Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
51.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
144
lifetime
Volume
$357
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-15 07:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
40% 100% +$0
Other
31% 100% +$0
Sports
21% 20% $-7
Tech
5%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No -7 $-7 99¢ $-7 $-0 06-04 00:42
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-09 13:19
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-05 18:52
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +5 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-09 10:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 21:43
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-04 17:05
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:32
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $-0 06-05 11:01
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 06-18 05:13
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-05 19:16
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-15 07:07
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-10 18:15
Trump out as President by June 30? No -0 $-0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-04 08:31