Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
51.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
191
lifetime
Volume
$446
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$32
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-10 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
37% 100% +$0
Other
34% 100% +$0
Sports
21% 20% $-7
Tech
4%
Crypto
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 07-09 04:29
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-09 10:10
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 07-04 08:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 07-04 08:30
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +8 $4 50¢ $4 $-0 07-05 14:59
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 07-10 05:44
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-05 11:01
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 +$0 06-18 23:00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-05 19:16