Realized P&L
+$187
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
508
Trades
2,820
lifetime
Volume
$7.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$151
16 positions
First seen
2026-04-11
last 10-25 14:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Other
51% 67% +$24
Crypto
21% 60% -$102
Sports
16% 59% +$240
Politics
9% 85% +$24
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +21 $20 98¢ $21 +$1 08-01 06:25
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No +18 $17 97¢ $18 +$1 08-06 08:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 97¢ $16 +$1 05-04 21:18
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +17 $14 88¢ $15 +$1 10-11 14:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 10-04 14:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 09-25 07:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-01 06:56
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-01 06:17
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 09-16 20:18
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 08-06 11:40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +239 $5 3¢ $7 +$2 08-05 06:20
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 10-02 05:41
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 92¢ $4 +$0 08-02 18:44
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +128 $5 3¢ $4 -$1 05-12 23:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 10-22 06:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 -$2 88¢ $0 +$2 10-25 14:55