Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved
28
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$594
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
15 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 10-27 02:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
57% 19% -$4
Politics
24% 20% -$70
Crypto
15% 0% -$1
Tech
3% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +330 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 10-26 04:05
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +330 -$1 1¢ $3 +$5 10-26 10:12
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +330 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 10-26 04:05
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +330 $2 1¢ $3 +$1 10-27 02:46
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$1 8¢ $-2 $0 10-12 10:04
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? Yes +232 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-26 04:06
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +330 $2 0¢ $1 $0 10-26 04:05
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-20 17:01
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +71 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-04 17:55
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Yes +6 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-13 07:58
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +14 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-23 23:39
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +18 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-23 01:27
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-18 13:46
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? Yes +7 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-18 13:25
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +15 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-22 15:17