Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-14

last 10-14 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

53% 38% -$20

Politics

27% 45% +$4

Sports

13% 80% +$87

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	18	$180	92	92	+0	No	+$0	09-30 01:00
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	10	$100	51	51	+0	No	+$0	09-30 06:12
Trump out as President before 2027?	10	$100	53	53	+0	open	—	10-14 11:57
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	10	$100	51	51	+0	No	$0	09-01 16:24
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	10	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	10-05 17:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	10-14 04:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	8	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	08-31 21:48
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	8	$80	44	44	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?	8	$80	43	43	+0	open	—	09-04 23:33
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	6	$65	47	47	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	6	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	6	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	09-29 14:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	6	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?	6	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-31 13:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	6	$60	33	32	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	6	$53	94	94	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	09-30 00:47
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	4	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	2	$40	40	40	+0	cancelled	+$0	07-31 16:59
Trump out as President by August 31?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-27 18:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-31 16:50
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	09-17 04:14
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-25 05:34
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-01 18:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$40	21	20	+0	open	—	10-03 19:40
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 17:51
Will George Pickens play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?	4	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	08-22 21:03
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	4	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	4	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	10-14 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:49:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x2d7a2a…
10-14 12:49:57	us iran hormuz agreement by october 15	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd9076b…
10-14 12:49:57	will trump say ammunition this week 20261011	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a2b8…
10-14 12:49:57	Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x243776…
10-14 12:49:57	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x0cddd8…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xfeba32…
10-14 12:49:56	Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$6	0xeea846…
10-14 12:49:56	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xe37ec4…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0xac09d5…
10-14 12:49:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0xa2f18e…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x935bd2…
10-14 12:49:56	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x8c7180…
10-14 12:49:56	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x838796…
10-14 12:49:56	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x7e4d5a…
10-14 12:49:56	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x683593…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x4af285…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0x30e82c…
10-14 12:49:56	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x28fd91…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x20585b…
10-14 12:49:56	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x014351…
10-14 11:57:45	us iran hormuz agreement by october 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xed7cc8…
10-14 11:57:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb1e993…
10-14 05:16:28	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4ee79…
10-14 05:16:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd0f186…
10-14 04:47:17	Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf6d2ae…
10-14 04:47:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9779c0…
10-13 23:31:46	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa2d695…
10-13 23:31:40	Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa6ee3b…
10-13 17:51:34	Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x682a14…
10-13 17:51:28	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc81f86…
10-13 12:43:50	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfc03b4…
10-13 12:43:49	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xf84302…
10-12 11:13:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x91239d…
10-12 11:13:44	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0b1b15…
10-12 00:32:50	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x038d50…
10-12 00:32:42	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3ff5ad…
10-10 14:06:37	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbec6cd…
10-10 14:06:31	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x300b29…
10-09 22:41:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbdbce6…
10-09 22:41:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x10aa3c…
10-09 13:56:01	Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x557505…
10-09 13:55:55	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xdba730…
10-09 08:17:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xda1ebc…
10-09 08:17:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x1a2053…
10-08 01:03:10	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x103d81…
10-08 01:02:26	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xa238f7…
10-05 17:40:44	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x452318…
10-05 17:40:40	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x91b9b6…
10-05 04:00:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb46614…
10-03 22:49:41	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb3e1f5…
10-03 22:49:02	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8853ee…
10-03 21:36:23	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0460e8…
10-03 21:35:35	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x5d413e…
10-03 19:40:52	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf2fa09…
10-03 19:40:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3c0aa2…
10-02 08:21:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf1bfa6…
10-02 08:20:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x872a69…
10-02 02:52:08	Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4bc6ee…
10-02 02:51:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x794acd…
10-02 02:47:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe80e1b…
10-02 02:47:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x04f661…
10-01 12:58:03	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x005c4c…
10-01 12:57:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1c4726…
10-01 07:13:45	Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1580aa…
10-01 07:13:23	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa1dcdb…
10-01 06:20:48	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xaf2a07…
10-01 06:11:45	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb3e43c…
10-01 06:09:50	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x63650e…
10-01 06:05:41	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4a2b55…
10-01 05:07:18	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x37eb4a…
10-01 05:06:33	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd18dd…
10-01 01:00:02	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe256e8…
10-01 00:59:32	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3bdf89…
09-30 19:15:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe77adc…
09-30 19:14:57	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6e847c…
09-30 18:59:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3d8905…
09-30 18:59:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa1fab3…
09-30 18:33:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5efd95…
09-30 18:32:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x712196…
09-30 06:13:23	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82c7b1…
09-30 06:12:54	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9f72a6…
09-30 04:01:30	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd80d22…
09-30 04:01:06	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x752160…
09-30 01:01:42	Taylor Swift pregnant by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68ab11…
09-30 01:00:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x17dea2…
09-30 00:58:39	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x105ce5…
09-30 00:57:32	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xdee711…
09-30 00:51:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xda2495…
09-30 00:51:00	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x925175…
09-30 00:48:23	Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdf7c95…
09-30 00:47:48	Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xea9051…
09-30 00:46:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x146122…
09-30 00:46:24	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa15c81…
09-29 18:41:15	Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf2b282…
09-29 18:30:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x39d9e0…
09-29 14:13:29	Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x55370f…
09-29 14:12:59	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc2afbf…
09-29 06:25:17	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24e00b…
09-29 06:25:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99a2b7…
09-22 21:52:26	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	154	6¢	$9	0xbb3047…