Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$257

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

1,399

Trades

2,599

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 10-26 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 62% +$227

Other

40% 27% +$47

Sports

2% 50% -$16

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+263	$25	6¢	$14	-$10	10-26 01:32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+10	$3	22¢	$2	-$1	10-10 13:53
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+36	$1	4¢	$1	+$0	09-23 02:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+6	$1	22¢	$1	+$0	09-23 02:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+21	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	10-15 14:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2	$1	36¢	$1	$0	09-23 02:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-06-23?	3	$340	241	241	+0	No	-$60	06-23 21:19
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$300	337	0	+337	Yes	+$37	06-19 22:31
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	1	$300	330	0	+330	Yes	+$30	06-22 00:16
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$201	135	135	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 11:59
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	1	$200	225	0	+225	Yes	+$25	06-20 06:39
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	2	$200	149	149	+0	No	$0	06-21 10:36
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?	2	$180	145	145	+0	Yes	-$20	06-23 23:37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	2	$152	118	61	+56	No	-$48	07-03 06:51
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	1	$150	197	0	+197	Yes	+$47	06-18 01:57
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$125	154	154	+0	Yes	-$75	06-20 21:26
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	2	$115	184	0	+184	Yes	+$69	06-20 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9AM ET	5	$113	93	93	+0	Up	+$13	10-12 13:55
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	4	$111	71	71	+0	Yes	-$9	07-04 22:34
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	1	$100	161	0	+161	Yes	+$61	06-18 06:13
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	1	$100	147	0	+147	No	-$100	06-21 06:20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	06-23 03:26
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	2	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	+$20	06-24 07:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	2	$90	83	42	+42	No	-$30	06-29 05:55
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	2	$90	103	53	+51	Yes	+$21	06-28 05:28
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	2	$78	64	32	+32	Yes	+$10	06-30 22:03
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	2	$70	122	91	+30	No	-$30	06-30 02:25
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$70	108	0	+108	Yes	+$38	06-23 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9PM ET	4	$64	48	48	+0	Down	+$14	10-12 01:28
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	3	$60	65	32	+32	Yes	-$7	07-01 17:48
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	1	$60	67	0	+67	Yes	+$7	06-25 04:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 05:00 UTC	2	$58	118	32	+86	Up	+$64	08-11 05:05
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	2	$58	45	45	+0	Yes	-$2	06-26 07:24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	2	$56	94	94	+0	No	-$44	06-26 00:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 14:00 UTC	5	$54	43	43	+0	Up	+$10	08-04 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 10:15 UTC	3	$53	79	0	+79	Down	+$26	08-12 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 01:32:20	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x3cc5f7…
10-26 01:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7243a5…
10-26 01:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1f96de…
10-26 01:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb87024…
10-26 01:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x05b199…
10-26 00:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x43f276…
10-25 09:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x3477b6…
10-25 09:05:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x2e09f1…
10-25 08:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1f9e4d…
10-25 08:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x7814c2…
10-25 08:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x028f3f…
10-25 08:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xe2247b…
10-25 02:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcd98ef…
10-25 02:52:14	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x549ab3…
10-21 09:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd72abf…
10-21 08:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x695d08…
10-21 08:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0xcfc37a…
10-21 08:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc520a4…
10-21 08:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x25c5ac…
10-21 08:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$5	0xe6c0d7…
10-21 08:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x477c79…
10-21 07:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x6491e1…
10-21 07:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x94ad4c…
10-21 07:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xddc5ee…
10-21 07:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd77f7e…
10-21 07:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x420068…
10-21 02:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x906171…
10-21 02:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb1b71b…
10-21 02:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x0e3545…
10-21 01:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa547cb…
10-20 13:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x028efa…
10-20 13:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3dcaa9…
10-20 11:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xd7b990…
10-20 11:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe9e61f…
10-20 11:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8c4b92…
10-20 11:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa095bd…
10-20 10:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x4d9cfc…
10-20 10:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xdb1f3d…
10-20 09:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5addad…
10-20 08:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xf607d2…
10-20 08:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaea137…
10-20 08:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xcf0c81…
10-20 08:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x45630b…
10-20 08:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xab913a…
10-20 08:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xb41177…
10-20 08:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7c133a…
10-20 07:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x2f5b8c…
10-20 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc7039d…
10-20 04:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa5d2d2…
10-20 04:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd3b275…
10-20 04:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf58ad9…
10-20 04:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x196110…
10-20 04:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5ffbbe…
10-20 04:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xe01f10…
10-20 04:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1d4f0d…
10-20 04:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc727cf…
10-20 03:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x687f8e…
10-20 03:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb067ad…
10-20 03:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1b0043…
10-20 02:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x409060…
10-20 02:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xf2e181…
10-20 02:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xa85967…
10-20 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x33f697…
10-20 01:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xfdb065…
10-20 01:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8ae8e0…
10-19 14:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x3eefcd…
10-19 14:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9976e2…
10-19 14:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7075a8…
10-19 14:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0xedaac8…
10-19 14:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe64913…
10-19 14:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xaf3422…
10-19 14:06:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9e71dd…
10-19 13:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x83b664…
10-19 13:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x608313…
10-19 13:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc41af8…
10-19 13:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x2b9fbd…
10-19 13:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x24541f…
10-19 13:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xecb022…
10-19 13:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x04bb63…
10-19 13:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x34729d…
10-19 13:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x774008…
10-19 13:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xde555a…
10-19 12:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x4be29d…
10-19 12:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x491f64…
10-19 12:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x7fb3c3…
10-19 12:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xe599e8…
10-19 12:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x849c93…
10-19 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1bc74a…
10-19 12:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x3e0e3a…
10-19 12:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4db1ab…
10-19 12:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x9c5265…
10-19 12:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x91807a…
10-19 11:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x51f8db…
10-19 11:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe6c4d9…
10-19 11:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0ae7f9…
10-19 11:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x669fb6…
10-19 11:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7f9484…
10-19 11:23:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3f0939…
10-19 11:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5142a4…
10-19 10:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1f9748…