Starchy-Mama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-07 04:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$2

Crypto

23% — —

Other

23% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	+1	$1	95¢	$1	+$0	06-19 10:02
Obama divorce before 2027?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	06-19 10:05
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	06-19 10:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	+1	$1	72¢	$1	$-0	06-16 08:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$10.0K	5,005	5,005	+0	open	—	03-14 02:50
will bitcoin dip to 84k december 29 january 4	1	$3.5K	3,504	0	+3,504	open	—	01-05 02:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$2.3K	2,603	0	+2,603	open	—	01-05 03:05
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	3	$1.0K	1,035	0	+1,035	open	—	03-14 07:42
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$537	538	0	+538	open	—	03-31 05:38
highest temperature in denver on march 29 2026 76 77f	2	$419	420	0	+420	open	—	03-30 05:43
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	03-24 14:51
bitcoin above 90k on january 7	3	$161	165	0	+165	open	—	01-07 03:43
is earth flat 20260608195956112	2	$110	113	0	+113	open	—	06-19 10:31
will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	2	$106	108	0	+108	open	—	03-16 04:56
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	2	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	03-29 06:43
bitboy convicted	2	$101	104	0	+104	open	—	04-01 01:42
will radaromega doppler radar app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	03-14 11:42
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	03-16 05:04
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	03-17 02:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 02:36
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-14 06:14
eth updown 15m 1771993800	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	02-25 04:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-02 06:28
cs2 sin2 bb3 2026 03 30	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-30 10:36
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	03-06 05:25
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 03:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 06:56
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-08 06:55
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 02:51
fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 arm	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 15:45
cs2 og1 bst 2026 03 30	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 10:14
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 04:56
fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 bel1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 15:45
will trump hug an iranian official by june 20 20260615201514847	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-19 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 04:44:58	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ed2c8…
07-07 04:44:05	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x50c5c0…
06-19 10:31:25	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xce4d80…
06-19 10:14:29	will trump hug an iranian official by june 20 20260615201514847	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10565…
06-19 10:13:40	will trump shake hands with an iranian official by june 20 20260615194910741	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x548959…
06-19 10:13:13	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2243d7…
06-19 10:12:16	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd6dec…
06-19 10:10:16	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8574f3…
06-19 10:05:22	Obama divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x259454…
06-19 10:04:31	Another Elon baby by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbe4c5a…
06-19 10:03:11	Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b40de…
06-19 10:02:01	SBF released from custody in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf41888…
06-19 09:58:59	will bryan johnson have sex again by june 30 20260605201524848	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xefded8…
06-16 08:42:22	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1f30c6…
06-16 08:40:37	is earth flat 20260608195956112	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x12cc9b…
06-16 08:38:36	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1b878b…
06-16 08:33:15	will donald trump publicly insult pam bondi by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb65924…
06-02 06:28:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0xf2b4bd…
05-29 02:35:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x40bfe2…
05-15 08:36:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdfe212…
05-12 16:56:27	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4efff…
05-12 09:39:23	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc636ac…
04-28 04:56:30	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x962d4f…
04-28 04:53:20	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3fc0cd…
04-14 06:14:23	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x644626…
04-14 06:11:55	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe84360…
04-10 08:59:53	val dfm1 t1 2026 04 10	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1a0610…
04-08 06:58:07	Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x25827f…
04-08 06:55:27	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x692517…
04-06 08:25:39	val agelit rc 2026 04 06	AGELITE	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcdad3a…
04-04 10:02:17	val ns1 pr1 2026 04 04	Paper Rex	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c36cb…
04-03 12:10:25	val fpx ag1 2026 04 03	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8cc479…
04-03 09:22:03	val geng ge1 2026 04 03	Global Esports	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xacbedf…
04-03 09:00:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x912a9b…
04-03 02:40:31	highest temperature in tokyo on april 3 2026 20c	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5a3b35…
04-03 02:15:23	highest temperature in tokyo on april 3 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6ccc94…
04-02 14:35:43	highest temperature in tokyo on april 3 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8bee61…
04-02 14:30:49	highest temperature in chongqing on april 3 2026 25c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x90f25a…
04-02 13:16:07	val blg tyloo 2026 04 02	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5ad0a1…
04-02 09:49:45	val wol te 2026 04 02	Trace Esports	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x276d8c…
04-02 08:56:29	val fl1 wecc 2026 04 02	WEC C	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x540462…
04-02 07:05:45	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa766bc…
04-02 06:56:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1d31e3…
04-01 11:55:57	val ins1 rc 2026 04 01	REJECT	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb19be1…
04-01 09:39:43	val jdg fpx 2026 04 01	JD Gaming	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe9a958…
04-01 08:13:03	val rig agelit 2026 04 01	AGELITE	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa3d11f…
04-01 01:42:57	bitboy convicted	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x33518d…
03-31 05:38:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	438	100¢	$437	0xf3cdd1…
03-30 10:57:38	cs2 ill rbls 2026 03 30	Rebels Gaming	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdf9e92…
03-30 10:36:42	cs2 sin2 bb3 2026 03 30	Sinners	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf3e98a…
03-30 10:14:44	cs2 og1 bst 2026 03 30	BESTIA	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb39610…
03-30 06:23:36	highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 64forhigher	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x97f4c4…
03-30 05:43:12	highest temperature in denver on march 29 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x9eae55…
03-30 05:23:14	highest temperature in denver on march 29 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0x8d520f…
03-29 15:45:44	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 bel1	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x97c1eb…
03-29 15:45:02	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 arm	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74223b…
03-29 07:50:50	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xe71004…
03-29 06:43:52	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x90d770…
03-29 06:39:58	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc0e8b6…
03-28 06:07:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xae0f39…
03-25 12:42:03	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xda8841…
03-24 14:51:35	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x58ad56…
03-23 16:15:15	Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf15c91…
03-23 04:27:53	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1801f8…
03-23 03:51:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe1401f…
03-23 03:46:57	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa63674…
03-21 05:25:29	will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x15bed3…
03-17 04:09:51	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x421f02…
03-17 03:00:31	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2b3831…
03-17 02:58:11	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8bb32d…
03-16 05:04:53	will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x671526…
03-16 04:56:01	will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x21f5d6…
03-16 04:30:17	will emmanuel grgoire advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x743c47…
03-16 04:23:57	will rachida dati advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6bd0cc…
03-16 02:51:13	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xf8bd91…
03-16 02:36:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2ca6c7…
03-14 11:42:21	will radaromega doppler radar app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xe6b009…
03-14 07:42:55	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	935	100¢	$932	0x66a74f…
03-14 07:42:31	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0x35d425…
03-14 07:19:39	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xda9df3…
03-14 04:40:03	highest temperature in chicago on march 14 2026 32 33f	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa38f49…
03-14 04:35:33	highest temperature in dallas on march 14 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x3706be…
03-14 04:34:35	highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 65forbelow	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafad62…
03-14 02:50:23	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	5,005	100¢	$4,990	0xf4c0c4…
03-14 01:59:13	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	5,005	100¢	$4,990	0x0d8243…
03-11 15:00:11	will hyperliquid reach 40 in march	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfe4db9…
03-11 07:04:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3bd83c…
03-09 03:00:53	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd28e98…
03-06 08:26:01	highest temperature in nyc on march 6 2026 48forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb36cc…
03-06 05:25:33	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x06e544…
03-06 05:24:17	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5838d9…
03-04 03:34:43	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc0077d…
03-03 14:57:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4d7e5e…
02-27 07:12:51	highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 39forbelow	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ff4f9…
02-26 06:17:12	highest temperature in dallas on february 26 2026 82forhigher	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0edbeb…
02-25 18:18:12	solana up or down february 25 1pm et	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6cfbfd…
02-25 13:40:16	eth updown 15m 1772027100	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x3335f3…
02-25 13:30:16	eth updown 15m 1772026200	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xda43b4…
02-25 13:24:42	eth updown 15m 1772025300	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xdb9a93…
02-25 13:00:54	eth updown 15m 1772024400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad85a8…