Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
60.4%
Resolved
167
Trades
631
lifetime
Volume
$1.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$39
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 11-09 03:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Crypto
59% 38% -$84
Politics
19% 44% +$17
Other
17% 68% +$30
Sports
5% 55% -$3
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 +$0 11-05 13:25
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-4 -$1 08-19 03:40
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $4 +$0 11-02 16:31
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 10-08 14:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +3 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 11-08 03:49
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +11 $5 16¢ $2 -$3 10-07 00:56
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 08-12 07:02
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 08-06 08:35
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +2 $1 97¢ $2 +$0 09-10 18:46
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-02 00:10
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-23 01:06
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -15 -$5 7¢ $-1 +$4 09-20 20:35
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-06 22:40
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 11-09 03:30
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 11-05 06:04