Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$6.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-05

last 10-22 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$1,121

Tech

47% 79% +$859

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	4	$803	663	322	+341	Yes	+$144	09-04 21:05
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	7	$695	1,069	555	+515	No	+$711	07-27 18:15
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 12 2026 20260601225410818	26	$672	690	0	+690	No	+$18	06-12 11:06
will openai release a new frontier model on or before july 31 2026	1	$524	539	0	+539	Yes	+$15	07-07 14:48
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	9	$440	454	0	+454	Yes	+$14	06-06 15:39
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?	3	$343	350	0	+350	No	+$7	06-23 05:01
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	3	$292	300	0	+300	No	+$8	06-06 15:40
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	5	$257	223	223	+0	Yes	+$136	09-08 19:59
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	3	$225	467	0	+467	Yes	+$242	07-27 12:00
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	5	$179	185	0	+185	Yes	+$6	06-24 02:18
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	4	$164	137	137	+0	No	+$90	08-28 08:23
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	3	$161	127	127	+0	No	+$71	08-27 19:18
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	1	$161	179	0	+179	Yes	+$18	09-02 23:24
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?	2	$143	146	0	+146	No	+$3	06-14 22:59
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	1	$131	624	0	+624	Yes	+$492	09-30 20:06
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	4	$131	160	160	+0	No	-$55	06-21 02:18
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	3	$117	120	0	+120	No	+$3	06-07 13:46
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	4	$116	120	0	+120	No	+$4	06-27 02:15
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	06-07 01:29
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	06-10 20:07
will claude 5 be released by june 19 2026	6	$98	109	0	+109	Yes	+$11	06-09 14:10
Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	70	0	+70	Yes	+$20	09-02 23:24
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	06-21 08:25
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	50	0	+50	No	+$2	06-09 20:10
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	42	$42	43	43	+0	open	—	10-22 10:26
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?	4	$41	42	0	+42	No	+$1	06-08 02:57
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	10	$37	159	159	+0	No	+$24	06-25 09:23
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	1	$36	40	0	+40	No	+$4	07-08 16:00
Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$4	08-19 20:02
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?	4	$10	197	0	+197	No	-$10	06-24 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 10:26:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x0813c8…
10-19 09:52:32	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x65092f…
10-19 09:52:30	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2abb62…
10-19 09:52:29	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xa5180b…
10-19 09:52:26	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x72b613…
10-11 17:47:55	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x56f28b…
10-11 17:47:55	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x037a10…
10-01 16:55:08	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x84b231…
10-01 16:55:08	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x43d64e…
09-30 20:06:17	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	624	21¢	$131	0xdbe6bd…
09-29 13:59:39	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4666cb…
09-29 13:59:39	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x07519a…
09-23 13:59:40	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe9092b…
09-23 13:59:40	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd785a4…
09-23 09:26:58	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9f6a32…
09-23 09:26:58	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c8c0e…
09-21 22:53:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4ff83b…
09-21 22:53:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2292ff…
09-11 22:00:28	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xcf0110…
09-11 22:00:27	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x01b843…
09-08 19:59:58	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x957143…
09-08 18:40:54	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x132ba1…
09-08 17:16:27	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	164	88¢	$144	0x5ee0af…
09-07 11:54:09	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x28a48c…
09-07 11:54:07	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x45f1b4…
09-07 11:51:57	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x672069…
09-07 11:51:57	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x14dce5…
09-07 11:51:06	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9d1b5e…
09-07 11:51:04	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x37934a…
09-07 08:38:19	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x29613d…
09-05 17:04:39	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	223	27¢	$60	0x64a3fa…
09-04 21:05:37	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x500291…
09-04 21:05:09	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0x7678bc…
09-04 21:04:54	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	95¢	$106	0x750039…
09-02 23:24:46	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	90¢	$161	0xb2b01e…
09-02 23:24:46	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	663	75¢	$500	0xa094a1…
09-02 23:24:46	Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x163635…
08-30 20:13:49	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9abd38…
08-30 20:13:49	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x4897c6…
08-30 20:08:46	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcc65d4…
08-30 20:08:46	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb4329c…
08-30 19:54:52	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x641c56…
08-30 19:54:36	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3dd0dc…
08-30 19:54:31	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbeaa2e…
08-28 08:23:51	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0x73edcb…
08-28 08:23:51	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$16	0x0c9cc3…
08-27 19:18:49	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	88	92¢	$81	0xe9c8fc…
08-27 19:18:00	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	104	92¢	$96	0x27eadd…
08-27 19:18:00	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x1928ab…
08-27 19:17:03	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xa62f0f…
08-27 18:08:13	Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	137	27¢	$37	0xcb8f3e…
08-27 18:08:13	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	127	36¢	$45	0xca83f7…
08-24 07:13:21	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfc1e3e…
08-24 07:13:19	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x289c1c…
08-22 21:34:22	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe4fd6b…
08-22 21:34:22	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x26fc83…
08-22 15:15:13	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xcffdab…
08-22 15:15:13	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x51312e…
08-22 15:11:06	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xfb5b6e…
08-22 15:11:04	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xaf8f36…
08-22 15:06:04	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3e47fc…
08-19 20:02:15	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$10	0x57cae7…
07-27 18:15:49	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	455	95¢	$431	0xf34a9f…
07-27 14:05:00	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x227c8f…
07-27 14:05:00	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1cb404…
07-27 14:03:28	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x404a95…
07-27 12:00:25	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	8¢	$12	0x818a46…
07-27 12:00:16	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	91¢	$156	0x60b3a5…
07-27 04:29:27	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	26¢	$14	0xf6df9c…
07-27 04:29:27	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	335	17¢	$57	0x872437…
07-27 04:29:27	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	23¢	$55	0x641bae…
07-27 04:29:27	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	574	17¢	$100	0x411a23…
07-25 10:34:12	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4bee09…
07-08 16:00:29	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x8aeba3…
07-07 14:48:38	will openai release a new frontier model on or before july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	539	97¢	$524	0xd7e8f9…
06-27 02:15:32	Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x73f1e7…
06-26 15:07:28	Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x4b5db3…
06-26 15:07:23	Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2ab449…
06-26 15:07:08	Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0x9444aa…
06-25 09:23:29	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	19¢	$30	0x5151b6…
06-24 20:56:49	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x08be09…
06-24 19:43:04	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xc7c95d…
06-24 19:20:52	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xf9f987…
06-24 19:20:35	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x3435c1…
06-24 19:20:35	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x149404…
06-24 16:43:13	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xb12d29…
06-24 16:27:43	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xfae30c…
06-24 16:27:40	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xcc0229…
06-24 15:57:23	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	5¢	$4	0xa5ed87…
06-24 15:57:23	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0x211d92…
06-24 15:47:35	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x41e254…
06-24 15:47:13	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x738fdc…
06-24 15:00:55	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf86b47…
06-24 15:00:16	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x90295e…
06-24 02:18:10	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x60e962…
06-24 02:18:05	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xfd550b…
06-23 21:37:59	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xde58f6…
06-23 16:52:32	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8d00a9…
06-23 16:52:19	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x0d183e…
06-23 16:52:04	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5b4f14…