Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

84.0%

Resolved

249

Trades

2,828

lifetime

Volume

$134.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$2.31K

10 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 11-05 15:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

70% 57% +$2,222

Politics

13% 58% -$176

Tech

12% 42% -$294

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$30

Pop-Culture

1% 50% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 245 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+1,599	$1,470	98¢	$1.6K	+$102	11-04 13:19
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	+336	$324	98¢	$329	+$6	09-10 07:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,400	$130	12¢	$169	+$39	11-05 08:47
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	+160	$145	98¢	$157	+$12	10-24 12:33
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+550	$92	5¢	$28	-$65	09-29 22:00
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	+190	$29	14¢	$26	-$4	10-19 04:35
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+200	$25	7¢	$14	-$11	11-05 08:48
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+500	$95	2¢	$9	-$86	10-23 18:22
Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	-$1	10-25 19:35
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+200	$1	0¢	$0	$0	10-25 21:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	7	$10.4K	10,520	0	+10,520	No	+$96	07-16 20:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	41	$9.0K	5,438	3,839	+1,599	open	—	11-04 13:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	24	$7.5K	5,588	2,000	+3,588	No	+$80	09-06 20:00
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	70	$5.2K	3,551	2,838	+713	Yes	+$504	09-04 00:41
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	9	$4.7K	4,714	5	+4,709	Yes	+$18	07-02 19:53
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	3	$4.4K	4,394	0	+4,394	Yes	+$7	09-04 21:07
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-29 01:08
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	37	$3.8K	5,837	496	+5,341	No	-$163	07-08 03:15
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	249	$3.7K	20,866	12,795	+8,071	No	+$584	09-04 00:42
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	121	$3.4K	11,845	11,845	+0	No	+$239	09-03 22:44
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	55	$3.4K	3,600	1,417	+2,183	Yes	+$316	09-27 09:11
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	13	$3.4K	3,662	335	+3,327	No	-$15	06-28 23:00
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	56	$3.3K	1,879	1,744	+135	Yes	+$44	04-08 00:40
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 28?	31	$2.3K	2,288	1,173	+1,116	No	$0	06-28 22:56
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	6	$2.3K	2,292	0	+2,292	No	+$5	07-06 18:42
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$2	07-07 00:44
spx up or down on july 2 2026	6	$1.7K	1,504	252	+1,252	Up	+$12	07-02 20:58
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	34	$1.7K	1,460	835	+626	Yes	+$269	06-20 22:56
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	17	$1.7K	2,572	658	+1,914	No	+$101	09-25 15:33
Andrew Tate released from custody by August 31, 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,629	0	+1,629	No	+$32	08-27 23:38
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	10	$1.6K	1,882	331	+1,551	No	-$4	06-28 23:14
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	12	$1.5K	1,914	163	+1,751	No	+$208	07-07 21:01
gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	4	$1.5K	1,512	0	+1,512	No	+$11	07-03 08:46
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	8	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$13	07-01 21:45
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	16	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$117	09-29 22:08
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?	4	$1.3K	1,278	5	+1,272	No	+$4	08-27 23:31
GitHub.com critical incident by September 30, 2026?	4	$1.2K	1,276	0	+1,276	Yes	+$30	08-26 22:19
No one announced as next James Bond?	18	$1.2K	728	530	+198	Yes	+$33	06-29 05:05
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	96	$1.2K	1,816	1,467	+349	Yes	+$3	04-09 00:51
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	5	$1.0K	1,148	0	+1,148	Yes	+$113	08-31 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:19:09	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x7cc2b0…
11-05 13:26:42	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x9df064…
11-05 11:02:55	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	375	88¢	$330	0x964b6a…
11-05 09:38:55	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x9ce30a…
11-05 08:48:09	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x3b8480…
11-05 08:47:45	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	700	13¢	$89	0x81ccba…
11-04 13:19:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	284	98¢	$279	0xd33782…
11-04 12:51:27	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xe9e868…
11-04 12:42:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-07 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xe7bdb4…
11-04 12:39:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xd559dd…
11-04 12:38:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x5959b9…
11-04 12:38:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x082075…
10-29 17:48:23	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	400	95¢	$379	0x6b2f6a…
10-29 01:08:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xf2a96c…
10-29 00:50:47	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xb6f6c2…
10-28 23:27:41	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	660	97¢	$638	0x08fd3c…
10-26 06:49:51	Will Colorado be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfa7389…
10-26 06:49:51	Will Colorado be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf5d542…
10-26 06:49:51	Will New Mexico be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x96feca…
10-26 06:49:51	Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x59112c…
10-26 06:49:51	Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x26d9bb…
10-26 06:49:51	Will New Mexico be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x035057…
10-25 21:11:51	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6504a4…
10-25 21:11:11	Will Project Hail Mary win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x76b59b…
10-25 19:35:14	Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xbdd0b3…
10-25 19:35:03	Will Kansas be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xd537ff…
10-25 19:34:57	Will Iowa be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x67bb7f…
10-25 19:34:45	Will Texas be the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xcfafee…
10-25 19:19:06	Will Colorado be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	0¢	$0	0x151634…
10-25 19:18:50	Will New Mexico be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	0¢	$0	0xa5f4ba…
10-25 19:18:38	Will North Carolina be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	0¢	$0	0xb9ef4d…
10-25 19:17:53	Will Georgia be the closest Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$0	0x7679ca…
10-25 02:05:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x8771a7…
10-24 12:33:44	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	78	97¢	$76	0x484a4a…
10-24 10:01:47	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x575feb…
10-23 21:24:11	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$38	0xe8f55f…
10-23 18:22:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0x40ac00…
10-23 18:22:09	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x9e2c13…
10-23 17:55:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	300	97¢	$291	0xb6bd16…
10-20 11:55:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0xadd0c9…
10-20 03:32:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	122	9¢	$11	0x0634e5…
10-19 22:46:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,890	99¢	$1,863	0x7ca4c0…
10-19 20:32:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xae72f0…
10-19 20:31:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$970	0x9d7381…
10-19 04:35:32	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x966ec9…
10-18 22:51:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa85076…
10-16 21:02:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xfeec31…
10-16 16:51:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x7b5541…
10-16 11:36:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x1f7787…
10-16 11:24:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x4fd3b9…
10-16 11:23:48	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x30f173…
10-16 11:20:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$145	0x7952b1…
10-16 09:03:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb32bd2…
10-16 07:35:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd082f0…
10-16 07:30:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf4f25e…
10-15 22:55:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xb96c66…
10-08 05:55:31	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	170	33¢	$56	0x1be55e…
10-02 18:27:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$974	0x420c78…
10-02 16:06:48	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xfdc990…
10-02 15:03:08	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x855058…
10-02 09:08:51	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x2aec56…
09-29 23:47:35	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0x4e6a39…
09-29 22:08:15	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0xa5b9a3…
09-29 22:04:14	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdee6a4…
09-29 22:00:29	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	358	9¢	$32	0xf985e9…
09-29 21:56:41	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc2bf87…
09-29 14:18:33	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	9¢	$4	0x8f2ff0…
09-29 04:36:03	Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x989bca…
09-27 09:11:45	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	196	6¢	$12	0xb543dd…
09-27 09:11:00	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$99	0x1d1305…
09-27 09:09:42	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc108b3…
09-27 09:09:42	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xab9932…
09-27 07:51:32	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x479dab…
09-27 06:28:54	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xf7ae3e…
09-26 00:45:12	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x6aefc6…
09-26 00:18:51	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xf4c145…
09-25 23:49:38	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x7c3af5…
09-25 23:21:51	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x9d23b8…
09-25 20:40:20	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0x20adfa…
09-25 15:52:06	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xf1ca79…
09-25 15:41:02	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xedc14d…
09-25 15:37:56	Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	165	0¢	$0	0x6c53ff…
09-25 15:35:48	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb67c52…
09-25 15:35:48	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa1e5ec…
09-25 15:34:11	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	172	15¢	$25	0x270414…
09-25 15:33:44	Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xa6324d…
09-25 15:26:57	Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	259	0¢	$1	0x1dd30f…
09-25 15:26:41	Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0xf4f270…
09-25 15:26:23	Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xcd5456…
09-25 15:26:08	Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0x9331ec…
09-25 15:25:41	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0xc0c7c3…
09-25 15:25:41	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	778	84¢	$649	0xaa8dc6…
09-25 15:25:41	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x8d7c7f…
09-25 15:24:24	Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	18	79¢	$14	0xf2657b…
09-25 15:23:53	Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x3567df…
09-25 15:20:45	Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x52f017…
09-25 15:20:05	Will Armenia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	330	2¢	$6	0xde4e37…
09-25 15:19:29	Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x994574…
09-25 15:18:47	Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$1	0xc11785…
09-25 15:18:09	Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xf9d219…