Realized P&L
-$742
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
42.5%
Resolved
859
Trades
2,207
lifetime
Volume
$5.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$57
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-05 06:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
74% 53% -$366
Sports
20% 52% -$370
Politics
4% 85% -$9
Tech
1% 88% +$0
Crypto
1% 83% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +11 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 11-04 11:15
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 09-16 06:05
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 08-17 13:04
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 +$0 11-04 10:30
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 11-04 10:29
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 $0 10-29 17:41
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 06-07 20:34
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 08-02 03:07
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 11-04 10:28
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-01 08:01
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 10-05 17:40
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 11-04 16:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $0 11-04 18:37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 11-05 06:04
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-02 00:15
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 08-02 00:10
will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717 No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-28 15:13
will anthropics valuation hit low 700b by december 31 928 No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-07 17:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-01 12:53
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-04 10:29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-04 10:36
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 11-04 11:01