Realized P&L
+$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$186
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
34
Trades
381
lifetime
Volume
$126.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$333
Open exposure
$12.4K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 17:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
56% 82% +$240
Other
41% 80% +$819
Sports
3% 100% +$75
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +3,284 $3,100 97¢ $3.2K +$97 09-19 16:38
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,753 $1,340 78¢ $1.4K +$27 10-26 17:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,375 -$1,299 94¢ $-1299 -$1 10-20 17:13
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +1,275 $1,200 95¢ $1.2K +$13 08-16 14:27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,627 $1,000 70¢ $1.1K +$131 09-27 12:01
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1,058 -$1,007 98¢ $-1036 -$29 10-20 17:13
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,044 $900 90¢ $945 +$45 09-27 12:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -895 -$768 96¢ $-861 -$93 09-19 16:37
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +860 $800 86¢ $744 -$56 09-22 12:45
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -384 -$394 98¢ $-375 +$19 09-22 12:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +213 $178 98¢ $209 +$31 07-10 07:20