(anonymous) 0x14a178…bb9912
whale cold 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.82K
Unrealized P&L
-$948
Hit rate
5.3%
Resolved
277
Trades
10,863
lifetime
Volume
$771.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$1.69K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-22
last 10-27 05:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
63% 0% -$2,060
Politics
30% 12% -$642
Tech
5% 0% -$90
Crypto
2% 0% -$20
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 1197 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +407 $350 80¢ $323 -$26 10-26 08:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +345 $339 90¢ $310 -$29 10-27 05:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +636 $513 46¢ $289 -$223 10-23 15:42
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +372 $310 76¢ $285 -$26 10-24 19:17
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +413 $306 64¢ $262 -$44 10-23 17:19
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No -131 -$44 76¢ $-101 -$56 10-26 18:59
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +220 $67 23¢ $51 -$16 10-01 18:59
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +220 $99 20¢ $45 -$54 09-30 09:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +33 $22 32¢ $11 -$11 09-30 12:45
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +121 $22 4¢ $4 -$18 10-23 16:01
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +19 $31 18¢ $4 -$28 10-11 23:47
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31 Yes +190 $66 2¢ $3 -$63 09-23 20:16
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 $28 88¢ $0 -$27 10-23 13:28
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +0 $18 89¢ $0 -$18 10-23 17:19
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $5 93¢ $0 -$5 10-24 16:46
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +0 $21 99¢ $0 -$21 10-23 14:17
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +0 $29 72¢ $0 -$29 10-26 14:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $29 61¢ $0 -$29 10-19 08:10
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +0 $19 86¢ $0 -$19 10-26 18:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +0 $47 94¢ $0 -$47 10-25 08:08
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +0 $19 78¢ $0 -$19 10-22 17:23
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +0 $30 68¢ $0 -$30 10-27 02:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +0 $34 64¢ $0 -$34 10-23 21:09
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +0 $8 37¢ $0 -$8 10-22 16:57
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +0 $9 31¢ $0 -$9 10-26 13:00
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? No +0 $1 33¢ $0 -$1 10-25 22:15
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +0 $5 20¢ $0 -$5 10-25 13:35
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +0 $44 30¢ $0 -$44 10-19 18:47
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +0 $6 26¢ $0 -$6 10-15 11:32
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 33¢ $0 -$1 10-17 00:51