Personal-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,373

lifetime

Volume

$6.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 08-09 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

53% 77% $-25

Crypto

22% 14% $-12

Sports

17% 100% +$53

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	102	$128	50	79	-29	open	—	07-05 03:25
dota2 ts8 navi 2026 04 21 game2	5	$94	75	74	+2	open	—	04-21 09:12
sea lec fio 2026 04 20 fio	7	$90	88	73	+14	open	—	04-20 17:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$83	40	44	-3	open	—	06-03 23:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$72	48	28	+20	open	—	05-11 11:28
dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21	4	$69	44	44	+1	open	—	04-21 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	82	$65	46	20	+26	open	—	06-01 11:55
lol c9 sen 2026 04 21 game1	4	$65	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 21:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	46	$62	37	37	+0	open	—	07-14 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	18	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-13 13:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	23	$60	35	25	+10	open	—	07-07 17:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	58	$58	31	38	-8	open	—	07-29 20:59
Lakers vs. Thunder	18	$55	34	28	+6	Thunder	+$1	05-06 02:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	07-02 20:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	14	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	06-11 02:29
lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	5	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	04-21 13:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	5	$50	135	0	+135	open	—	07-06 01:05
epl cry wes 2026 04 20 cry	5	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	04-20 19:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	11	$48	31	31	+0	No	$-2	05-05 06:23
Will Solana dip to $90 on May 9?	231	$47	26	26	+0	No	$-3	05-10 01:00
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	6	$45	25	20	+5	open	—	06-17 22:10
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	457	$45	25	20	+5	open	—	04-23 08:32
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	4	$40	203	0	+203	open	—	04-21 18:53
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	4	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	07-01 10:04
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	4	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	08-01 06:39
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	6	$40	228	214	+14	open	—	04-23 02:03
val c9 nv2 2026 04 17	2	$37	28	27	+1	open	—	04-18 01:38
nhl det fla 2026 04 15	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 02:23
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 02:21
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	65	$32	16	19	-3	open	—	06-17 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 22:43:04	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3688a7…
08-09 22:42:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xec5299…
08-06 11:40:12	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdb8412…
08-06 08:35:08	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x934071…
08-06 08:29:41	lol lgd tt 2026 08 06 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x39fe19…
08-05 16:38:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xaae755…
08-05 09:06:18	will solana reach 80 on august 5	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xecaab2…
08-02 23:47:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5b6a45…
08-02 22:59:23	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfdebc8…
08-02 22:55:57	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe21518…
08-02 22:48:56	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa81dc3…
08-02 22:40:56	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x311707…
08-02 22:01:06	mlb phi bal 2026 08 02	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8edf76…
08-02 18:44:11	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf79e90…
08-01 13:02:42	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x092d11…
08-01 10:22:50	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x7f9653…
08-01 08:20:23	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x630cdd…
08-01 06:39:14	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2e9e51…
08-01 06:38:57	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xddd73b…
08-01 06:38:54	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x9ab7f8…
08-01 06:38:02	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x92f302…
08-01 06:38:00	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x541c01…
08-01 06:38:00	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d19d5…
08-01 06:25:44	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x53f996…
08-01 06:08:23	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x25d7bb…
07-29 21:03:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb72ee3…
07-29 20:59:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9ea088…
07-29 20:37:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb2e52b…
07-29 20:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x521c17…
07-29 20:05:48	mlb col sd 2026 07 29 spread home 2pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7b1647…
07-29 17:39:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf1a404…
07-29 17:16:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x854f43…
07-29 16:54:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84c96d…
07-29 16:52:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7435d6…
07-29 16:52:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1e425b…
07-29 16:51:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9d2eab…
07-29 16:48:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb9716c…
07-29 16:48:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x836f9e…
07-29 16:33:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xef6c44…
07-29 16:09:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6bfa89…
07-29 15:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa1991b…
07-29 15:52:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdc0ba9…
07-29 15:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaee5ac…
07-29 15:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x907f17…
07-29 13:43:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x921d68…
07-29 12:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3093d0…
07-29 10:34:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9614ca…
07-29 10:22:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa3a4d7…
07-29 09:09:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x672c52…
07-29 08:57:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xba6e40…
07-28 22:47:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc240e4…
07-28 22:25:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x95a91d…
07-28 22:24:44	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 28	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x448e93…
07-28 22:14:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd5950f…
07-28 21:35:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe02c37…
07-28 21:35:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcc4b4a…
07-28 21:22:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd21d5b…
07-28 21:21:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0fa904…
07-28 21:20:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x344547…
07-28 21:19:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2ab0e7…
07-28 21:12:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x789f7c…
07-28 20:54:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8fe5cf…
07-28 20:48:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc51754…
07-28 20:09:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7eb432…
07-28 19:41:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb12c92…
07-28 19:39:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa00e45…
07-28 18:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5ca266…
07-28 17:32:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x72ef0b…
07-28 16:57:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x874d8c…
07-28 16:20:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7a0b7b…
07-28 16:20:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5a1ddb…
07-28 16:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x50e7ee…
07-28 16:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4a0e6e…
07-27 21:55:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x584cda…
07-27 18:36:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb5bf82…
07-27 18:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa79d57…
07-27 10:47:57	lol t1 ns 2026 07 27	T1	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x6ff52b…
07-27 10:40:43	lol t1 ns 2026 07 27	T1	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x970d64…
07-27 07:31:52	lol dk hle1 2026 07 27	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x528426…
07-24 18:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2f23f…
07-24 18:31:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x26a116…
07-24 18:18:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49bd25…
07-24 18:15:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5e982b…
07-24 17:57:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x78c044…
07-24 17:40:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc08d30…
07-24 16:21:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb77d8a…
07-24 16:20:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x65bc7f…
07-24 16:08:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x95564b…
07-23 19:19:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x56e5da…
07-23 18:54:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x352ccb…
07-14 05:12:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x49d422…
07-14 05:11:08	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf2d53e…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfce222…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f0073…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x26da25…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0b476a…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf9a360…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1a0fa…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5534a7…
07-14 04:47:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x123a8a…