Scratchy-Tick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

113

Trades

246

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 03:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

95% 64% -$17

Politics

4% 67% -$8

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-20 18:12
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-21 17:03
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	06-27 10:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$1	05-27 21:19
Will Jim Baird be the Republican nominee for IN-04?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-06 01:06
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 17:26
Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 08:38
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-22 03:18
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-05 01:58
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	05-31 10:03
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 02:40
highest temperature in chengdu on april 22 2026 26corhigher	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on May 15?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 01:23
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-04 09:54
highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 20c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-31 09:57
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 24 2026 37corhigher	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 18:38
highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 66 67f	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 14?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-23 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 11?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-10 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 02:05
highest temperature in toronto on april 24 2026 9c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 20:58
highest temperature in manila on april 21 2026 34c	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 22:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 23:13
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-25 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 03:03:09	Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x777ef5…
07-01 08:38:17	Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb3f1c3…
06-29 02:40:31	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x39e7b0…
06-29 00:39:50	Will there be 1-2 North Korea tests in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xcc7b90…
06-28 12:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a018b…
06-28 12:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac516c…
06-27 21:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xe1b5bf…
06-27 19:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x86c1a1…
06-27 10:17:47	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x694f1c…
06-26 20:13:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf831ba…
06-26 20:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9e8de6…
06-26 20:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x85b5b5…
06-26 19:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7e8f49…
06-26 16:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf0d6ca…
06-25 16:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf2d12c…
06-25 16:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb0a745…
06-25 15:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc320b8…
06-25 12:49:31	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9f8b5e…
06-24 21:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x6c46b8…
06-24 20:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 25?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xdc88ec…
06-24 06:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x993071…
06-24 06:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x49a032…
06-24 06:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8a0a4…
06-23 03:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4f5b80…
06-23 01:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda027d…
06-22 03:18:07	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc5fc3d…
06-21 19:54:35	Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x7134dd…
06-20 18:12:29	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xeea31e…
06-20 08:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x6f73bf…
06-20 08:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xba4191…
06-20 08:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xec22ed…
06-19 06:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x8c60a8…
06-19 05:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa9645d…
06-17 02:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x2dc8a0…
06-17 02:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x072f1f…
06-16 12:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 17?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x074bff…
06-15 06:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xa869ec…
06-15 05:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 15?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x570988…
06-14 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x7e0e19…
06-14 08:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 14?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x81f6d5…
06-13 12:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x9006bb…
06-13 08:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xba33c6…
06-12 09:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2e0b7f…
06-12 08:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6b036f…
06-11 16:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd5dbfe…
06-11 16:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe8bd2e…
06-11 16:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 12?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x4603c4…
06-11 13:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x89c689…
06-10 13:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x059c30…
06-10 13:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x86ad6b…
06-08 15:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x331fe5…
06-08 15:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x839741…
06-08 15:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x320d86…
06-08 15:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x403e88…
06-08 13:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5072b3…
06-08 09:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9b7d3a…
06-08 03:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5ddb7d…
06-07 21:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xcc8091…
06-07 12:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x35425b…
06-06 15:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd3f98f…
06-06 15:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe01ea1…
06-06 02:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x790478…
06-06 02:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf37c17…
06-06 02:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x699911…
06-06 02:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xed1d94…
06-05 14:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4b4068…
06-05 13:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd7af12…
06-05 13:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4b5553…
06-05 12:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1a04ef…
06-04 19:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa4c814…
06-04 19:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf35e49…
06-04 09:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf60915…
06-03 12:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on June 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1ec0c0…
06-02 17:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x697195…
06-02 14:11:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5495f3…
06-02 06:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa6990d…
06-02 06:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x0b6a0a…
06-01 16:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xdb2536…
06-01 12:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 2?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7f733c…
06-01 00:03:22	Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Los Angeles County?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x33e096…
05-31 10:03:03	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x470f1d…
05-31 09:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7e7578…
05-31 09:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x6800d8…
05-31 09:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1c40d3…
05-31 09:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7ef79c…
05-31 07:59:17	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xde7c31…
05-30 22:43:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31fcc7…
05-30 08:48:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x300bf3…
05-30 08:40:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x89212c…
05-30 04:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x47ec10…
05-30 00:03:23	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6a3955…
05-29 07:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa34f94…
05-28 20:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x5cce49…
05-28 20:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x981ecf…
05-28 18:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5a839a…
05-28 10:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x82f4ed…
05-28 08:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf60c1a…
05-27 21:19:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x2743ed…
05-27 16:58:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x89b5aa…
05-27 14:49:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x83001e…