Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$15,307
$7 in 24h
Trades
1,589
Unique wallets
418
Liquidity
$10,224
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-09-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-10 10:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 98% YES on $12.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $2.1K | $18 | +$2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $2.8K | $74 | +$2.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 52 | $755 | $59 | +$696 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 331 | $6.3K | $43 | +$6.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1.0K | — | +$1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $1.2K | $21 | +$1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $63 | $1 | +$62 |
| Median | 124 | $1.1K | $1 | +$1.1K |
| Below median | 9 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $7 | $63 | $57 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $504 | $5 | +$499 |
| unranked | 256 | $8.0K | $97 | +$7.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +3,500 | $10 | $10 | 213 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x934f…8f63 | Yes | +3,059 | $3,000 | $3,000 | 1 | 07-01 13:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d3a…1a65 | No | +2,841 | $54 | $54 | 6 | 07-02 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x725e…596b | Yes | +1,300 | $1,263 | $1,263 | 13 | 06-23 15:36 |
| Canine-Practice 0x30f9…fbfc | No | +1,226 | $28 | $28 | 8 | 07-08 16:27 |
| Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | +1,050 | $1,048 | $1,048 | 1 | 07-09 23:47 |
| Both-Hub 0x4fff…be78 | Yes | +884 | $878 | $878 | 3 | 07-09 12:51 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +600 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-01 13:07 |
| Boiling-Feel 0x28b2…eb4f | Yes | +541 | $529 | $529 | 1 | 06-20 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a8a…8474 | No | +364 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 22:25 |
| Worst-Generosity 0x355f…0df8 | Yes | +297 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 06-23 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x515e…ec0d | Yes | +250 | $242 | $242 | 1 | 06-02 21:22 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +217 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 16:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x1231…3e32 | Yes | +185 | $179 | $179 | 5 | 06-24 02:18 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | No | +143 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 12:51 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +140 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-23 18:07 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +136 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 12:51 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +116 | $2 | $2 | 17 | 07-06 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | No | +108 | $-9 | $57 | 576 | 07-09 12:51 |
| Stark-Seabass 0xac9e…80c9 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Lively-Tunic 0xc3b4…940b | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Fearful-Girl 0xc723…c609 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-08 16:18 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-08 16:18 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +52 | $1 | $8 | 14 | 07-06 10:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd16…152f | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Pale-Account 0xc013…653b | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf914…98f8 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bcc…9394 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf650…e2d1 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d1f…38b0 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc024…9d86 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Dental-Pagoda-Airfare 0xfe36…969f | No | +34 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 21:33 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $-0 | $1 | 16 | 07-08 16:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x87fd…d3ee | No | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x566e…8ada | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x2142…6b8c | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-05 17:12 |
| Whispered-Diary 0xb260…9d59 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 22:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9394…6d70 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7ac…5084 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Small-Spacing 0x4861…c732 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x15e8…0c44 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Submissive-Plan 0xe1db…4119 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ba0…9edb | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x40f4…3853 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Satisfied-Pier 0x2e34…9623 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Dirty-Automation 0x7df6…bf51 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 10:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Trim-Login 0xa8b3…2925 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0812ed… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Dependent-Osprey 0xd6f1…ffe7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc09113… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Self-Reliant-Flugelhorn 0x44a3…93fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdc6aa6… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x94f1…5a7d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc32caf… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Dirty-Barley 0x75eb…000f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x677f61… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Cluttered-Decoder 0x757d…9fff | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x040837… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Flustered-Imprisonment 0xb244…b378 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc1d3ee… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x365ea9… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3f1424… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca3013… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d305e… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xf45f…c2a5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5370b8… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Moral-Rescue 0xccdb…aad9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9e72e7… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c2215… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x14d3…0350 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xedbd18… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Quaint-Complaint 0x51bc…8a4c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x19ef0c… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdec06a… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8ebd3… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Joyous-Bout 0xc4a3…485a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x468640… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb04399… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ec469… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9558eb… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Pessimistic-Workout 0x072a…86e9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x38fc60… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Gloomy-Antibody 0xf536…a084 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf00086… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd8efe… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc09113… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc52ec… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf00086… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1d3ee… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbceb20… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5edd7… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Lively-Tunic 0xc3b4…940b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3e2a32… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x604f…c182 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb8ebd3… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60bacd… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4f5cdf… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x878f7c… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xff23…10d8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xade4c3… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Villainous-Helmet 0x6cbf…4859 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x050f5f… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38536e… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xf9fb…f737 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf107d9… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdef25e… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Bowed-Cappuccino 0x266d…c32d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x017bbb… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xf75f…84c7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x395a4c… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Annual-Cardigan 0x062b…7914 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdf227d… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd11618… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x161a…9e09 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xde46e4… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x5ddf…a838 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2ca135… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5f99d3… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcdb7ae… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb4b477… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Dishonest-Competence 0x49b0…d3f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbbad7f… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe80ffc… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45081b… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Agonizing-Gingerbread 0xe59a…95ed | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5f99d3… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x88c7…127a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x0a5bc6… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Satisfied-Pier 0x2e34…9623 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa7ec7b… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ce3b1… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb17f72… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a3f87… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x0811…f934 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3f1424… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x468640… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefb612… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc6aa6… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x2605…8617 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x85d768… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Fearful-Girl 0xc723…c609 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb36eaf… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Golden-Jar 0x8fd4…b98c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf2dafa… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc32caf… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ad14e… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2aa9db… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e99d8… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e0672… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5dfbe3… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Itchy-Redirect 0xbb39…93b2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8a3f87… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Beautiful-Hatchling 0xb576…0a94 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x76c322… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Darling-Seat 0x6b27…3ec8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcdd5a9… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x40f4…3853 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe5d855… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Friendly-Instrumentalist 0x08c9…682f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x89ee42… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe5d855… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1f9432… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Weighty-Whack 0x3dc9…8e24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc6d28e… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x101ee9… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xfac3…d5e7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9951db… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x6eec…1a2b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xac3425… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Motionless-Complication 0x2cda…21d6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe80ffc… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae6fe2… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x040837… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdec06a… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xb6af…e872 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x62bd95… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xb278…0a19 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5af81f… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a332a… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x6be8…e015 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5fd0b8… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Detailed-Sonnet 0xbf61…fdd6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xefb612… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xad69…62b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcc52ec… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69fbe1… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0x033b…ef97 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x750f92… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x328a86… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xf914…98f8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x4eeb66… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Which-Door 0xd39f…7a6b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9f2fd4… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0cda4… |
| 07-10 10:01:26 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x677f61… |