Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$11,825
$7 in 24h
Trades
1,193
Unique wallets
217
Liquidity
$10,224
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 16:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $1.1K | $18 | +$1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $2.1K | $70 | +$2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $256 | $58 | +$198 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 179 | $5.0K | $42 | +$5.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $829 | $16 | +$813 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $63 | $1 | +$62 |
| Median | 14 | $34 | $1 | +$34 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $7 | $63 | $57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $504 | $5 | +$499 |
| unranked | 171 | $7.0K | $97 | +$7.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x934f…8f63 | Yes | +3,059 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 07-01 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d3a…1a65 | No | +2,841 | $54 | $54 | 6 | 07-02 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x725e…596b | Yes | +1,300 | $1,263 | $1,263 | 13 | 06-23 15:36 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | +1,226 | $28 | $28 | 8 | 07-08 16:27 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +600 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-01 13:07 |
| Both-Hub 0x4fff…be78 | Yes | +542 | $539 | $539 | 2 | 07-08 16:18 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | Yes | +541 | $529 | $529 | 1 | 06-20 21:18 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +400 | $6 | $6 | 20 | 07-04 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a8a…8474 | No | +364 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 22:25 |
| Worst-Generosity 0x355f…0df8 | Yes | +297 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 06-23 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x515e…ec0d | Yes | +250 | $242 | $242 | 1 | 06-02 21:22 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +217 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1231…3e32 | Yes | +185 | $179 | $179 | 5 | 06-24 02:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +140 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-23 18:07 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +116 | $2 | $2 | 17 | 07-06 06:42 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-08 16:18 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-08 16:18 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +52 | $1 | $8 | 14 | 07-06 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | +45 | $-10 | $57 | 574 | 07-08 16:27 |
| Dental-Pagoda-Airfare 0xfe36…969f | No | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 21:33 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $-0 | $1 | 16 | 07-08 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x87fd…d3ee | No | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x566e…8ada | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x2142…6b8c | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-05 17:12 |
| Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 22:23 |
| Woozy-Internet 0xa28c…e10f | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-03 16:50 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-25 02:19 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $5 | $64 | 14 | 07-06 08:19 |
| Made-Up-Nasal 0x6f8f…7d34 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 02:12 |
| Sweltering-Jury 0xb76e…70bc | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 01:56 |
| Relieved-Grabbag 0x0437…30f4 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-05 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $39 | 8 | 07-05 09:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 16:27:05 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 217 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7a0568… |
| 07-08 16:27:05 | Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | BUY | 256 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x7a0568… |
| 07-08 16:27:05 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 473 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x7a0568… |
| 07-08 16:18:13 | Both-Hub 0x4fff…be78 | Yes | BUY | 512 | 99¢ | $509 | 0xf43d74… |
| 07-08 16:18:13 | Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf43d74… |
| 07-08 16:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 225 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf43d74… |
| 07-08 16:18:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 26 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf43d74… |
| 07-08 16:18:13 | Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf43d74… |
| 07-07 07:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc2ee7b… |
| 07-07 07:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x7d14…452e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc2ee7b… |
| 07-07 07:12:53 | (anonymous) 0x7d14…452e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf22a92… |
| 07-07 07:12:53 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf22a92… |
| 07-06 15:15:56 | (anonymous) 0x94da…b01a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3e9154… |
| 07-06 15:15:56 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3e9154… |
| 07-06 15:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x94da…b01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbb0f13… |
| 07-06 15:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb0f13… |
| 07-06 15:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x46cbd4… |
| 07-06 15:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x5726…0687 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x46cbd4… |
| 07-06 15:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x5726…0687 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2c99a7… |
| 07-06 15:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c99a7… |
| 07-06 15:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4a8cba… |
| 07-06 15:04:08 | (anonymous) 0x7b35…ae34 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4a8cba… |
| 07-06 15:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0e0639… |
| 07-06 15:03:26 | (anonymous) 0x7b35…ae34 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0e0639… |
| 07-06 14:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x979415… |
| 07-06 14:57:29 | (anonymous) 0xe8e1…9f82 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x979415… |
| 07-06 14:56:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8e1…9f82 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1f97bc… |
| 07-06 14:56:59 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f97bc… |
| 07-06 14:53:01 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbfd94a… |
| 07-06 14:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbfd94a… |
| 07-06 14:52:37 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6025ac… |
| 07-06 14:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6025ac… |
| 07-06 14:51:44 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xaed447… |
| 07-06 14:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaed447… |
| 07-06 14:51:10 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe11672… |
| 07-06 14:51:10 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe11672… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf4a13a… |
| 07-06 14:50:01 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf4a13a… |
| 07-06 14:49:11 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbea936… |
| 07-06 14:49:11 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbea936… |
| 07-06 14:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf7b3d8… |
| 07-06 14:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x0a83…33bd | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf5f86a… |
| 07-06 14:48:29 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf7b3d8… |
| 07-06 14:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf5f86a… |
| 07-06 14:48:04 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x064d54… |
| 07-06 14:48:04 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x064d54… |
| 07-06 14:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x0a83…33bd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe61630… |
| 07-06 14:47:53 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe61630… |
| 07-06 14:47:14 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x711289… |
| 07-06 14:47:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x711289… |
| 07-06 14:46:38 | (anonymous) 0xbc86…1df2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9ef5f9… |
| 07-06 14:46:38 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9ef5f9… |
| 07-06 14:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16b6be… |
| 07-06 14:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x50f8…93f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x16b6be… |
| 07-06 14:37:50 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3ca1ed… |
| 07-06 14:37:50 | (anonymous) 0x50f8…93f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3ca1ed… |
| 07-06 14:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbece56… |
| 07-06 14:32:26 | (anonymous) 0x4070…d5fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbece56… |
| 07-06 14:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x4070…d5fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1ec19e… |
| 07-06 14:31:52 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ec19e… |
| 07-06 14:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x9f07…4765 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc51a52… |
| 07-06 14:26:53 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc51a52… |
| 07-06 14:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x9f07…4765 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x161feb… |
| 07-06 14:25:49 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x161feb… |
| 07-06 13:52:43 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x7278f3… |
| 07-06 13:52:43 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7278f3… |
| 07-06 13:52:07 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x421ae8… |
| 07-06 13:52:07 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x421ae8… |
| 07-06 13:51:34 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x981481… |
| 07-06 13:51:34 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x981481… |
| 07-06 13:50:58 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd075c6… |
| 07-06 13:50:58 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd075c6… |
| 07-06 13:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa7d1bc… |
| 07-06 13:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa7d1bc… |
| 07-06 13:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf2bb34… |
| 07-06 13:49:26 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2bb34… |
| 07-06 13:48:04 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x700fa5… |
| 07-06 13:48:04 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x700fa5… |
| 07-06 13:47:29 | (anonymous) 0xe44c…90f6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd4a5f7… |
| 07-06 13:47:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd4a5f7… |
| 07-06 13:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xccad23… |
| 07-06 13:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xccad23… |
| 07-06 13:34:20 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b3406… |
| 07-06 13:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b3406… |
| 07-06 13:33:13 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb88e0c… |
| 07-06 13:33:13 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb88e0c… |
| 07-06 13:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf8e16f… |
| 07-06 13:32:53 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xf8e16f… |
| 07-06 13:31:40 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa151d9… |
| 07-06 13:31:40 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xa151d9… |
| 07-06 13:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcccdbe… |
| 07-06 13:30:56 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcccdbe… |
| 07-06 13:29:29 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x4380c9… |
| 07-06 13:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4380c9… |
| 07-06 13:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6baeda… |
| 07-06 13:28:52 | (anonymous) 0xf007…0a71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x6baeda… |
| 07-06 13:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x7712…c8a6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x847ebf… |
| 07-06 13:16:46 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x847ebf… |
| 07-06 13:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x274d04… |
| 07-06 13:16:22 | (anonymous) 0x7712…c8a6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x274d04… |