…
07-06 09:39:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x83412d…
07-06 07:22:34	btc updown 5m 1783322400	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7e2579…
07-06 07:22:32	btc updown 5m 1783322400	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc01d06…
07-06 07:11:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd58f1a…
07-05 19:36:26	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x93714e…
07-05 02:17:49	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x14eef6…
07-04 02:28:19	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x3b2ca7…
07-04 00:44:05	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb8e92c…
07-04 00:43:49	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfd9615…
07-04 00:37:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5a765b…
07-04 00:32:22	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x62b3cd…
07-04 00:32:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xfe43c8…
07-04 00:07:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x0ca0d4…
07-03 10:23:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xac586c…
07-03 08:15:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x16ae50…
07-03 05:02:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xef51ae…
07-02 13:42:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x78126e…
07-02 07:21:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x333aa7…
07-02 05:17:35	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeabbf8…
07-02 04:43:02	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x075c94…
07-02 04:25:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x20fc24…
07-01 20:37:01	Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x77109a…
07-01 17:14:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x5baa4c…
07-01 16:56:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xf07e07…
07-01 16:47:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x26f3a4…