Definitive-Today — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

440

lifetime

Volume

$660

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-06 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Other

23% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	+20	$10	50¢	$10	$-0	07-06 02:23
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	-3	$-3	97¢	$-3	$-0	07-06 02:37
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	+1	$1	93¢	$1	$-0	04-23 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
msft close above 400 on march 16 2026	5	$27	28	14	+14	open	—	03-16 20:07
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	38	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-24 14:20
will bitcoin reach 80k on march 16	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 14:28
will solana reach 90 on april 1	85	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 00:46
will solana dip to 80 on april 18	31	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 02:04
will ethereum reach 2250 on april 1	3	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	04-01 07:21
will solana dip to 85 on march 20	23	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 20:58
will solana reach 100 on march 18	3	$19	10	9	+2	open	—	03-18 22:56
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	51	$18	10	8	+2	open	—	04-29 08:09
will solana reach 110 on march 16	4	$15	10	5	+5	open	—	03-17 00:41
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	30	$14	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 23:25
will ethereum reach 2350 on march 18	4	$13	10	3	+7	open	—	03-18 20:21
will solana dip to 80 on april 1	4	$13	11	10	+1	open	—	04-02 01:06
will bitcoin dip to 72k on april 20	3	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 20:19
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	05-23 08:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	17	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 14:40
will solana reach 105 on march 18	5	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-18 21:52
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	07-06 02:23
will xrp reach 1pt55 on march 16	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-16 22:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 22:22
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-15 00:56
highest temperature in taipei on march 17 2026 26c	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:40
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-01 13:53
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-16 17:08
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-15 07:40
will xrp dip to 1pt1 on april 1	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 01:24
will ethereum dip to 2100 on april 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-19 17:18
will solana reach 90 on april 20	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-20 22:28
will bitcoin reach 75k on march 15	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 02:16
will solana dip to 85 on march 15	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-16 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 02:37:44	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x30fc82…
07-06 02:37:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0155e5…
07-06 02:23:02	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b3f05…
07-06 01:42:55	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9aae61…
07-02 05:08:05	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 2	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5b9dd2…
07-01 14:22:35	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 1	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7f1061…
07-01 13:53:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x494bf7…
07-01 13:53:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x748282…
06-04 01:10:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbacc36…
06-04 00:57:15	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x199b12…
06-04 00:42:13	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x123d20…
06-03 21:43:54	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe8e285…
06-01 13:32:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x630163…
05-23 08:27:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x54961f…
05-23 08:22:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x9620b0…
05-23 08:20:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x06b06a…
05-23 08:18:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x78ec00…
05-23 08:17:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xc2aadd…
05-23 08:16:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x767a4f…
05-23 06:37:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xd0c6ff…
05-23 06:36:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x8e3476…
05-23 06:24:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x72880e…
05-16 05:39:28	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0cc4b8…
05-16 01:24:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff97ac…
05-15 23:25:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x78cd0a…
05-15 23:25:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x132f0c…
05-15 23:24:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xf1335a…
05-15 23:24:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xd339ab…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xefbf7b…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xdff58e…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xa624ce…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x828871…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x6368a3…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x33b931…
05-15 23:24:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0x128695…
05-15 23:24:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xf79435…
05-15 23:24:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0xae0b31…
05-15 23:23:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x44a18e…
05-15 23:15:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x67c81e…
05-15 23:15:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xd6e78f…
05-15 23:15:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x5989a6…
05-15 23:14:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xd68f31…
05-15 23:14:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x479c79…
05-15 23:14:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xde2d0d…
05-15 23:14:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x7afc71…
05-15 23:14:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xb21488…
05-15 23:14:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x800774…
05-15 23:14:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x604dfc…
05-15 23:14:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x5aa67b…
05-15 23:14:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x3cd328…
05-15 16:01:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6319ae…
05-15 15:51:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2f4e33…
05-15 15:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x64fbe3…
05-15 15:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x4ac0a1…
05-15 15:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2ab2e6…
05-15 15:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x185b74…
05-15 15:51:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x589253…
05-15 15:51:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1f366e…
05-15 15:51:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0171fc…
05-15 15:51:27	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4d1e11…
05-15 15:34:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb1c66…
05-14 14:34:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x903ba2…
05-14 14:34:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x32aa09…
05-14 09:59:36	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e9acd…
05-14 03:38:41	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x95d0b7…
05-14 03:05:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x74bafa…
05-14 00:56:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc80a02…
05-07 08:59:25	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0111e4…
04-29 20:16:24	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x92cc6c…
04-29 09:49:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd6ae49…
04-29 08:09:10	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6a73d0…
04-29 07:59:36	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x285a4b…
04-29 07:58:54	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc6facc…
04-29 07:58:26	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9ff0d6…
04-29 07:57:48	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xca0b63…
04-29 07:57:18	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa158a7…
04-29 07:56:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x504f41…
04-29 07:22:52	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd3c0a6…
04-29 07:22:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x92ac69…
04-29 07:21:38	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x576794…
04-29 07:21:04	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x12de64…
04-29 07:20:26	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb201d7…
04-29 07:20:02	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xed48fe…
04-29 06:53:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x94df21…
04-29 05:58:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x39d9f2…
04-29 05:28:14	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6b2425…
04-29 05:02:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeadfe5…
04-29 03:50:24	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xacde1b…
04-29 03:46:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xac3f30…
04-29 03:37:52	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa5e8ba…
04-29 03:37:18	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x21d64a…
04-29 03:36:36	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe301e3…
04-29 03:36:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2f94a8…
04-29 03:22:46	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x794234…
04-29 03:22:00	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd52a99…
04-29 03:20:40	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xce66b0…
04-29 03:20:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb5348e…
04-29 03:18:56	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x846fe6…
04-29 03:17:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe64346…
04-29 03:16:56	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb9c91b…