Personal-Confidentiality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,283

lifetime

Volume

$6.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$86

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-14 05:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

52% 77% $-25

Crypto

23% 14% $-12

Sports

17% 100% +$53

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+31	$20	99¢	$30	+$10	07-03 04:37
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	+60	$30	50¢	$30	+$0	07-10 15:55
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+12	$10	88¢	$11	+$1	07-14 05:11
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	93¢	$10	+$0	06-15 01:20
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	+5	$5	93¢	$5	$-1	04-23 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	102	$128	50	79	-29	open	—	07-05 03:25
dota2 ts8 navi 2026 04 21 game2	5	$94	75	74	+2	open	—	04-21 09:12
sea lec fio 2026 04 20 fio	7	$90	88	73	+14	open	—	04-20 17:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$83	40	44	-3	open	—	06-03 23:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$72	48	28	+20	open	—	05-11 11:28
dota2 xtreme vg 2026 04 21	4	$69	44	44	+1	open	—	04-21 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	82	$65	46	20	+26	open	—	06-01 11:55
lol c9 sen 2026 04 21 game1	4	$65	51	50	+1	open	—	04-21 21:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	46	$62	37	37	+0	open	—	07-14 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	18	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-13 13:08
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	23	$60	35	25	+10	open	—	07-07 17:30
Lakers vs. Thunder	18	$55	34	28	+6	Thunder	+$1	05-06 02:18
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	6	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	07-02 20:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	14	$51	29	29	+0	open	—	06-11 02:29
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	5	$50	135	0	+135	open	—	07-06 01:05
epl cry wes 2026 04 20 cry	5	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	04-20 19:00
lal bil osa 2026 04 21 bil	5	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	04-21 13:58
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 5?	11	$48	31	31	+0	No	$-2	05-05 06:23
Will Solana dip to $90 on May 9?	231	$47	26	26	+0	No	$-3	05-10 01:00
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	6	$45	25	20	+5	open	—	06-17 22:10
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	457	$45	25	20	+5	open	—	04-23 08:32
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	4	$40	203	0	+203	open	—	04-21 18:53
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	4	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	07-01 10:04
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	6	$40	228	214	+14	open	—	04-23 02:03
val c9 nv2 2026 04 17	2	$37	28	27	+1	open	—	04-18 01:38
nhl det fla 2026 04 15	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 02:23
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$36	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 02:21
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	65	$32	16	19	-3	open	—	06-17 18:27
val kc3 th1 2026 04 16 game2	2	$31	22	21	+0	open	—	04-16 18:52
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	6	$31	25	7	+19	open	—	04-24 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 05:12:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x49d422…
07-14 05:11:08	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf2d53e…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfce222…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f0073…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x26da25…
07-14 04:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0b476a…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf9a360…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1a0fa…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5534a7…
07-14 04:47:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x123a8a…
07-14 04:40:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x598e7c…
07-14 04:15:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2796d0…
07-14 03:48:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcff293…
07-14 03:34:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0abe13…
07-14 03:29:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x87e0af…
07-14 00:16:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4f3268…
07-14 00:16:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd6cdd2…
07-14 00:15:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd50522…
07-14 00:15:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x741ded…
07-14 00:13:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7e6c7c…
07-14 00:03:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdb7547…
07-13 23:14:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb196bf…
07-13 23:14:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x193fc8…
07-13 23:02:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x88bbeb…
07-13 21:19:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbc035e…
07-13 20:55:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2511be…
07-13 20:35:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3b43…
07-13 20:34:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xaf6cff…
07-13 20:13:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x288a18…
07-13 19:52:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x55ca0a…
07-13 19:49:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2a7ebb…
07-13 19:18:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdcdeb9…
07-13 19:15:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x976a3f…
07-13 16:19:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x95e011…
07-13 16:17:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff4094…
07-13 15:33:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x18dc97…
07-13 14:43:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb60a6f…
07-13 14:39:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2776a0…
07-13 14:38:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4f230a…
07-13 04:23:35	will solana dip to 65 on july 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe935e…
07-13 02:45:40	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe7b4f9…
07-13 00:29:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x260859…
07-13 00:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x95067b…
07-13 00:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0748fd…
07-12 04:18:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcab0f0…
07-12 03:50:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf72af9…
07-12 03:50:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x03368d…
07-11 04:44:13	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x320c9a…
07-10 18:59:25	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7d2408…
07-10 16:12:05	val 100t1 mibrlo 2026 07 10	100 Thieves	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x896ba9…
07-10 15:55:28	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4c807b…
07-10 15:15:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x0485ac…
07-10 10:49:55	val vit ns1 2026 07 10	Nongshim RedForce	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9f1d82…
07-10 10:00:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xdb67f9…
07-10 09:00:05	will solana reach 100 on july 10	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ac5d9…
07-09 05:51:40	will xrp reach 1pt1 on july 9	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x63e070…
07-09 02:48:43	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xed8118…
07-08 22:13:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaf6c0a…
07-08 21:06:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdd279c…
07-08 08:12:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc5c391…
07-08 03:26:34	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x606f55…
07-08 03:25:34	mlb mil stl 2026 05 05 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x17678a…
07-08 03:07:10	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x54c294…
07-08 01:01:34	will graham platner drop out by july 7	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x09a5e4…
07-08 00:21:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9297e0…
07-07 17:30:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0722b2…
07-07 17:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa409c4…
07-07 17:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6c34f9…
07-07 17:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3fe198…
07-07 17:27:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x089267…
07-07 16:02:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x565d29…
07-07 15:29:23	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x898834…
07-07 01:16:26	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x63b3e4…
07-07 01:04:44	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x266e0d…
07-07 01:04:32	will graham platner drop out by july 6	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x631fb8…
07-07 00:52:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8c76fb…
07-07 00:37:59	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbd3ddd…
07-07 00:37:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xae73db…
07-07 00:37:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x643a5f…
07-07 00:37:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0xdec7cd…
07-07 00:37:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x3ddf85…
07-07 00:36:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x9d024c…
07-07 00:36:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xe8b140…
07-07 00:35:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x4910a0…
07-07 00:35:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xc41182…
07-07 00:35:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x4433cc…
07-07 00:35:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xab52d9…
07-07 00:35:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x0bb1c7…
07-07 00:35:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xaad94f…
07-07 00:35:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x42332f…
07-07 00:33:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc7b890…
07-07 00:33:04	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xef4f57…
07-07 00:32:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	56¢	$0	0xee462a…
07-07 00:32:47	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4a51ea…
07-07 00:31:56	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x2992b1…
07-07 00:24:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xa83371…
07-07 00:24:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x3fde86…
07-07 00:24:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x474a8b…
07-07 00:22:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x592624…
07-07 00:20:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x087d83…